{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2587839971","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jedt-05-2015-0033","title":"Lifecycle cost risk analysis for infrastructure projects with modified Bayesian networks","display_name":"Lifecycle cost risk analysis for infrastructure projects with modified Bayesian networks","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-02-06","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2587839971","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jedt-05-2015-0033","mag":"2587839971"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1108/jedt-05-2015-0033","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jedt-05-2015-0033","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jedt-05-2015-0033","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S11934891","display_name":"Journal of Engineering Design and Technology","issn_l":"1726-0531","issn":["1726-0531","1758-8901"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-c","cwts-core","dhet","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-2"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5058231574","display_name":"Nini Xia","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9663-3221","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9663-3221"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I162868743","display_name":"Tianjin University","ror":"https://ror.org/012tb2g32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nini Xia","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103276464","display_name":"Xueqing Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9928-3113","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9928-3113"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I162868743","display_name":"Tianjin University","ror":"https://ror.org/012tb2g32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xueqing Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100423435","display_name":"Ye Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0123-1260","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0123-1260","https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4577-8137","https://orcid.org/0009-0007-1897-0637","https://orcid.org/0009-0007-7510-4882"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I162868743","display_name":"Tianjin University","ror":"https://ror.org/012tb2g32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ye Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101527662","display_name":"Qiubo Yang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1436-7412","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1436-7412"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I162868743","display_name":"Tianjin University","ror":"https://ror.org/012tb2g32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Qiubo Yang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Tianjin University, Tianjin, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Tianjin University, Tianjin, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101530043","display_name":"Xing Liu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2084-4089","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2084-4089"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I162868743","display_name":"Tianjin University","ror":"https://ror.org/012tb2g32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xing Liu","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.0509,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":30,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.86666486,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"15","issue":"1","first_page":"79","last_page":"103"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":0.9580000042915344,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":0.9580000042915344,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11357","display_name":"Risk and Safety Analysis","score":0.02250000089406967,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11976","display_name":"Capital Investment and Risk Analysis","score":0.009600000455975533,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/infrastructure-projects","display_name":"infrastructure projects","score":0.9440000057220459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-networks","display_name":"Bayesian networks","score":0.9549999833106995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-propagation","display_name":"risk propagation","score":0.6330000162124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/project-phases","display_name":"project phases","score":0.7789999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-assessment-framework","display_name":"risk assessment framework","score":0.5360000133514404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-truth-serum","display_name":"Bayesian Truth Serum","score":0.7720000147819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-map","display_name":"risk map","score":0.48100000619888306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/construction-risk","display_name":"construction risk","score":0.5170000195503235}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33724603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812540","display_name":"Bayesian network","level":2,"score":0.7619582414627075},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C150672426","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q191183","display_name":"Brainstorming","level":2,"score":0.7065049409866333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.6870554685592651},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12174686","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1058438","display_name":"Risk assessment","level":2,"score":0.5295910239219666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C32896092","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189447","display_name":"Risk management","level":2,"score":0.4916887879371643},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64357122","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1149766","display_name":"Causality (physics)","level":2,"score":0.47674688696861267},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4383240342140198},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776950860","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2914681","display_name":"Originality","level":3,"score":0.4261436462402344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.32299232482910156},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.25280895829200745},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C190248442","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q839486","display_name":"Qualitative