{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2731518166","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055418000187","title":"Dynamic Pivotal Politics","display_name":"Dynamic Pivotal Politics","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2731518166","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055418000187","mag":"2731518166"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1017/s0003055418000187","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055418000187","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055418000187","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S176007004","display_name":"American Political Science Review","issn_l":"0003-0554","issn":["0003-0554","1537-5943"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a-star","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311721","host_organization_name":"Cambridge University Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311721","https://openalex.org/P4310311702"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cambridge University Press","University of Cambridge"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"American Political Science Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2992553","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070080181","display_name":"Wioletta Dziuda","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40347166","display_name":"University of Chicago","ror":"https://ror.org/024mw5h28","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40347166"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"WIOLETTA DZIUDA","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Chicago"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Chicago","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40347166"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5087920650","display_name":"Antoine Loeper","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9210-5405","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9210-5405"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I50357001","display_name":"Universidad Carlos III de Madrid","ror":"https://ror.org/03ths8210","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I50357001"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"ANTOINE LOEPER","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidad Carlos III de Madrid"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad Carlos III de Madrid","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I50357001"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5070080181","https://openalex.org/A5087920650"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40347166","https://openalex.org/I50357001"],"apc_list":{"value":3550,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3550},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":15.2205,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":59,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.98779739,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"112","issue":"3","first_page":"580","last_page":"601"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10991","display_name":"Game Theory and Voting Systems","score":0.9580000042915344,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10991","display_name":"Game Theory and Voting Systems","score":0.9580000042915344,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10108","display_name":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","score":0.030700000002980232,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11621","display_name":"Fiscal Policies and Political Economy","score":0.0027000000700354576,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/legislative-process","display_name":"legislative process","score":0.7609999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dynamic-preferences","display_name":"dynamic preferences","score":0.515999972820282},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/strategic-voting","display_name":"strategic voting","score":0.8029999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/status-quo-bias","display_name":"status quo bias","score":0.5460000038146973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/checks-and-balances","display_name":"checks and balances","score":0.7839999794960022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/institutional-bias","display_name":"institutional bias","score":0.746999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/budget-procedures","display_name":"budget procedures","score":0.6309999823570251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/policy-inertia","display_name":"policy inertia","score":0.5210000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/voting-rules","display_name":"voting rules","score":0.49900001287460327},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ideological-polarization","display_name":"ideological polarization","score":0.4869999885559082}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C520049643","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189760","display_name":"Voting","level":3,"score":0.7623192071914673},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778680907","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1725430","display_name":"Lawmaking","level":3,"score":0.7177842855453491},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776748549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q201610","display_name":"Status quo","level":2,"score":0.6741001605987549},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.6645001173019409},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136566586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q29598","display_name":"Status quo bias","level":3,"score":0.5829874873161316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158071213","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7257","display_name":"Ideology","level":3,"score":0.5252587199211121},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.502802848815918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91602232","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q756115","display_name":"Volatility (finance)","level":2,"score":0.49057736992836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780510313","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178706","display_name":"Institution","level":2,"score":0.4743272662162781},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.45349323749542236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205049153","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2698605","display_name":"Polarization (electrochemistry)","level":2,"score":0.45108211040496826},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100001284","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2248246","display_name":"Public economics","level":1,"score":0.43509501218795776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.27338549494743347},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83009810","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11204","display_name":"Legislature","level":2,"score":0.20694413781166077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.17691919207572937},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C34447519","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q179522","display_name":"Market