{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2806542001","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268818001541","title":"Underlying trend, seasonality, prediction, forecasting and the contribution of risk factors: an analysis of globally reported cases of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus","display_name":"Underlying trend, seasonality, prediction, forecasting and the contribution of risk factors: an analysis of globally reported cases of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-06-11","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2806542001","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268818001541","mag":"2806542001","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29886854","pmcid":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7113021"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1017/s0950268818001541","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268818001541","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268818001541","pdf_url":"https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/A49A32BD736E1D545974B4D100ED9440/S0950268818001541a.pdf/div-class-title-underlying-trend-seasonality-prediction-forecasting-and-the-contribution-of-risk-factors-an-analysis-of-globally-reported-cases-of-middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-div.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S61175029","display_name":"Epidemiology and Infection","issn_l":"0950-2688","issn":["0950-2688","1469-4409"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-c","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","oarl","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311721","host_organization_name":"Cambridge University Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311721","https://openalex.org/P4310311702"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cambridge University Press","University of Cambridge"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Epidemiology and Infection","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/A49A32BD736E1D545974B4D100ED9440/S0950268818001541a.pdf/div-class-title-underlying-trend-seasonality-prediction-forecasting-and-the-contribution-of-risk-factors-an-analysis-of-globally-reported-cases-of-middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-div.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5014307644","display_name":"Omar B. Da\u2019ar","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2153-8761","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2153-8761"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I185203018","display_name":"King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/0149jvn88","country_code":"SA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I185203018"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210095597","display_name":"King Abdullah International Medical Research Center","ror":"https://ror.org/009p8zv69","country_code":"SA","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210095597"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4517696","display_name":"National Guard Health Affairs","ror":"https://ror.org/02pecpe58","country_code":"SA","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4517696"]}],"countries":["SA"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Omar B. Da'ar","raw_affiliation_strings":["King Abdullah International Medical Research Centre (KAIMRC)/College of Public Health & Health Informatics, King Saud bin Abdulaziz University of Health Sciences, National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2153-8761","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"King Abdullah International Medical Research Centre (KAIMRC)/College of Public Health & Health Informatics, King Saud bin Abdulaziz University of Health Sciences, National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I185203018","https://openalex.org/I4210095597","https://openalex.org/I4517696"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015504392","display_name":"Anwar E. Ahmed","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8743-6007","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8743-6007"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I185203018","display_name":"King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/0149jvn88","country_code":"SA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I185203018"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210095597","display_name":"King Abdullah International Medical Research Center","ror":"https://ror.org/009p8zv69","country_code":"SA","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210095597"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4517696","display_name":"National Guard Health Affairs","ror":"https://ror.org/02pecpe58","country_code":"SA","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4517696"]}],"countries":["SA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Anwar E. Ahmed","raw_affiliation_strings":["King Abdullah International Medical Research Centre (KAIMRC)/College of Public Health & Health Informatics, King Saud bin Abdulaziz University of Health Sciences, National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8743-6007","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"King Abdullah International Medical Research Centre (KAIMRC)/College of Public Health & Health Informatics, King Saud bin Abdulaziz University of Health Sciences, National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I185203018","https://openalex.org/I4210095597","https://openalex.org/I4517696"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5014307644"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I185203018","https://openalex.org/I4210095597","https://openalex.org/I4517696"],"apc_list":{"value":3550,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3550},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.0538,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":19,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91552301,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"146","issue":"11","first_page":"1343","last_page":"1349"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10118","display_name":"SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research","score":0.82669997215271,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2725","display_name":"Infectious Diseases"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10118","display_name":"SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research","score":0.82669997215271,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2725","display_name":"Infectious