{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2785337205","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icitisee.2017.8285535","title":"The use of exponential smoothing method to predict missing service e-report","display_name":"The use of exponential smoothing method to predict missing service e-report","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-11-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2785337205","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icitisee.2017.8285535","mag":"2785337205"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/icitisee.2017.8285535","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icitisee.2017.8285535","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icitisee.2017.8285535","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407089156","display_name":"International Conference on Information Technology, Information Systems and Electrical Engineering (ICITISEE)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2017 2nd International conferences on Information Technology, Information Systems and Electrical Engineering (ICITISEE)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034263726","display_name":"Ahmad Chusyairi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5534-8192","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5534-8192"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405273994","display_name":"Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer PGRI Banyuwangi","ror":"https://ror.org/00vg4a808","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405273994"]}],"countries":["ID"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ahmad Chusyairi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Information Technology, STIKOM PGRI Banyuwangi, Banyuwangi, Indonesia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Information Technology, STIKOM PGRI Banyuwangi, Banyuwangi, Indonesia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405273994"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"N. S. Pelsri Ramadar","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405273994","display_name":"Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer PGRI Banyuwangi","ror":"https://ror.org/00vg4a808","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405273994"]}],"countries":["ID"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"N. S. Pelsri Ramadar","raw_affiliation_strings":["Information Technology STIKOM PGRI Banyuwangi Banyuwangi, Indonesia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Information Technology STIKOM PGRI Banyuwangi Banyuwangi, Indonesia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405273994"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Bagio","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bagio","raw_affiliation_strings":["Planning Departement Police Resort Banyuwangi Banyuwangi, Indonesia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Planning Departement Police Resort Banyuwangi Banyuwangi, Indonesia","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.6189,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":26,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.94172494,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":93,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"39","last_page":"44"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9980000257492065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9980000257492065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13373","display_name":"Data Mining and Machine Learning Applications","score":0.0006000000284984708,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1710","display_name":"Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.0003000000142492354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/exponential-smoothing","display_name":"exponential smoothing","score":0.9089999794960022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/simple-exponential-smoothing","display_name":"single exponential smoothing","score":0.7459999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/double-exponential-smoothing","display_name":"double exponential smoothing","score":0.9940000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/holt-winters-exponential-smoothing","display_name":"Holt-Winters exponential smoothing","score":1.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-accuracy","display_name":"forecast accuracy","score":0.625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-absolute-deviation","display_name":"mean absolute deviation","score":0.6930000185966492},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-squared-error","display_name":"mean squared error","score":0.8080000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-absolute-percentage-error","display_name":"mean absolute percentage error","score":0.921999990940094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/banyuwangi-regency","display_name":"Banyuwangi","score":0.8460000157356262}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133710760","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775837","display_name":"Exponential smoothing","level":2,"score":0.8148254752159119},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6469787359237671},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3770464","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775963","display_name":"Smoothing","level":2,"score":0.5736844539642334},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151376022","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q168698","display_name":"Exponential function","level":2,"score":0.4640929102897644},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9357733","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6878417","display_name":"Missing data","level":2,"score":0.4531328082084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.39925819635391235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.23323053121566772},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.20609644055366516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C31972630","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q844240","display_name":"Computer vision","level":1,"score":0.09933462738990784},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/icitisee.2017.8285535","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icitisee.2017.8285535","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icitisee.2017.8285535","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407089156","display_name":"International Conference on Information Technology, Information Systems and Electrical Engineering (ICITISEE)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2017 2nd International conferences on Information Technology, Information Systems and Electrical Engineering (ICITISEE)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":16,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2039923804","https://openalex.org/W2057878745","https://openalex.org/W2077193157","https://openalex.org/W2132782512","https://openalex.org/W2197660440","https://openalex.org/W2514966508","https://openalex.org/W2526835632","https://openalex.org/W2528977707","https://openalex.org/W2530978036","https://openalex.org/W2539209928","https://openalex.org/W2543787470","https://openalex.org/W2587771132","https://openalex.org/W2588834459","https://openalex.org/W2599736600","https://openalex.org/W2604475024","https://openalex.org/W2609368258"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2946475112","https://openalex.org/W2003154819","https://openalex.org/W4282040138","https://openalex.org/W4394980520","https://openalex.org/W93338370","https://openalex.org/W4387615400","https://openalex.org/W2775707043","https://openalex.org/W4387084798","https://openalex.org/W3182187872","https://openalex.org/W7163712716"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"\u201cOne-Click":[0],"Service":[1],"Police":[2,98],"Resort\u201d":[3],"is":[4,61,86],"public":[5],"service":[6,15],"innovation":[7],"that":[8,82],"can":[9],"give":[10],"a":[11,45],"solution":[12],"especially":[13],"missing":[14,42,94],"report":[16],"(E-Report)":[17],"for":[18,39],"Banyuwangi":[19],"Society.":[20],"In":[21],"this":[22],"research":[23],"examines":[24],"the":[25,41,64,93,103],"selection":[26],"of":[27,59,96,106],"an":[28,88],"appropriate":[29,89],"forecasting":[30,48],"model":[31],"in":[32,44],"accordance":[33],"with":[34],"time":[35],"series":[36],"data":[37],"available":[38],"predicting":[40],"reports":[43,95],"period.":[46],"The":[47,79],"method":[49,90],"uses":[50],"Single,":[51],"Double,":[52],"and":[53,73,108],"Triple":[54],"Exponential":[55,84],"Smoothing.":[56],"Forecasting":[57],"accuracy":[58],"detection":[60],"discussed":[62],"using":[63],"Mean":[65,69,74],"Absolute":[66,75],"Deviation":[67],"(MAD),":[68],"Square":[70],"Error":[71,77],"(MSE),":[72],"Percentage":[76],"(MAPE).":[78],"result":[80],"shows":[81],"Single":[83],"Smoothing":[85],"considered":[87],"to":[91],"forecast":[92],"E-Report":[97],"Resort":[99],"because":[100],"it":[101],"produces":[102],"smallest":[104],"value":[105],"MAD":[107],"MSE.":[109]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2018-02-23T00:00:00"}