{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2575995103","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5751/es-07906-200404","title":"Addressing complexity and uncertainty: conceptual models and expert judgments applied to migratory birds in the oil sands of Canada","display_name":"Addressing complexity and uncertainty: conceptual models and expert judgments applied to migratory birds in the oil sands of Canada","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2575995103","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5751/es-07906-200404","mag":"2575995103"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.5751/es-07906-200404","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5751/es-07906-200404","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5751/es-07906-200404","pdf_url":"https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol20/iss4/art4/ES-2015-7906.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S148307540","display_name":"Ecology and Society","issn_l":"1708-3087","issn":["1708-3087"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313010","host_organization_name":"Resilience Alliance","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313010"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Resilience Alliance"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecology and Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","datacite","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol20/iss4/art4/ES-2015-7906.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5085621852","display_name":"Marc A. Nelitz","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Marc A. Nelitz","raw_affiliation_strings":["ESSA Technologies Ltd.,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"ESSA Technologies Ltd.,","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5047585478","display_name":"Ben Beardmore","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0276-427X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0276-427X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799428307","display_name":"Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources","ror":"https://ror.org/03nmkqc55","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799428307"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ben Beardmore","raw_affiliation_strings":["Beardmore Consulting LLC,","Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Beardmore Consulting LLC,","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2799428307"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060374464","display_name":"Craig S. Machtans","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1342547582","display_name":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","ror":"https://ror.org/026ny0e17","country_code":"CA","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1342547582","https://openalex.org/I2802286613"]}],"countries":["CA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Craig S. Machtans","raw_affiliation_strings":["Canadian Wildlife Service, Environment Canada,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Canadian Wildlife Service, Environment Canada,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1342547582"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Alexander W. Hall","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alexander W. Hall","raw_affiliation_strings":["ESSA Technologies Ltd.,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"ESSA Technologies Ltd.,","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112694943","display_name":"Christopher H. R. Wedeles","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405252821","display_name":"EcoAustria Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","ror":"https://ror.org/000n2a918","country_code":"AT","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252821"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405274658","display_name":"Panasonic Ecology Systems Co., Ltd. (Japan)","ror":"https://ror.org/0240h9688","country_code":"JP","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405274658"]}],"countries":["AT","JP"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chris Wedeles","raw_affiliation_strings":["ArborVitae Environmental Services Ltd. Ecology and Society","ArborVitae Environmental Services Ltd. Ecology"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"ArborVitae Environmental Services Ltd. Ecology and Society","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"ArborVitae Environmental Services Ltd. Ecology","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405252821","https://openalex.org/I4405274658"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":4,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":975,"currency":"USD","value_usd":975},"apc_paid":{"value":975,"currency":"USD","value_usd":975},"fwci":1.2327,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":8,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.8539151,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"20","issue":"4","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12227","display_name":"Environmental and Social Impact Assessments","score":0.365200012922287,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2308","display_name":"Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12227","display_name":"Environmental and Social Impact Assessments","score":0.365200012922287,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2308","display_name":"Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10089","display_name":"Avian ecology and behavior","score":0.1680999994277954,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12644","display_name":"Wildlife-Road Interactions and Conservation","score":0.09669999778270721,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/migratory-birds","display_name":"migratory birds","score":0.9929999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/oil-sands","display_name":"oil sands","score":0.9739999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conceptual-model","display_name":"conceptual model","score":0.8960000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/expert-opinion","display_name":"expert opinion","score":0.9419999718666077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty","display_name":"uncertainty","score":0.7329999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-complexity","display_name":"environmental complexity","score":0.6179999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bird-migration","display_name":"bird migration","score":0.3869999945163727}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C131779963","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q297322","display_name":"Oil sands","level":3,"score":0.7066283226013184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13606891","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2623243","display_name":"Conceptual model","level":2,"score":0.4811740815639496},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.4429120421409607},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C14224292","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q13600188","display_name":"Conceptual framework","level":2,"score":0.42100194096565247},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.4192034602165222},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107826830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929380","display_name":"Environmental resource management","level":1,"score":0.4041881859302521},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.2534894347190857},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.2476562261581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.1849457025527954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.16547754406929016},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.16368252038955688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C36289849","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34749","display_name":"Social science","level":1,"score":0.08303111791610718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77088390","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8513","display_name":"Database","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C168056786","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q202251","display_name":"Asphalt","level":2,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.5751/es-07906-200404","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5751/es-07906-200404","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5751/es-07906-200404","pdf_url":"https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol20/iss4/art4/ES-2015-7906.