{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2808528756","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14716","title":"Predicting evolutionary predictability","display_name":"Predicting evolutionary predictability","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-06-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2808528756","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14716","mag":"2808528756","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29894580"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/mec.14716","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14716","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14716","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/mec.14716","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S22454499","display_name":"Molecular Ecology","issn_l":"0962-1083","issn":["0962-1083","1365-294X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Molecular Ecology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/mec.14716","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5078936577","display_name":"Catherine R. Linnen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5715-456X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5715-456X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I143302722","display_name":"University of Kentucky","ror":"https://ror.org/02k3smh20","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I143302722"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Catherine R. Linnen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Biology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, Kentucky"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5715-456X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, Kentucky","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I143302722"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5078936577"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I143302722"],"apc_list":{"value":5150,"currency":"USD","value_usd":5150},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.7664,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.7028077,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"27","issue":"12","first_page":"2647","last_page":"2650"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11764","display_name":"Evolution and Genetic Dynamics","score":0.9140999913215637,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1311","display_name":"Genetics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/13","display_name":"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11764","display_name":"Evolution and Genetic Dynamics","score":0.9140999913215637,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1311","display_name":"Genetics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/13","display_name":"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10012","display_name":"Genetic diversity and population structure","score":0.032099999487400055,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1311","display_name":"Genetics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/13","display_name":"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10174","display_name":"Animal Behavior and Reproduction","score":0.023399999365210533,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1105","display_name":"Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/evolutionary-predictability","display_name":"evolutionary predictability","score":0.996999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/phenotypic-convergence","display_name":"phenotypic convergence","score":0.9679999947547913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/genetic-convergence","display_name":"genetic convergence","score":0.9869999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/host-switching","display_name":"host switching","score":0.8019999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/alfalfa","display_name":"alfalfa","score":0.6600000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/allele-frequency-change","display_name":"allele frequency change","score":0.640999972820282},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sex-chromosomes","display_name":"sex chromosomes","score":0.7570000290870667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/deterministic-and-stochastic-processes","display_name":"deterministic and stochastic processes","score":0.7049999833106995}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197640229","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2534066","display_name":"Predictability","level":2,"score":0.9350879192352295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.7731322050094604},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78458016","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q840400","display_name":"Evolutionary biology","level":1,"score":0.6407697200775146},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C75268714","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43478","display_name":"Natural selection","level":3,"score":0.5080981254577637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.445229172706604},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18832751","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q295031","display_name":"Ecological genetics","level":3,"score":0.4117136001586914},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C54355233","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7162","display_name":"Genetics","level":1,"score":0.4020085334777832},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.3852691650390625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81917197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q628760","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","level":2,"score":0.3036839962005615},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.1373785436153412},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.09024271368980408},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0883135199546814},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000818","descriptor_name":"Animals","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002080","descriptor_name":"Butterflies","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D005787","descriptor_name":"Gene