{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2606094883","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2469/dig.v28.n3.308","title":"Predicting Real Growth and Inflation with the Yield Spread","display_name":"Predicting Real Growth and Inflation with the Yield Spread","publication_year":1998,"publication_date":"1998-08-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2606094883","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2469/dig.v28.n3.308","mag":"2606094883"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.2469/dig.v28.n3.308","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2469/dig.v28.n3.308","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2469/dig.v28.n3.308","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210175492","display_name":"CFA Digest","issn_l":"0046-9777","issn":["0046-9777","1938-3320"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315604","host_organization_name":"CFA Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315604"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["CFA Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"CFA Digest","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5010528299","display_name":"Bruce D. Phelps","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Bruce D. Phelps","raw_affiliation_strings":["The abstract was prepared by Bruce D. Phelps, CFA, Ark Asset Management"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The abstract was prepared by Bruce D. Phelps, CFA, Ark Asset Management","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5010528299"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.7964,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":61,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.90801286,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"28","issue":"3","first_page":"20","last_page":"21"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9692000150680542,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9692000150680542,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10047","display_name":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","score":0.011900000274181366,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11496","display_name":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","score":0.0019000000320374966,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/yield-spreads","display_name":"yield spreads","score":0.847000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/real-gdp-growth","display_name":"real GDP growth","score":0.652999997138977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inflation-forecasting","display_name":"inflation forecasting","score":0.9279999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term-structure-of-interest-rates","display_name":"term structure of interest rates","score":0.7710000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/interest-rate-spreads","display_name":"interest rate spreads","score":0.3580000102519989}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200941418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q273508","display_name":"Inflation (cosmology)","level":2,"score":0.7791421413421631},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134121241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q899301","display_name":"Yield (engineering)","level":2,"score":0.739560604095459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.6366900205612183},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165556158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83937","display_name":"Keynesian economics","level":1,"score":0.526911199092865},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.46066704392433167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C556758197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580018","display_name":"Monetary economics","level":1,"score":0.3893440365791321},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C97355855","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11473","display_name":"Thermodynamics","level":1,"score":0.08281031250953674},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.06953743100166321},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33332235","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q18362","display_name":"Theoretical physics","level":1,"score":0.03592652082443237}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.2469/dig.v28.n3.308","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2469/dig.v28.n3.308","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2469/dig.v28.n3.308","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210175492","display_name":"CFA Digest","issn_l":"0046-9777","issn":["0046-9777","1938-3320"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315604","host_organization_name":"CFA Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315604"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["CFA Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"CFA Digest","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W417978775","https://openalex.org/W2607024571","https://openalex.org/W2893878339","https://openalex.org/W2254939325","https://openalex.org/W7099115429","https://openalex.org/W164775744","https://openalex.org/W2736862534","https://openalex.org/W2561794993","https://openalex.org/W7097009298","https://openalex.org/W6981219554"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2017-04-28T00:00:00"}