Diseases"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11581","display_name":"Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research","score":0.06440000236034393,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2725","display_name":"Infectious Diseases"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.029600000008940697,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mers-cov","display_name":"MERS-CoV","score":0.9810000061988831},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonal-variation","display_name":"seasonal variation","score":0.9739999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-decomposition","display_name":"time series decomposition","score":0.6370000243186951},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecasting","display_name":"forecasting","score":0.5410000085830688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-factors","display_name":"risk factors","score":0.9760000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/age","display_name":"age","score":0.3959999978542328},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sex","display_name":"sex","score":0.7059999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geographic-distribution","display_name":"geographic distribution","score":0.550000011920929},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pandemic-disease","display_name":"pandemic disease","score":0.38100001215934753},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/saudi-arabia","display_name":"Saudi Arabia","score":0.328000009059906}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C125403950","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2111082","display_name":"Seasonality","level":2,"score":0.6773762702941895},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777691041","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4902157","display_name":"Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus","level":5,"score":0.6285476684570312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89623803","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12184","display_name":"Pandemic","level":5,"score":0.5861214995384216},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.5201297402381897},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.45702382922172546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.42505955696105957},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.4246477782726288},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3060421943664551},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.17315354943275452},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126322002","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11180","display_name":"Internal medicine","level":1,"score":0.10710415244102478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.08846715092658997},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.07806345820426941},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000367","descriptor_name":"Age Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000818","descriptor_name":"Animals","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002162","descriptor_name":"Camelus","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012307","descriptor_name":"Risk Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012737","descriptor_name":"Sex Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014943","descriptor_name":"Global Health","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D016014","descriptor_name":"Linear Models","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D018352","descriptor_name":"Coronavirus Infections","qualifier_ui":"Q000209","qualifier_name":"etiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D018352","descriptor_name":"Coronavirus Infections","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D065207","descriptor_name":"Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true}],"locations_count":7,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1017/s0950268818001541","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268818001541","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268818001541","pdf_url":"https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/A49A32BD736E1D545974B4D100ED9440/S0950268818001541a.pdf/div-class-title-underlying-trend-seasonality-prediction-forecasting-and-the-contribution-of-risk-factors-an-analysis-of-globally-reported-cases-of-middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-div.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S61175029","display_name":"Epidemiology and Infection","issn_l":"0950-2688","issn":["0950-2688","1469-4409"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-c","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","oarl","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311721","host_organization_name":"Cambridge University Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311721","https://openalex.org/P4310311702"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cambridge University Press","University of Cambridge"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Epidemiology and Infection","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:europepmc.org:6070397","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7113018","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400806","display_name":"Europe PMC (PubMed Central)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1303153112","host_organization_name":"European Bioinformatics Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1303153112"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:europepmc.org:6070400","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7113021","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400806","display_name":"Europe PMC (PubMed Central)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1303153112","host_organization_name":"European Bioinformatics Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1303153112"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmid:29886854","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29886854","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Epidemiology and infection","raw_type":"Journal Article"},{"id":"pmid:29945686","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29945686","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Epidemiology and infection","raw_type":"Journal Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:7113018","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7113018/","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Epidemiol Infect","raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:7113021","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7113021/","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Epidemiol Infect","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1017/s0950268818001541","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268818001541","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268818001541","pdf_url":"https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/A49A32BD736E1D545974B4D100ED9440/S0950268818001541a.pdf/div-class-title-underlying-trend-seasonality-prediction-forecasting-and-the-contribution-of-risk-factors-an-analysis-of-globally-reported-cases-of-middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-div.