research","level":2,"score":0.21579810976982117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.17044973373413086},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.14491093158721924},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.1067841649055481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C36289849","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34749","display_name":"Social science","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1108/jedt-05-2015-0033","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jedt-05-2015-0033","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1108/jedt-05-2015-0033","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S11934891","display_name":"Journal of Engineering Design and Technology","issn_l":"1726-0531","issn":["1726-0531","1758-8901"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-c","cwts-core","dhet","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-2"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","score":1.0,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"},{"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities","score":0.5142999887466431,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":66,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W588430108","https://openalex.org/W1562895158","https://openalex.org/W1967216518","https://openalex.org/W1969400456","https://openalex.org/W1970865288","https://openalex.org/W1973225330","https://openalex.org/W1977206471","https://openalex.org/W1978471563","https://openalex.org/W1982991728","https://openalex.org/W1983805643","https://openalex.org/W1984009114","https://openalex.org/W1984499998","https://openalex.org/W1987578762","https://openalex.org/W1988258814","https://openalex.org/W1989678580","https://openalex.org/W1992699707","https://openalex.org/W2000292250","https://openalex.org/W2003856307","https://openalex.org/W2005148475","https://openalex.org/W2009134715","https://openalex.org/W2014977541","https://openalex.org/W2015127657","https://openalex.org/W2018706939","https://openalex.org/W2019221108","https://openalex.org/W2021007187","https://openalex.org/W2022926672","https://openalex.org/W2025144837","https://openalex.org/W2026092725","https://openalex.org/W2026180204","https://openalex.org/W2031018564","https://openalex.org/W2037612933","https://openalex.org/W2041083363","https://openalex.org/W2042794667","https://openalex.org/W2043411841","https://openalex.org/W2043898642","https://openalex.org/W2049571606","https://openalex.org/W2049579974","https://openalex.org/W2061512468","https://openalex.org/W2063782051","https://openalex.org/W2063913566","https://openalex.org/W2069993317","https://openalex.org/W2076808989","https://openalex.org/W2076868688","https://openalex.org/W2077499056","https://openalex.org/W2081779205","https://openalex.org/W2082055639","https://openalex.org/W2085400663","https://openalex.org/W2088363883","https://openalex.org/W2096239454","https://openalex.org/W2096275307","https://openalex.org/W2104091263","https://openalex.org/W2113254098","https://openalex.org/W2116289830","https://openalex.org/W2117936945","https://openalex.org/W2125720593","https://openalex.org/W2131631937","https://openalex.org/W2132754500","https://openalex.org/W2139581178","https://openalex.org/W2142468971","https://openalex.org/W2148426679","https://openalex.org/W2169179003","https://openalex.org/W2173284800","https://openalex.org/W2184164338","https://openalex.org/W2950806308","https://openalex.org/W3041066203","https://openalex.org/W3212784711"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7140177464","https://openalex.org/W2982211901","https://openalex.org/W4389511899","https://openalex.org/W1510304541","https://openalex.org/W799465228","https://openalex.org/W7221196427","https://openalex.org/W4299852691","https://openalex.org/W7072462073","https://openalex.org/W2213534272","https://openalex.org/W6941161829"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Purpose":[0],"Previous":[1],"research":[2,192,226],"has":[3,193,222],"little":[4],"specific":[5],"guidance":[6],"on":[7,143],"how":[8],"to":[9,18,55],"improve":[10],"large":[11,244],"infrastructures\u2019":[12,245],"risk":[13,22,80,91,97,187,197,232,257],"analysis.":[14],"This":[15,225],"paper":[16],"aims":[17],"propose":[19],"a":[20,89,149,174,195,209,230],"practical":[21],"analysis":[23,98,258],"framework":[24,35,248],"across":[25,108],"the":[26,40,70,109,125,144,158,201,218],"project":[27,61,204],"lifecycle":[28,110],"with":[29,101,124,229],"Bayesian":[30,83],"Networks":[31],"(BNs).":[32],"Design/methodology/approach":[33],"The":[34,247],"includes":[36],"three":[37],"phases.":[38],"In":[39,69],"qualitative":[41,150],"phase,":[42],"primary":[43],"risks":[44,58,107,114,119,136,185,242,260],"were":[45,53,86,111,115],"identified":[46],"by":[47,160,173],"literature":[48],"reviews":[49],"and":[50,63,73,75,82,96,117,127,165,181,186,217,235,240,252,263],"interviews;":[51],"questionnaires":[52],"used":[54,253],"determine":[56],"key":[57,106],"at":[59,121],"each":[60],"stage":[62],"causal":[64],"relationships":[65],"between":[66],"stage-related":[67,147,215,241],"risks.":[68,141],"quantitation,":[71],"brainstorming":[72],"questionnaires,":[74],"techniques":[76],"of":[77,146,184,203,238],"ranked":[78],"nodes/paths,":[79],"map":[81],"truth":[84],"serum":[85],"adopted.":[87],"Then,":[88],"BN-based":[90],"assessment":[92,198,233],"model":[93,151,177,199],"was":[94,99,152],"developed,":[95],"conducted":[100],"AgenaRisk":[102],"software.":[103],"Findings":[104],"Twenty":[105],"determined:":[112],"some":[113],"recurring":[116],"different":[118],"emerged":[120],"various":[122],"stages":[123],"construction":[126],"feasibility":[128],"most":[129],"risky.":[130],"Results":[131],"showed":[132],"that":[133],"previous":[134],"stages\u2019":[135,140],"significantly":[137],"amplified":[138],"subsequent":[139],"Based":[142],"causality":[145],"risks,":[148,214,216],"easily":[153],"constructed.":[154],"Ranked":[155],"nodes/paths":[156],"facilitated":[157],"quantification":[159],"requiring":[161],"less":[162],"statistical":[163],"knowledge":[164],"fewer":[166],"parameters":[167],"than":[168],"traditional":[169],"BNs.":[170],"As":[171],"articulated":[172],"case,":[175],"this":[176],"yielded":[178],"very":[179],"simple":[180],"easy-to-understand":[182],"representations":[183],"propagation":[188,210],"pathways.":[189],"Originality/value":[190],"Rare":[191],"developed":[194],"BN":[196],"from":[200],"perspective":[202],"stages.":[205,266],"A":[206],"structured":[207],"model,":[208],"network":[211],"among":[212],"individual":[213],"final":[219],"adverse":[220],"consequence,":[221],"been":[223],"designed.":[224],"provides":[227],"practitioners":[228],"realistic":[231],"approach":[234],"further":[236],"understanding":[237],"dynamic":[239],"throughout":[243],"lifecycle.":[246],"can":[249],"be":[250],"modified":[251],"in":[254,265],"other":[255],"real-world":[256],"where":[259],"are":[261],"complex":[262],"develop":[264]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-02T09:45:03.842371","created_date":"2017-02-24T00:00:00"}