{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2611048798","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000092015","title":"Yield Trend Estimation in the Presence of Farm Heterogeneity and Non-linear Technological Change","display_name":"Yield Trend Estimation in the Presence of Farm Heterogeneity and Non-linear Technological Change","publication_year":2014,"publication_date":"2014-05-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2611048798","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000092015","mag":"2611048798"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:library.wur.nl:wurpubs/561244","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/yield-trend-estimation-in-the-presence-of-farm-heterogeneity-and-","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210201231","display_name":"Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling","issn_l":"2663-3027","issn":["2663-3027"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"ISSN: 0049-8599","raw_type":"Article/Letter to editor"},"volume":null,"type":"other","is_traditional":false,"indexed_in":["datacite"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/yield-trend-estimation-in-the-presence-of-farm-heterogeneity-and-","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018136923","display_name":"Sarah Conradt","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Conradt, Sarah","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5039424439","display_name":"Raushan Bokusheva","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3080-6270","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3080-6270"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bokusheva, Raushan","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005399765","display_name":"Robert Finger","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0634-5742","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0634-5742","https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4253-7597"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Finger, Robert","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5077676138","display_name":"Talgat Kussaiynov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6439-1261","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6439-1261"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kussaiynov, Talgat","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":10,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"53","issue":"2","first_page":"121","last_page":"140"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10439","display_name":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","score":0.9154999852180481,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10439","display_name":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","score":0.9154999852180481,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11886","display_name":"Agricultural risk and resilience","score":0.062300000339746475,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11805","display_name":"Agricultural economics and policies","score":0.004699999932199717,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technological-change","display_name":"technological change","score":0.6700000166893005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/farm-heterogeneity","display_name":"farm heterogeneity","score":0.972000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/detrending","display_name":"detrending","score":0.5580000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/robust-regression","display_name":"robust regression","score":0.734000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mm-estimator","display_name":"MM-estimator","score":0.9610000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/extreme-weather-events","display_name":"extreme weather events","score":0.8840000033378601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dryland-agriculture","display_name":"rainfed agriculture","score":0.8769999742507935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wheat-yield","display_name":"wheat yield","score":0.7279999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-risk-management","display_name":"agricultural risk management","score":0.6470000147819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-aggregation-level","display_name":"data aggregation level","score":0.652999997138977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/north-kazakhstan","display_name":"Northern Kazakhstan","score":0.6880000233650208}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134121241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q899301","display_name":"Yield (engineering)","level":2,"score":0.7060337066650391},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185429906","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1130160","display_name":"Estimator","level":2,"score":0.5942909717559814},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118518473","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11451","display_name":"Agriculture","level":2,"score":0.5772882699966431},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.5608169436454773},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5391647219657898},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99656134","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912993","display_name":"Ordinary least squares","level":2,"score":0.5350872874259949},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.4953519403934479},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126343540","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q889514","display_name":"Crop yield","level":2,"score":0.4500388205051422},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48921125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10861030","display_name":"Linear regression","level":2,"score":0.4453474283218384},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C137996800","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q762702","display_name":"Technological change","level":2,"score":0.43440693616867065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C152877465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q208042","display_name":"Regression analysis","level":2,"score":0.4302574694156647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83546350","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1139051","display_name":"Regression","level":2,"score":0.4249441921710968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.41971346735954285},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3915688395500183},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3505425453186035},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.264107346534729},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.1714366376399994},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.1686812937259674},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C6557445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q173113","display_name":"Agronomy","level":1,"score":0.12548068165779114},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.09368723630905151},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191897082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11467","display_name":"Metallurgy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C192562407","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228736","display_name":"Materials science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":6,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:library.wur.nl:wurpubs/561244","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/yield-trend-estimation-in-the-presence-of-farm-heterogeneity-and-","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210201231","display_name":"Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling","issn_l":"2663-3027","issn":["2663-3027"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"ISSN: 0049-8599","raw_type":"Article/Letter to editor"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:ags:qjiage:195732","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/195732/files/2_Conradt.pdf","pdf_url":"https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/195732/files/2_Conradt.