{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2802590185","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/697464","title":"Electoral Volatility in Latin America","display_name":"Electoral Volatility in Latin America","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-05-10","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2802590185","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/697464","mag":"2802590185"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1086/697464","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/697464","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1086/697464","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S95650557","display_name":"The Journal of Politics","issn_l":"0022-3816","issn":["0022-3816","1468-2508"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315672","host_organization_name":"University of Chicago Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315672","https://openalex.org/P4310315690"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["University of Chicago Press","University of Chicago"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Journal of Politics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5071478682","display_name":"Mollie J Cohen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5992-4713","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5992-4713"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200719446","display_name":"Vanderbilt University","ror":"https://ror.org/02vm5rt34","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200719446"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mollie J. Cohen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Vanderbilt University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Vanderbilt University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200719446"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016234724","display_name":"Facundo Salles Kobilanski","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200719446","display_name":"Vanderbilt University","ror":"https://ror.org/02vm5rt34","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200719446"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Facundo E. Salles Kobilanski","raw_affiliation_strings":["Vanderbilt University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Vanderbilt University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200719446"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5038315612","display_name":"Elizabeth J. Zechmeister","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9820-5674","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9820-5674"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200719446","display_name":"Vanderbilt University","ror":"https://ror.org/02vm5rt34","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200719446"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Elizabeth J. Zechmeister","raw_affiliation_strings":["Vanderbilt University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Vanderbilt University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200719446"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200719446"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":6.4663,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":49,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96187903,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"80","issue":"3","first_page":"1017","last_page":"1022"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10108","display_name":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","score":0.6654999852180481,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10108","display_name":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","score":0.6654999852180481,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13684","display_name":"Political Dynamics in Latin America","score":0.2515000104904175,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10777","display_name":"Politics and Society in Latin America","score":0.06319999694824219,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electoral-volatility","display_name":"electoral volatility","score":0.9980000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/democratic-transition","display_name":"democratic transition","score":0.6959999799728394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/latin-america","display_name":"Latin America","score":0.5899999737739563},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/presidential-elections","display_name":"presidential elections","score":0.6079999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/parliamentary-elections","display_name":"parliamentary elections","score":0.9559999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/post-transition-politics","display_name":"post-transition politics","score":0.4580000042915344}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91602232","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q756115","display_name":"Volatility (finance)","level":2,"score":0.8645522594451904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158886217","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16799549","display_name":"Latin Americans","level":2,"score":0.7448780536651611},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197487636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q49892","display_name":"Presidential system","level":3,"score":0.6826125383377075},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83009810","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11204","display_name":"Legislature","level":2,"score":0.6761023998260498},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C555826173","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7174","display_name":"Democracy","level":3,"score":0.4862858057022095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.47986119985580444},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C192620184","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7940002","display_name":"Volatility swap","level":4,"score":0.4373745322227478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.4352574646472931},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.21747413277626038},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24189920","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1660345","display_name":"Implied volatility","level":3,"score":0.20207342505455017},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.1546327769756317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.10241693258285522}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1086/697464","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/697464","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1086/697464","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S95650557","display_name":"The Journal of Politics","issn_l":"0022-3816","issn":["0022-3816","1468-2508"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315672","host_organization_name":"University of Chicago Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315672","https://openalex.org/P4310315690"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["University of Chicago Press","University of Chicago"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Journal of Politics","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:digitalcommons.fiu.edu:srhreports-1361","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/srhreports/political-stability/political-stability/8","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196488","display_name":"FIU - Digital Commons (Florida International University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I19700959","host_organization_name":"Florida International University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19700959"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Security Research Hub Reports","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:digitalcommons.fiu.edu:srhreports-4245","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/srhreports/cybersecurity/cybersecurity/710","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401637","display_name":"Florida International University Digital Commons (Florida International University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I19700959","host_organization_name":"Florida International University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19700959"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Security Research Hub Reports","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:digitalcommons.fiu.edu:srhreports-4535","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/srhreports/state-stability-and-infrastructure/state-stability-and-infrastructure/97","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401637","display_name":"Florida International University Digital Commons (Florida International University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I19700959","host_organization_name":"Florida International University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19700959"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Security Research Hub Reports","raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","score":0.6601999998092651}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320309151","display_name":"Vanderbilt University","ror":"https://ror.org/02vm5rt34"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":33,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W587580247","https://openalex.org/W602635511","https://openalex.org/W637621955","https://openalex.org/W1484419994","https://openalex.org/W1932653781","https://openalex.org/W1966369516","https://openalex.org/W1994292715","https://openalex.org/W2007544464","https://openalex.org/W2035587687","https://openalex.org/W2048136616","https://openalex.org/W2053862697","https://openalex.org/W2058863953","https://openalex.org/W2077636920","https://openalex.org/W2078194049","https://openalex.org/W2083463179","https://openalex.org/W2095720674","https://openalex.org/W2131770423","https://openalex.org/W2152682034","https://openalex.org/W2159463455","https://openalex.org/W2160272309","https://openalex.org/W2161959120","https://openalex.org/W2170883809","https://openalex.org/W2319617675","https://openalex.org/W2321289126","https://openalex.org/W2331690141","https://openalex.org/W2339855260","https://openalex.org/W2462368894","https://openalex.org/W2532107186","https://openalex.org/W3014253677","https://openalex.org/W3124043415","https://openalex.org/W4230023085","https://openalex.org/W4230927399","https://openalex.org/W4234609358"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2152682034","https://openalex.org/W4398245758","https://openalex.org/W2902177470","https://openalex.org/W2953713620","https://openalex.org/W7062325399","https://openalex.org/W3183340590","https://openalex.org/W2083463179","https://openalex.org/W2103281731","https://openalex.org/W7047434771","https://openalex.org/W7025498710"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Using":[0],"an":[1],"original":[2],"database":[3],"of":[4,14,28,40,59,82,121],"legislative":[5],"and":[6,17,51,94,96,127],"presidential":[7],"electoral":[8,29],"results":[9],"from":[10],"the":[11,15,20,57,88,112,125,130],"democratic":[12],"transitions":[13],"1970s":[16],"1980s":[18,113],"to":[19,62,132],"present":[21,133],"day,":[22],"we":[23,43],"provide":[24],"a":[25,35,109,122],"new":[26],"assessment":[27],"volatility":[30,45,69,95,128],"in":[31,38,75,100,111,114],"Latin":[32,63,76,115],"America.":[33],"Following":[34],"model":[36],"established":[37],"studies":[39],"other":[41],"regions,":[42],"decompose":[44],"into":[46],"two":[47],"subtypes:":[48],"party":[49,53,83],"replacement":[50],"stable":[52],"volatility.":[54],"We":[55,85],"demonstrate":[56],"relevance":[58],"this":[60,101],"approach":[61],"America":[64,116],"and,":[65],"further,":[66],"document":[67,97],"that":[68],"has":[70],"persisted":[71],"rather":[72],"than":[73],"waned":[74],"America\u2019s":[77],"posttransition":[78],"period":[79],"largely":[80],"because":[81],"replacement.":[84],"then":[86],"examine":[87],"contested":[89],"link":[90],"between":[91,124],"economic":[92],"performance":[93],"temporal":[98],"instability":[99],"relationship:":[102],"our":[103],"analysis":[104],"affirms":[105],"previous":[106],"conclusions":[107],"regarding":[108],"connection":[110],"but":[117],"uncovers":[118],"scant":[119],"evidence":[120],"relationship":[123],"economy":[126],"for":[129],"1990s":[131],"day.":[134]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":21},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2018-05-17T00:00:00"}