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S148307540","display_name":"Ecology and Society","issn_l":"1708-3087","issn":["1708-3087"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313010","host_organization_name":"Resilience Alliance","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313010"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Resilience Alliance"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecology and Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:fd6759ed6866471f914bb9db91f89eb0","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/fd6759ed6866471f914bb9db91f89eb0","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Ecology and Society, Vol 20, Iss 4, p 4 (2015)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"doi:10.60692/6cnf1-wkz34","doi":"https://doi.org/10.60692/6cnf1-wkz34","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.60692/6cnf1-wkz34","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407051682","display_name":"Greater South Information System","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article-journal"},{"id":"doi:10.60692/j5af9-jwa77","doi":"https://doi.org/10.60692/j5af9-jwa77","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.60692/j5af9-jwa77","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407051682","display_name":"Greater South Information System","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article-journal"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.5751/es-07906-200404","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5751/es-07906-200404","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5751/es-07906-200404","pdf_url":"https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol20/iss4/art4/ES-2015-7906.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S148307540","display_name":"Ecology and Society","issn_l":"1708-3087","issn":["1708-3087"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313010","host_organization_name":"Resilience Alliance","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313010"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Resilience Alliance"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ecology and Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.8518999814987183,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15","display_name":"Life on land"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2575995103.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2575995103.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":92,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W12611027","https://openalex.org/W27529749","https://openalex.org/W61562365","https://openalex.org/W592942356","https://openalex.org/W596260460","https://openalex.org/W1483053889","https://openalex.org/W1535119216","https://openalex.org/W1546461305","https://openalex.org/W1575799800","https://openalex.org/W1592325744","https://openalex.org/W1964961196","https://openalex.org/W1965881900","https://openalex.org/W1967749906","https://openalex.org/W1981075779","https://openalex.org/W1985944084","https://openalex.org/W1995477990","https://openalex.org/W1999117480","https://openalex.org/W2000779440","https://openalex.org/W2001141755","https://openalex.org/W2001659141","https://openalex.org/W2003077609","https://openalex.org/W2005838102","https://openalex.org/W2015782891","https://openalex.org/W2015822906","https://openalex.org/W2018055998","https://openalex.org/W2022437928","https://openalex.org/W2029485007","https://openalex.org/W2032957927","https://openalex.org/W2047575372","https://openalex.org/W2049544203","https://openalex.org/W2055102428","https://openalex.org/W2057729938","https://openalex.org/W2064473779","https://openalex.org/W2067357694","https://openalex.org/W2068031289","https://openalex.org/W2080111176","https://openalex.org/W2080880113","https://openalex.org/W2092265169","https://openalex.org/W2093810687","https://openalex.org/W2096914649","https://openalex.org/W2105029814","https://openalex.org/W2107370512","https://openalex.org/W2108397748","https://openalex.org/W2115078941","https://openalex.org/W2116172260","https://openalex.org/W2118463937","https://openalex.org/W2118701705","https://openalex.org/W2120818629","https://openalex.org/W2125249313","https://openalex.org/W2132194304","https://openalex.org/W2132377956","https://openalex.org/W2137839725","https://openalex.org/W2145265259","https://openalex.org/W2146374578","https://openalex.org/W2149974496","https://openalex.org/W2150398514","https://openalex.org/W2150748721","https://openalex.org/W2151586149","https://openalex.org/W2152057199","https://openalex.org/W2157237487","https://openalex.org/W2162818706","https://openalex.org/W2164797729","https://openalex.org/W2167759796","https://openalex.org/W2175292136","https://openalex.org/W2176046824","https://openalex.org/W2176459248","https://openalex.org/W2178030545","https://openalex.org/W2178680587","https://openalex.org/W2189191044","https://openalex.org/W2282235762","https://openalex.org/W2291623129","https://openalex.org/W2312427875","https://openalex.org/W2316471730","https://openalex.org/W2322967975","https://openalex.org/W2565048377","https://openalex.org/W2573923006","https://openalex.org/W2726474170","https://openalex.org/W2745513620","https://openalex.org/W2909224716","https://openalex.org/W3008152742","https://openalex.org/W3094235830","https://openalex.org/W3205763750","https://openalex.org/W4237365965","https://openalex.org/W4238149961","https://openalex.org/W4245636422","https://openalex.org/W4246039580","https://openalex.org/W4292157289","https://openalex.org/W4300479379","https://openalex.org/W4389468208","https://openalex.org/W6630757801","https://openalex.org/W6987578216","https://openalex.org/W6987637430"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W6976592793","https://openalex.org/W7164374241","https://openalex.org/W1756262120","https://openalex.org/W3199113513","https://openalex.org/W3199941287","https://openalex.org/W7213265141","https://openalex.org/W355280182","https://openalex.org/W1827751440","https://openalex.org/W603655038","https://openalex.org/W3209603947"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Nelitz,":[0],"M.":[1],"A.,":[2],"B.":[3],"Beardmore,":[4],"C.":[5,12],"S.":[6],"Machtans,":[7],"A.":[8],"W.":[9],"Hall,":[10],"and":[11,17,21,35],"Wedeles.":[13],"2015.":[14],"Addressing":[15],"complexity":[16],"uncertainty:":[18],"conceptual":[19],"models":[20],"expert":[22],"judgments":[23],"applied":[24],"to":[25],"migratory":[26],"birds":[27],"in":[28],"the":[29],"oil":[30],"sands":[31],"of":[32],"Canada.":[33],"Ecology":[34],"Society":[36],"20(4):4.":[37],"https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07906-200404":[38]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-09T13:22:03.289127","created_date":"2017-01-26T00:00:00"}