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:www.research-collection.ethz.ch:20.500.11850/92015","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/92015","pdf_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/92015","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402302","display_name":"Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I35440088","host_organization_name":"ETH Zurich","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I35440088"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture, 53 (2)","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:wur:oai:library.wur.nl:wurpubs/561244","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/yield-trend-estimation-in-the-presence-of-farm-heterogeneity-and-","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401843","display_name":"Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1322597698","host_organization_name":"Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1322597698"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture, 53(2), 121 - 140","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"mag:2611048798","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/handle/195732","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764560090","display_name":"Zeitschrift f\u00fcr ausl\u00e4ndische Landwirtschaft","issn_l":"0049-8599","issn":["0049-8599"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Zeitschrift f\u00fcr ausl\u00e4ndische Landwirtschaft","raw_type":null},{"id":"doi:10.3929/ethz-b-000092015","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000092015","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000092015","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407051236","display_name":"ETH Z\u00fcrich Research Collection","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article-journal"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:library.wur.nl:wurpubs/561244","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/yield-trend-estimation-in-the-presence-of-farm-heterogeneity-and-","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210201231","display_name":"Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling","issn_l":"2663-3027","issn":["2663-3027"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"ISSN: 0049-8599","raw_type":"Article/Letter to editor"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.991100013256073,"display_name":"Zero hunger","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2"},{"score":0.4399999976158142,"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","display_name":"National Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/021nxhr62"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320924","display_name":"Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F\u00f6rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung","ror":"https://ror.org/00yjd3n13"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2611048798.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2611048798.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1606475178","https://openalex.org/W3122452686","https://openalex.org/W2098829572","https://openalex.org/W7119905967","https://openalex.org/W2393008734","https://openalex.org/W2059708984","https://openalex.org/W1996192823","https://openalex.org/W2163889706","https://openalex.org/W2072186116","https://openalex.org/W2241705324"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"An":[0],"adequate":[1],"representation":[2],"of":[3,8,13,20,33,43,50,61,72,75,109,127,141,156,165,178,203,220,230],"the":[4,17,31,34,40,85,125,128,139,157,163,166,176,201,214,235],"technological":[5,35,62,204],"trend":[6,36,171],"component":[7],"yield":[9,67,92,112,182,222,243],"time":[10,218],"series":[11,219],"is":[12,37,98],"crucial":[14],"importance":[15,177],"for":[16,25,134,184,245],"successful":[18],"design":[19],"risk":[21],"management":[22],"instruments.":[23],"However,":[24],"many":[26,246],"transition":[27,249],"and":[28,64,161,248],"developing":[29,247],"countries,":[30],"estimation":[32,202],"complicated":[38],"by":[39,209],"joint":[41],"occurrence":[42,229],"three":[44],"phenomena:":[45],"(i)":[46],"a":[47,56,70,105,130],"high":[48,66,73],"level":[49,169],"heterogeneity":[51],"among":[52],"different":[53,119,167],"farms":[54],"in":[55,189,213],"region;":[57],"(ii)":[58],"non-linear":[59],"development":[60],"change;":[63],"(iii)":[65],"variations":[68],"as":[69,148],"consequence":[71],"exposure":[74],"rainfed":[76],"agriculture":[77],"to":[78,89,100,228,239],"extreme":[79,145,232],"weather":[80,211],"events.":[81,233],"Under":[82],"these":[83],"situations,":[84],"usually":[86],"applied":[87],"approach":[88],"detrend":[90],"crop":[91,221,242],"data":[93,107,113,183,223],"using":[94,179],"Ordinary":[95],"Least":[96],"Squares":[97],"known":[99],"be":[101,207],"biased.":[102],"Based":[103],"on":[104,144,170],"unique":[106],"set":[108],"47":[110],"farm":[111,181],"from":[114],"northern":[115],"Kazakhstan,":[116],"we":[117,123,137,153],"evaluated":[118],"alternative":[120],"approaches.":[121],"First,":[122],"consider":[124,154],"use":[126],"MM-estimator,":[129],"robust":[131],"regression":[132,215],"technique":[133],"detrending.":[135],"Second,":[136],"evaluate":[138],"effect":[140],"adding":[142],"information":[143,212],"climate":[146],"events":[147],"an":[149,240],"additional":[150],"regressor.":[151],"Finally,":[152],"combinations":[155],"two":[158],"former":[159],"approaches":[160],"compare":[162],"implications":[164],"aggregation":[168],"estimations.":[172],"The":[173],"results":[174],"reveal":[175],"single":[180],"detrending,":[185],"because":[186],"technical":[187],"trends":[188,205],"Kazakh":[190],"wheat":[191],"yields":[192],"are":[193],"highly":[194],"farm-specific.":[195],"Furthermore,":[196],"our":[197],"analysis":[198,237,244],"shows":[199],"that":[200],"can":[206],"improved":[208,241],"incorporating":[210],"model":[216],"if":[217],"contain":[224],"severe":[225],"fluctuations":[226],"due":[227],"climatic":[231],"Thus,":[234],"presented":[236],"contributes":[238],"countries":[250],"facing":[251],"similar":[252],"conditions.":[253]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2017-05-12T00:00:00"}