{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2804697886","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","title":"Interval forecasting of cyberattack intensity on informatization objects of industry using probability cluster model","display_name":"Interval forecasting of cyberattack intensity on informatization objects of industry using probability cluster model","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-05-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2804697886","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","mag":"2804697886"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210187594","display_name":"Journal of Physics Conference Series","issn_l":"1742-6588","issn":["1742-6588","1742-6596"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320083","host_organization_name":"IOP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320083","https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOP Publishing","Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Physics: Conference Series","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088/pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019718590","display_name":"Yuri Krakovsky","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4876-0618","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4876-0618"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210162507","display_name":"Irkutsk State Transport University","ror":"https://ror.org/05smtc341","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210162507"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Y M Krakovsky","raw_affiliation_strings":["Irkutsk State University of Railway Transport, 15, Chernyshevsky St., Irkutsk, 664074, Russia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Irkutsk State University of Railway Transport, 15, Chernyshevsky St., Irkutsk, 664074, Russia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210162507"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061978824","display_name":"A. N. Luzgin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5757-1061","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5757-1061","https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2669-3787"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"A N Luzgin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Administration of Irkutsk City, 14, Lenina St., Irkutsk, 660025, Russia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Administration of Irkutsk City, 14, Lenina St., Irkutsk, 660025, Russia","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"E A Mikhailova","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I192758561","display_name":"Transbaikal State University","ror":"https://ror.org/00d55g310","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I192758561"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2801633520","display_name":"Baikal State University","ror":"https://ror.org/024fhbm82","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801633520"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"E A Mikhailova","raw_affiliation_strings":["Chita Institute of Baikal State University, 56, Anokin St., Chita, 672000, Russia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Chita Institute of Baikal State University, 56, Anokin St., Chita, 672000, Russia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I192758561","https://openalex.org/I2801633520"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.3693,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.43367148,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":93,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"1015","issue":null,"first_page":"032088","last_page":"032088"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10400","display_name":"Network Security and Intrusion Detection","score":0.9878000020980835,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1705","display_name":"Computer Networks and Communications"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10400","display_name":"Network Security and Intrusion Detection","score":0.9878000020980835,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1705","display_name":"Computer Networks and Communications"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10734","display_name":"Information and Cyber Security","score":0.00279999990016222,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1710","display_name":"Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12519","display_name":"Cybercrime and Law Enforcement Studies","score":0.0010000000474974513,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3308","display_name":"Law"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/prediction-intervals","display_name":"prediction intervals","score":0.9710000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cybersecurity","display_name":"cybersecurity","score":0.5360000133514404}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776352007","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q181588","display_name":"Informatization","level":2,"score":0.616212785243988},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5948567390441895},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778067643","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q166507","display_name":"Interval (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.5589507818222046},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26517878","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228039","display_name":"Key (lock)","level":2,"score":0.4959770143032074},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.4931902289390564},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C164866538","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q367351","display_name":"Cluster (spacecraft)","level":2,"score":0.4834100008010864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.45888572931289673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3396945595741272},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.3242974877357483},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.32328706979751587},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.1977519989013672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.17169174551963806},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.1176435649394989},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.09592276811599731},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210187594","display_name":"Journal of Physics Conference Series","issn_l":"1742-6588","issn":["1742-6588","1742-6596"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320083","host_organization_name":"IOP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320083","https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOP Publishing","Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Physics: Conference Series","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088","pdf_url":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/1015/3/032088/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210187594","display_name":"Journal of Physics Conference Series","issn_l":"1742-6588","issn":["1742-6588","1742-6596"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320083","host_organization_name":"IOP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320083","https://openalex.org/P4310311669"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOP Publishing","Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Physics: Conference Series","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2804697886.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2804697886.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":5,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W598013049","https://openalex.org/W1971654961","https://openalex.org/W2183110862","https://openalex.org/W2530252674","https://openalex.org/W2725705318"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2605817989","https://openalex.org/W4280600669","https://openalex.org/W3118581336","https://openalex.org/W3014696852","https://openalex.org/W2904754882","https://openalex.org/W7095506133","https://openalex.org/W2304584367","https://openalex.org/W3007746048","https://openalex.org/W2420521316","https://openalex.org/W4413540448"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"At":[0],"present,":[1],"cyber-security":[2],"issues":[3],"associated":[4],"with":[5,59,87],"the":[6,14,18,67,111,121,150],"informatization":[7],"objects":[8],"of":[9,13,25,28,40,52,108,110,120,136,149,160],"industry":[10],"occupy":[11],"one":[12,109],"key":[15],"niches":[16],"in":[17,62,115],"state":[19],"management":[20],"system.":[21],"As":[22],"a":[23,88,100,117,142,158,164],"result":[24],"functional":[26],"disruption":[27],"these":[29,63,137],"systems":[30],"via":[31],"cyberattacks,":[32],"an":[33],"emergency":[34],"may":[35],"arise":[36],"related":[37],"to":[38,69,168],"loss":[39],"life,":[41],"environmental":[42],"disasters,":[43],"major":[44],"financial":[45],"and":[46,54,84],"economic":[47],"damage,":[48],"or":[49],"disrupted":[50],"activities":[51],"cities":[53],"settlements.":[55],"When":[56],"cyberattacks":[57,162],"occur":[58],"high":[60],"intensity,":[61],"conditions":[64],"there":[65],"is":[66,95,139],"need":[68],"develop":[70],"protection":[71],"against":[72],"them,":[73],"based":[74,98,145],"on":[75,99,146],"machine":[76],"learning":[77],"methods.":[78],"This":[79,104],"paper":[80],"examines":[81],"interval":[82,93],"forecasting":[83,94,107],"presents":[85],"results":[86],"pre-set":[89],"intensity":[90],"level.":[91],"The":[92],"carried":[96],"out":[97],"probabilistic":[101],"cluster":[102],"model.":[103],"method":[105,144],"involves":[106],"two":[112],"predetermined":[113],"intervals":[114,138],"which":[116],"future":[118],"value":[119],"indicator":[122],"will":[123],"be":[124],"located;":[125],"probability":[126],"estimates":[127],"are":[128,154],"used":[129,155],"for":[130],"this":[131],"purpose.":[132],"A":[133],"dividing":[134],"bound":[135],"determined":[140],"by":[141],"calculation":[143],"statistical":[147],"characteristics":[148],"indicator.":[151],"Source":[152],"data":[153],"that":[156],"includes":[157],"number":[159],"hourly":[161],"using":[163],"honeypot":[165],"from":[166],"March":[167],"September":[169],"2013.":[170]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-09-29T14:09:16.559479","created_date":"2018-06-01T00:00:00"}