{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2556718362","doi":null,"title":"Using mathematical models in a unified approach to predicting the next emerging infectious disease","display_name":"Using mathematical models in a unified approach to predicting the next emerging infectious disease","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2556718362","mag":"2556718362"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:digitalcommons.unl.edu:publichealthresources-1489","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/publichealthresources/489","pdf_url":"https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/publichealthresources/489","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400577","display_name":"Lincoln (University of Nebraska)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I114395901","host_organization_name":"University of Nebraska\u2013Lincoln","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I114395901"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Public Health Resources","raw_type":"text"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/publichealthresources/489","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5045441374","display_name":"Tiffany L. Bogich","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8143-5289","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8143-5289"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tiffany L. Bogich","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8143-5289","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028703470","display_name":"Kevin J. Olival","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3211-1875","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3211-1875"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kevin J. Olival","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3211-1875","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5046389145","display_name":"Parviez Rana Hosseini","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Parviez R. Hosseini","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5033839330","display_name":"Carlos Zambrana\u2010Torrelio","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5614-7496","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5614-7496"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Carlos Zambrana\u2010Torrelio","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5614-7496","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112233004","display_name":"Elizabeth H. Loh","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Elizabeth H. Loh","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5058699536","display_name":"Sebastian Funk","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2842-3406","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2842-3406"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sebastian Funk","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2842-3406","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003440200","display_name":"Ilana Brito","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2250-3480","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2250-3480"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ilana Brito","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2250-3480","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5011932213","display_name":"Jonathan H. Epstein","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1373-9301","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1373-9301"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jonathan H. Epstein","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1373-9301","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5087882430","display_name":"John S. Brownstein","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8568-5317","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8568-5317"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"John S. Brownstein","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8568-5317","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5109503672","display_name":"Damien O. Joly","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6197-4226","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6197-4226"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Damien O. Joly","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Khyrie Jones","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Khyrie Jones","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048962950","display_name":"Stephen S. Morse","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5434-5683","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5434-5683"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Stephen S. Morse","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5434-5683","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018335325","display_name":"Alfredo Alonso Aguirre","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9507-857X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9507-857X"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"A. Alonso Aguirre","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5050818219","display_name":"William B. Karesh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6042-2860","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6042-2860"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"William B. Karesh","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6042-2860","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019378825","display_name":"Jonna A. K. Mazet","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8712-5951","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8712-5951"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jonna A. K. Mazet","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8712-5951","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5050075935","display_name":"Peter Daszak","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2046-5695","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2046-5695"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Peter Daszak","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2046-5695","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.9344,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.76921509,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":93},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12492","display_name":"Zoonotic diseases and public health","score":0.9810000061988831,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12492","display_name":"Zoonotic diseases and public health","score":0.9810000061988831,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10482","display_name":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","score":0.012500000186264515,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2604","display_name":"Applied Mathematics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11581","display_name":"Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research","score":0.004900000058114529,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2725","display_name":"Infectious Diseases"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/emerging-infectious-diseases","display_name":"emerging infectious diseases","score":1.