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S61175029","display_name":"Epidemiology and Infection","issn_l":"0950-2688","issn":["0950-2688","1469-4409"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-c","doyens","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","oarl","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311721","host_organization_name":"Cambridge University Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311721","https://openalex.org/P4310311702"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cambridge University Press","University of Cambridge"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Epidemiology and Infection","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.8048999905586243,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","display_name":"Good health and well-being"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320327902","display_name":"King Abdullah International Medical Research Center","ror":"https://ror.org/009p8zv69"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320330814","display_name":"King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Science","ror":"https://ror.org/0149jvn88"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2806542001.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2806542001.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":36,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W28510732","https://openalex.org/W1246262292","https://openalex.org/W1772584991","https://openalex.org/W1965186841","https://openalex.org/W1994478379","https://openalex.org/W2006434809","https://openalex.org/W2028594189","https://openalex.org/W2079438251","https://openalex.org/W2093815354","https://openalex.org/W2107053896","https://openalex.org/W2108563444","https://openalex.org/W2109520345","https://openalex.org/W2140143765","https://openalex.org/W2144410942","https://openalex.org/W2212831999","https://openalex.org/W2239299266","https://openalex.org/W2273256132","https://openalex.org/W2286011088","https://openalex.org/W2337591460","https://openalex.org/W2337623699","https://openalex.org/W2416609019","https://openalex.org/W2439175204","https://openalex.org/W2465777822","https://openalex.org/W2467635278","https://openalex.org/W2469586991","https://openalex.org/W2515479555","https://openalex.org/W2520961845","https://openalex.org/W2605854189","https://openalex.org/W2755932089","https://openalex.org/W2778619219","https://openalex.org/W2790127336","https://openalex.org/W2794129379","https://openalex.org/W2800580290","https://openalex.org/W2993603980","https://openalex.org/W4230152640","https://openalex.org/W7136240705"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2977502656","https://openalex.org/W2796251809","https://openalex.org/W2993603980","https://openalex.org/W2898065758","https://openalex.org/W2890967445","https://openalex.org/W3006559495","https://openalex.org/W2920963394","https://openalex.org/W7099871382","https://openalex.org/W2765887926","https://openalex.org/W3008153390"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"study":[1,45,60,98],"set":[2],"out":[3],"to":[4,188,241,274],"identify":[5],"and":[6,9,34,71,86,95,119,129,132,139,176,232,237,251,264,279,287],"analyse":[7],"trends":[8,85],"seasonal":[10],"variations":[11],"of":[12,17,48,68,81,109,150,161,195,222,246],"monthly":[13,105,174],"global":[14,106,256],"reported":[15,33,54,107,244,297],"cases":[16,108,156,164,185,197,245],"the":[18,32,37,41,44,53,66,89,112,124,162,196,202,212,242,268,280,290,295],"Middle":[19,238],"East":[20,239],"respiratory":[21],"syndrome":[22],"coronavirus":[23],"(MERS-CoV).":[24],"It":[25],"also":[26],"made":[27],"a":[28,79,100,166],"prediction":[29],"based":[30,143],"on":[31,144],"extrapolated":[35],"into":[36,126],"future":[38],"by":[39,111,190],"forecasting":[40,141],"trend.":[42],"Finally,":[43],"assessed":[46,148],"contributions":[47,149,221],"various":[49,151],"risk":[50,152,223,253],"factors":[51,153,224,254],"in":[52,154],"cases.":[55,299],"The":[56,97,183,218,248],"motivation":[57],"for":[58,173,180,255],"this":[59],"is":[61,78,92,99],"that":[62,293],"MERS-CoV":[63,110,155,163,184,257,298],"remains":[64],"among":[65],"list":[67],"blueprint":[69],"priority":[70],"potential":[72],"pandemic":[73],"diseases":[74],"globally.":[75],"Yet,":[76],"there":[77],"paucity":[80],"empirical":[82],"literature":[83],"examining":[84],"seasonality":[87],"as":[88,226],"available":[90],"evidence":[91],"generally":[93],"descriptive":[94],"anecdotal.":[96],"time":[101,215],"series":[102,125,175,213],"analysis":[103],"using":[104],"World":[113],"Health":[114],"Organisation":[115],"between":[116],"January":[117,120],"2015":[118],"2018.":[121,192],"We":[122,147],"decomposed":[123],"seasonal,":[127],"irregular":[128],"trend":[130,169,249],"components":[131],"identified":[133],"patterns,":[134],"smoothened":[135],"series,":[136],"generated":[137],"predictions":[138],"employed":[140],"techniques":[142],"linear":[145],"regression.":[146],"over":[157,214],"time.":[158],"Successive":[159],"months":[160],"suggest":[165,275],"significant":[167,276],"decreasing":[168],"(P":[170],"=":[171,178],"0.026":[172],"P":[177],"0.047":[179],"Quarterly":[181],"series).":[182],"are":[186],"forecast":[187],"wane":[189],"end":[191],"Seasonality":[193],"component":[194,250],"oscillated":[198],"below":[199],"or":[200],"above":[201],"baseline":[203],"(the":[204],"centred":[205],"moving":[206],"average),":[207],"but":[208],"no":[209],"association":[210],"with":[211],"was":[216],"noted.":[217],"results":[219],"revealed":[220],"such":[225],"camel":[227,260],"contact,":[228,261],"male,":[229,262],"old":[230],"age":[231,263],"being":[233],"from":[234],"Saudi":[235],"Arabia":[236],"regions":[240],"overall":[243],"MERS-CoV.":[247],"several":[252],"cases,":[258],"including":[259],"geography/region":[265],"significantly":[266],"affected":[267],"series.":[269],"Our":[270],"statistical":[271],"models":[272],"appear":[273],"predictive":[277],"capacity":[278],"findings":[281],"may":[282],"well":[283],"inform":[284],"healthcare":[285],"practitioners":[286],"policymakers":[288],"about":[289],"underlying":[291],"dynamics":[292],"produced":[294],"globally":[296]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2018-06-13T00:00:00"}