{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2621773316","doi":null,"title":"The hindsight bias in temporal predictions of animated automobile accidents","display_name":"The hindsight bias in temporal predictions of animated automobile accidents","publication_year":2010,"publication_date":"2010-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2621773316","mag":"2621773316"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org/ark:/13030/qt7t0901jk","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","pdf_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, vol 32, iss 32","raw_type":"article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035419679","display_name":"Dustin P. Calvillo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6747-9605","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6747-9605"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dustin P. Calvillo","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6747-9605","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5006182790","display_name":"Dayna M. Gomes","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dayna Gomes","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.32543895,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"32","issue":"32","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.8769999742507935,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.8769999742507935,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10918","display_name":"Memory Processes and Influences","score":0.06849999725818634,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2805","display_name":"Cognitive Neuroscience"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/28","display_name":"Neuroscience"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12574","display_name":"Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills","score":0.014100000262260437,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2714","display_name":"Family Practice"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/hindsight-bias","display_name":"hindsight bias","score":1.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/temporal-prediction","display_name":"temporal prediction","score":0.9020000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/automobile-accidents","display_name":"automobile accidents","score":0.8700000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/animation","display_name":"animation","score":0.39500001072883606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/crash-prediction","display_name":"accident prediction","score":0.39800000190734863}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10347200","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1960297","display_name":"Hindsight bias","level":2,"score":0.9960215091705322},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C502989409","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11425","display_name":"Animation","level":2,"score":0.6938405632972717},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780289543","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q424630","display_name":"Accident (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.5981934666633606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.4310653507709503},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64848388","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188867","display_name":"Futures studies","level":2,"score":0.4185715913772583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3026998043060303},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.24848270416259766},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.14559099078178406},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121684516","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7600677","display_name":"Computer graphics (images)","level":1,"score":0.12450376152992249},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.07963487505912781},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.07220324873924255}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org/ark:/13030/qt7t0901jk","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","pdf_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, vol 32, iss 32","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:qt7t0901jk","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","pdf_url":"http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Calvillo, Dustin; & Gomes, Dayna. (2010). The hindsight bias in temporal predictions of animated automobile accidents. Proceedings of the Cognitive Science Society, 32(32). Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"mag:2621773316","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/content/qt7t0901jk/qt7t0901jk.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306523994","display_name":"Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society","raw_type":null},{"id":"mag:2776534888","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/content/qt7t0901jk/qt7t0901jk.pdf?t=op2lw6","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306523994","display_name":"Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org/ark:/13030/qt7t0901jk","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","pdf_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7t0901jk","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, vol 32, iss 32","raw_type":"article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2621773316.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1976992876","https://openalex.org/W2776534888","https://openalex.org/W611532634","https://openalex.org/W2133900951","https://openalex.org/W615510138","https://openalex.org/W2779136103","https://openalex.org/W2170468634","https://openalex.org/W2607432332","https://openalex.org/W2060151585","https://openalex.org/W2090116925"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,25,47],"hindsight":[1,26,52,99,143,163],"bias":[2,27,53],"in":[3,54,63,69,97,141,157],"temporal":[4],"predictions":[5],"of":[6,34,56,65],"animated":[7],"automobile":[8,57],"accidents":[9,79,107],"Dustin":[10],"Calvillo":[11],"California":[12,19],"State":[13,20],"University":[14],"San":[15],"Marcos":[16],"Dayna":[17],"Gomes":[18],"University,":[21],"Los":[22],"Angeles":[23],"Abstract:":[24],"occurs":[28],"when":[29,87,127,150],"people":[30],"judge":[31],"the":[32,51,70,85,98,115,120,125,142,146,151,158],"outcome":[33],"an":[35,92,136],"event":[36],"as":[37],"more":[38],"predictable":[39],"than":[40,155],"it":[41,45],"actually":[42,153],"was":[43],"before":[44],"occurred.":[46],"current":[48],"experiment":[49],"examined":[50],"animations":[55,62,77,105,147],"accidents.":[58],"Participants":[59],"viewed":[60,109,114],"eight":[61],"one":[64],"two":[66],"conditions.":[67],"Those":[68,96,140],"foresight":[71,159],"condition":[72,100,144],"were":[73,81,89,101],"told":[74,102],"that":[75,91,103],"some":[76],"contained":[78,106],"and":[80,108],"instructed":[82],"to":[83,149],"stop":[84],"animation":[86,111,117,126],"they":[88,123,128],"certain":[90,135],"accident":[93,137,152],"would":[94,133,138],"occur.":[95,139],"all":[104],"each":[110],"twice.":[112],"They":[113],"entire":[116],"first.":[118],"On":[119],"second":[121],"viewing,":[122],"stopped":[124,145],"thought":[129],"a":[130,162],"na\u00a8ive":[131],"viewer":[132],"be":[134],"closer":[148],"occurred":[154],"those":[156],"condition,":[160],"demonstrating":[161],"bias.":[164]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-08T12:12:28.789561","created_date":"2017-06-15T00:00:00"}