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematical-model","display_name":"mathematical model","score":0.6909999847412109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease-prediction","display_name":"disease prediction","score":0.6639999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/zoonoses","display_name":"zoonoses","score":0.8339999914169312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/zoonotic-pandemics","display_name":"zoonotic pandemics","score":0.7710000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wildlife-pathogens","display_name":"wildlife pathogens","score":0.6290000081062317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human-wildlife-interface","display_name":"human-wildlife interface","score":0.7179999947547913}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.5721653699874878},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779973787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q609748","display_name":"Emerging infectious disease","level":3,"score":0.46082058548927307},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4463099539279938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.43680667877197266},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.258530855178833},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:digitalcommons.unl.edu:publichealthresources-1489","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/publichealthresources/489","pdf_url":"https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/publichealthresources/489","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400577","display_name":"Lincoln (University of Nebraska)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I114395901","host_organization_name":"University of Nebraska\u2013Lincoln","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I114395901"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Public Health Resources","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"mag:2556718362","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1489&context=publichealthresources","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:digitalcommons.unl.edu:publichealthresources-1489","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/publichealthresources/489","pdf_url":"https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/publichealthresources/489","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400577","display_name":"Lincoln (University of Nebraska)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I114395901","host_organization_name":"University of Nebraska\u2013Lincoln","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I114395901"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Public Health Resources","raw_type":"text"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","score":0.8048999905586243,"display_name":"Good health and well-being"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2556718362.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2556718362.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":23,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1486246338","https://openalex.org/W1544560769","https://openalex.org/W1966710918","https://openalex.org/W1976870864","https://openalex.org/W1991282904","https://openalex.org/W2014403207","https://openalex.org/W2055601403","https://openalex.org/W2100776472","https://openalex.org/W2103685216","https://openalex.org/W2117239687","https://openalex.org/W2122403585","https://openalex.org/W2122612332","https://openalex.org/W2127435093","https://openalex.org/W2131706225","https://openalex.org/W2134061616","https://openalex.org/W2147627663","https://openalex.org/W2150891147","https://openalex.org/W2156537900","https://openalex.org/W2159932081","https://openalex.org/W2262736290","https://openalex.org/W2295261048","https://openalex.org/W2398786667","https://openalex.org/W2434054698"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2098459942","https://openalex.org/W2792529702","https://openalex.org/W2037614135","https://openalex.org/W1411664508","https://openalex.org/W3133263979","https://openalex.org/W2409321884","https://openalex.org/W7203640917","https://openalex.org/W2960587221","https://openalex.org/W7170140711","https://openalex.org/W4200050548"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Emerging":[0,134],"infectious":[1],"diseases":[2,23,135,172,210],"(EIDs)":[3],"pose":[4],"a":[5,38,62,107,146,260,263],"significant":[6],"threat":[7,148],"to":[8,53,149,183],"human":[9,162,246],"health,":[10],"global":[11,73,127,181,255],"economies,":[12],"and":[13,118,140,142,167,189,223,233,235,252,257,266],"conservation":[14,151],"(Smolinski":[15],"et":[16,155,177],"al.":[17,156,178],"2003).":[18],"They":[19],"are":[20,42,143,165],"defined":[21],"as":[22,145],"that":[24,46,240],"have":[25,55,59,88,124,225],"recently":[26,47,56,60],"increased":[27,214],"in":[28,64,174,216,254],"incidence":[29],"(rate":[30],"of":[31,34,112,114,130,132,152,160,170,192,238],"the":[32,126,150,190,206,270],"development":[33,239],"new":[35],"cases":[36],"during":[37],"given":[39],"time":[40],"period),":[41],"caused":[43],"by":[44],"pathogens":[45],"moved":[48],"from":[49],"one":[50],"host":[51],"population":[52,247],"another,":[54],"evolved,":[57],"or":[58,93,97,102],"exhibited":[61],"change":[63,253],"pathogenesis":[65],"(Morse":[66],"1993;":[67],"Krause":[68],"1994).":[69],"Some":[70],"EIDs":[71,109],"threaten":[72],"public":[74],"health":[75],"through":[76,227],"pandemics":[77],"with":[78,208],"large-scale":[79],"mortality":[80],"(e.g.,":[81,121],"HN/AIDS).":[82],"Others":[83],"cause":[84,110],"smaller":[85],"outbreaks":[86,120],"but":[87],"high":[89],"case":[90],"fatality":[91],"ratios":[92],"lack":[94],"effective":[95],"therapies":[96],"vaccines":[98],"(e.g.":[99],"Ebola":[100],"virus":[101],"methicillin-resistant":[103],"Staphylococcus":[104],"aureus).":[105],"As":[106],"group,":[108],"hundreds":[111],"thousands":[113],"deaths":[115],"each":[116],"year,":[117],"some":[119],"SARS,":[122],"H5N1)":[123],"cost":[125],"economy":[128],"tens":[129],"billions":[131],"dollars.":[133],"also":[136],"affect":[137],"plants,":[138],"livestock,":[139],"wildlife":[141,175,224],"recognized":[144],"Significant":[147],"biodiversity":[153],"(Daszak":[154],"2000).":[157],"Approximately":[158],"60%":[159],"emerging":[161],"disease":[163,194],"events":[164],"zoonotic,":[166],"over":[168],"75%":[169],"these":[171],"originate":[173],"(Jones":[176],"2008).":[179],"The":[180],"response":[182],"such":[184],"epidemics":[185],"is":[186,197],"frequently":[187],"reactive,":[188],"effectiveness":[191],"conventional":[193],"control":[195],"operations":[196],"often":[198],"\"too":[199],"little,":[200],"too":[201],"late':":[202],"With":[203],"rising":[204],"globalization,":[205],"ease":[207],"which":[209],"spread":[211],"globally":[212],"has":[213],"dramatically":[215],"recent":[217],"times.":[218],"Also,":[219],"interactions":[220],"between":[221],"humans":[222],"intensified":[226],"trade":[228,256],"markets,":[229],"agricultural":[230],"intensification,":[231],"logging":[232],"mining,":[234],"other":[236],"forms":[237],"encroach":[241],"into":[242],"wild":[243],"areas.":[244],"Rapid":[245],"growth,":[248],"land":[249],"use":[250],"change,":[251],"travel":[258],"require":[259],"shift":[261],"toward":[262],"proactive,":[264],"predictive,":[265],"preventive":[267],"approaches":[268],"for":[269],"next":[271],"zoonotic":[272],"pandemic.":[273]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-10T09:11:00.788812","created_date":"2016-11-30T00:00:00"}