Frequency","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D010944","descriptor_name":"Plants","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D023281","descriptor_name":"Genomics","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D031334","descriptor_name":"Melissa","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true}],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/mec.14716","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14716","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14716","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/mec.14716","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S22454499","display_name":"Molecular Ecology","issn_l":"0962-1083","issn":["0962-1083","1365-294X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Molecular Ecology","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:29894580","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29894580","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Molecular ecology","raw_type":"News"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/mec.14716","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14716","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14716","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/mec.14716","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S22454499","display_name":"Molecular Ecology","issn_l":"0962-1083","issn":["0962-1083","1365-294X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Molecular Ecology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G18515311","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"2016\u201067014\u20102475","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306114","funder_display_name":"U.S. Department of Agriculture"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306114","display_name":"U.S. Department of Agriculture","ror":"https://ror.org/01na82s61"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2808528756.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2808528756.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":15,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1611432586","https://openalex.org/W1675572849","https://openalex.org/W1964145455","https://openalex.org/W2090560876","https://openalex.org/W2102163928","https://openalex.org/W2133715578","https://openalex.org/W2135927513","https://openalex.org/W2142619803","https://openalex.org/W2256423841","https://openalex.org/W2290990791","https://openalex.org/W2292427801","https://openalex.org/W2590566992","https://openalex.org/W2768801827","https://openalex.org/W2949126322","https://openalex.org/W2950054804"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W6892012318","https://openalex.org/W2950054804","https://openalex.org/W2948366847","https://openalex.org/W7203990120","https://openalex.org/W7135331631","https://openalex.org/W2618543359","https://openalex.org/W4362508788","https://openalex.org/W2590566992","https://openalex.org/W7117896145","https://openalex.org/W4413228409"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0],"observation":[1],"that":[2,13,77,108,133,137,210],"phenotypic":[3],"convergence":[4,7,170],"and":[5,24,113,121,165,187,216],"genetic":[6],"are":[8,144],"widespread":[9],"in":[10,86,98,103,119,127,141,189],"nature":[11,120],"implies":[12],"evolution":[14,46],"is":[15,33],"at":[16,51],"least":[17],"somewhat":[18,146],"predictable.":[19,147],"But":[20],"to":[21,47,80,219,222],"what":[22,26],"extent":[23],"under":[25],"circumstances?":[27],"In":[28,61],"other":[29],"words,":[30],"how":[31],"predictable":[32],"evolutionary":[34],"predictability?":[35],"Answering":[36],"this":[37,62,142],"question":[38],"requires":[39],"going":[40],"beyond":[41],"documenting":[42],"examples":[43],"of":[44,64,74,88,151,157,169,176,200,214],"repeated":[45],"actually":[48],"quantifying":[49],"predictability":[50,73,97,152],"different":[52],"hierarchical":[53],"levels.":[54],"At":[55],"present,":[56],"few":[57],"such":[58],"studies":[59],"exist.":[60],"issue":[63],"Molecular":[65],"Ecology,":[66],"Chaturvedi":[67,204],"et":[68,205],"al.":[69],"()":[70,207],"quantify":[71],"the":[72,89,134,149,155,190,211],"genomewide":[75,220],"changes":[76,136],"accompany":[78,138],"shifts":[79,140],"an":[81],"introduced":[82],"host":[83,125,139],"plant":[84],"(alfalfa)":[85],"populations":[87,107,161],"Melissa":[90],"blue":[91],"butterfly":[92],"(Lycaeides":[93],"melissa).":[94],"They":[95],"evaluate":[96],"two":[99],"contexts:":[100],"(i)":[101],"overlap":[102,115],"host-associated":[104,117],"loci":[105,118,122],"among":[106],"have":[109],"independently":[110],"colonized":[111],"alfalfa,":[112],"(ii)":[114],"between":[116,163],"associated":[123],"with":[124,197],"performance":[126],"laboratory":[128],"experiments.":[129],"Overall,":[130],"they":[131],"find":[132],"genomic":[135,172],"system":[143],"indeed":[145],"However,":[148],"degree":[150],"depends":[153],"on":[154],"type":[156,168],"comparison":[158],"(among":[159],"natural":[160,164],"vs.":[162,174,183,193],"experimental":[166],"populations),":[167],"(specific":[171],"locations":[173],"direction":[175],"allele":[177],"frequency":[178],"change),":[179],"geographic":[180],"scale":[181],"(rangewide":[182],"specific":[184],"population":[185],"pairs)":[186],"location":[188],"genome":[191],"(autosomes":[192],"sex":[194],"chromosomes).":[195],"Together":[196],"a":[198],"handful":[199],"comparable":[201],"data":[202],"sets,":[203],"al.'s":[206],"work":[208],"suggests":[209],"relative":[212],"contribution":[213],"stochastic":[215],"deterministic":[217],"processes":[218],"responses":[221],"novel":[223],"selection":[224],"pressures":[225],"may":[226],"be":[227],"highly":[228],"variable,":[229],"but":[230],"possibly":[231],"predictably":[232],"so.":[233]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-10-31T12:09:11.096373","created_date":"2018-06-21T00:00:00"}