economy","level":1,"score":0.12960976362228394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.09581398963928223},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147789679","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11372","display_name":"Physical chemistry","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1017/s0003055418000187","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055418000187","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055418000187","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S176007004","display_name":"American Political Science Review","issn_l":"0003-0554","issn":["0003-0554","1537-5943"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a-star","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311721","host_organization_name":"Cambridge University Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311721","https://openalex.org/P4310311702"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cambridge University Press","University of Cambridge"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"American Political Science Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.2992553","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2992553","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2992553","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:112:y:2018:i:03:p:580-601_00","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0003055418000187/type/journal_article","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:e-archivo.uc3m.es:10016/34950","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10016/34950","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400817","display_name":"e-Archivo (Carlos III University of Madrid)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I50357001","host_organization_name":"Universidad Carlos III de Madrid","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I50357001"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.2992553","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2992553","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2992553","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","score":0.8046000003814697}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":80,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W4919307","https://openalex.org/W165530429","https://openalex.org/W396530603","https://openalex.org/W442666244","https://openalex.org/W580274946","https://openalex.org/W1482828348","https://openalex.org/W1494010675","https://openalex.org/W1536322546","https://openalex.org/W1641976291","https://openalex.org/W1958745823","https://openalex.org/W1964241871","https://openalex.org/W1966588556","https://openalex.org/W1980445407","https://openalex.org/W1983915274","https://openalex.org/W1985075819","https://openalex.org/W1985949226","https://openalex.org/W1988908342","https://openalex.org/W2012988652","https://openalex.org/W2016492360","https://openalex.org/W2025081762","https://openalex.org/W2032523302","https://openalex.org/W2038167754","https://openalex.org/W2038922443","https://openalex.org/W2043875203","https://openalex.org/W2063156741","https://openalex.org/W2074431091","https://openalex.org/W2087247699","https://openalex.org/W2097164000","https://openalex.org/W2099756398","https://openalex.org/W2100254889","https://openalex.org/W2105321334","https://openalex.org/W2110582698","https://openalex.org/W2113598396","https://openalex.org/W2114596942","https://openalex.org/W2114709930","https://openalex.org/W2119290332","https://openalex.org/W2125398298","https://openalex.org/W2127507627","https://openalex.org/W2130207264","https://openalex.org/W2137693394","https://openalex.org/W2144487326","https://openalex.org/W2156790980","https://openalex.org/W2156837470","https://openalex.org/W2158133186","https://openalex.org/W2165267412","https://openalex.org/W2166204006","https://openalex.org/W2167669508","https://openalex.org/W2170542384","https://openalex.org/W2183377689","https://openalex.org/W2183543315","https://openalex.org/W2185367728","https://openalex.org/W2211624284","https://openalex.org/W2243287487","https://openalex.org/W2327081444","https://openalex.org/W2329180535","https://openalex.org/W2478674739","https://openalex.org/W2494701010","https://openalex.org/W2561161178","https://openalex.org/W2740058373","https://openalex.org/W2767962019","https://openalex.org/W2798343830","https://openalex.org/W2802807550","https://openalex.org/W3025136986","https://openalex.org/W3121164501","https://openalex.org/W3122871031","https://openalex.org/W3122932432","https://openalex.org/W3123180225","https://openalex.org/W3123682431","https://openalex.org/W3124457044","https://openalex.org/W3124801992","https://openalex.org/W3187774502","https://openalex.org/W4211048892","https://openalex.org/W4214530754","https://openalex.org/W4234963003","https://openalex.org/W4246440837","https://openalex.org/W4250251550","https://openalex.org/W4252240692","https://openalex.org/W4256313908","https://openalex.org/W6817165550","https://openalex.org/W7025122731"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2287383714","https://openalex.org/W1581298289","https://openalex.org/W2127702318","https://openalex.org/W7098783267","https://openalex.org/W1505672000","https://openalex.org/W4405679713","https://openalex.org/W2187115922","https://openalex.org/W3124642532","https://openalex.org/W2608714085","https://openalex.org/W4388291257"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"We":[0],"analyze":[1],"a":[2,6,58,94],"dynamic":[3],"extension":[4],"of":[5,9,28,67,75,84,121,129],"parsimonious":[7],"model":[8],"lawmaking":[10],"in":[11,25,106],"which":[12,62,98],"preferences":[13],"evolve":[14],"over":[15],"time":[16],"and":[17,40,47,79,123,125],"today's":[18],"policy":[19,31,77,87,96,103],"becomes":[20],"tomorrow's":[21],"status":[22],"quo.":[23],"Unlike":[24],"existing":[26,115],"models":[27],"pivotal":[29],"politics,":[30],"makers'":[32],"voting":[33,108],"behavior":[34,56,91],"depends":[35],"on":[36,41],"the":[37,54,65,71,73,76,80,85,107,114,118,127],"institutional":[38,130],"environment":[39],"their":[42],"expectations":[43],"about":[44],"future":[45,86],"economic":[46],"political":[48],"shocks.":[49],"Relative":[50],"to":[51],"sincere":[52],"voting,":[53],"equilibrium":[55,90],"exhibits":[57,93],"strategic":[59,95],"polarization":[60,83],"effect":[61,120],"increases":[63],"with":[64],"degree":[66],"consensus":[68],"required":[69],"by":[70],"institution,":[72],"volatility":[74],"environment,":[78],"expected":[81],"ideological":[82],"makers.":[88],"The":[89],"also":[92],"bias":[97,104],"works":[99],"against":[100],"any":[101],"exogenous":[102],"embedded":[105],"rule.":[109],"Our":[110],"analysis":[111],"implies":[112],"that":[113],"literature":[116],"underestimates":[117],"inertial":[119],"checks":[122],"balances":[124],"overestimates":[126],"impact":[128],"biases":[131],"such":[132],"as":[133],"fiscally":[134],"conservative":[135],"budget":[136],"procedures.":[137]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":23},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-03T10:50:19.383937","created_date":"2017-07-14T00:00:00"}