{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2554028541","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1515/gej-2016-0060","title":"Forecast Transparency and Inflation Volatility: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries","display_name":"Forecast Transparency and Inflation Volatility: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-11-23","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2554028541","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1515/gej-2016-0060","mag":"2554028541"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1515/gej-2016-0060","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1515/gej-2016-0060","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1515/gej-2016-0060","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S89611103","display_name":"Global economy journal","issn_l":"1524-5861","issn":["1524-5861","1553-5304","2194-5659"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-b","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313990","host_organization_name":"De Gruyter","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["De Gruyter"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Global Economy Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075182903","display_name":"Ummad Mazhar","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0784-6757","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0784-6757"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I264385032","display_name":"Forman Christian College","ror":"https://ror.org/04v893f23","country_code":"PK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I264385032"]}],"countries":["PK"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ummad Mazhar","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economics, Forman Christian College, (A Chartered University), Lahore 54600, Pakistan"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics, Forman Christian College, (A Chartered University), Lahore 54600, Pakistan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I264385032"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5026585966","display_name":"M'baye Kader","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3274-5870","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3274-5870"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Cheick Kader M\u2019baye","raw_affiliation_strings":["African Management Institute, Bamako, Mali"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"African Management Institute, Bamako, Mali","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5075182903"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I264385032"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":93},"biblio":{"volume":"16","issue":"4","first_page":"769","last_page":"787"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10503","display_name":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inflation-volatility","display_name":"inflation volatility","score":0.9900000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/central-bank-communication","display_name":"central bank communication","score":0.7210000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/developing-countries","display_name":"developing countries","score":0.7049999833106995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/policy-inconsistency","display_name":"policy inconsistency","score":0.8849999904632568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inflation-stabilization","display_name":"inflation stabilization","score":0.6740000247955322},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/central-bank-credibility","display_name":"central bank credibility","score":0.4819999933242798}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780233690","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q535347","display_name":"Transparency (behavior)","level":2,"score":0.8961551189422607},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91602232","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q756115","display_name":"Volatility (finance)","level":2,"score":0.7476549744606018},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.7423062324523926},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166052673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83021","display_name":"Empirical evidence","level":2,"score":0.5183071494102478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5133432745933533},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C72868586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5599587","display_name":"Great Moderation","level":3,"score":0.5044194459915161},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C16118543","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q275372","display_name":"Externality","level":2,"score":0.44530975818634033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C556758197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580018","display_name":"Monetary economics","level":1,"score":0.4079708456993103},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.3294176459312439},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.191809743642807},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.11397433280944824},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1515/gej-2016-0060","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1515/gej-2016-0060","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1515/gej-2016-0060","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S89611103","display_name":"Global economy journal","issn_l":"1524-5861","issn":["1524-5861","1553-5304","2194-5659"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-b","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313990","host_organization_name":"De Gruyter","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["De Gruyter"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Global Economy Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:wsi:gejxxx:v:16:y:2016:i:04:n:gej-2016-0060","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1515/GEJ-2016-0060","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":30,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1529008628","https://openalex.org/W1566028225","https://openalex.org/W1608162297","https://openalex.org/W1747862070","https://openalex.org/W1978347622","https://openalex.org/W2003451358","https://openalex.org/W2017640916","https://openalex.org/W2022220920","https://openalex.org/W2023239665","https://openalex.org/W2030297475","https://openalex.org/W2052975629","https://openalex.org/W2082388746","https://openalex.org/W2088563154","https://openalex.org/W2097119464","https://openalex.org/W2144395073","https://openalex.org/W2219654030","https://openalex.org/W2259394260","https://openalex.org/W2527836410","https://openalex.org/W2570465660","https://openalex.org/W2977123588","https://openalex.org/W3021685756","https://openalex.org/W3121368961","https://openalex.org/W3121640951","https://openalex.org/W3121653537","https://openalex.org/W3122262361","https://openalex.org/W3122315136","https://openalex.org/W3122896422","https://openalex.org/W3123399396","https://openalex.org/W3125001699","https://openalex.org/W4299967779"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1570375238","https://openalex.org/W1577241646","https://openalex.org/W2784135349","https://openalex.org/W3123650069","https://openalex.org/W1535670005","https://openalex.org/W2094033342","https://openalex.org/W1549540547","https://openalex.org/W7096487086","https://openalex.org/W2955648460","https://openalex.org/W3125825538"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,55,80,125],"desirability":[1],"of":[2,33,51,58,83,100,122,132],"transparency":[3,24,61,89,114],"in":[4,28,69],"its":[5],"varied":[6],"aspects":[7],"is":[8,62,86],"not":[9],"always":[10],"certain":[11],"particularly":[12],"for":[13,76],"developing":[14,35],"countries.":[15],"This":[16],"paper":[17,85],"empirically":[18],"investigates":[19],"the":[20,49,59,77,84,97,109,120,133],"link":[21],"between":[22],"forecast":[23,53,60,88,113],"and":[25,45,71,118],"inflation":[26],"volatility":[27],"a":[29,67],"relatively":[30],"homogenous":[31],"sample":[32],"41":[34],"economies":[36],"over":[37,72,106],"1998\u20132007.":[38],"It":[39],"classifies":[40],"central":[41],"banks":[42],"into":[43],"transparent":[44],"opaque":[46],"groups":[47],"on":[48],"basis":[50],"their":[52],"transparency.":[54],"differential":[56],"effect":[57,99],"then":[63],"estimated":[64],"both":[65],"at":[66],"point":[68],"time":[70,73,107],"while":[74],"controlling":[75],"relevant":[78],"factors.":[79],"main":[81],"finding":[82],"that":[87,96,112],"stabilizes":[90],"inflation.":[91],"In":[92],"addition,":[93],"we":[94],"find":[95],"stabilizing":[98],"disclosing":[101],"numerical":[102],"forecasts":[103],"gets":[104],"stronger":[105],"supporting":[108],"theoretical":[110],"insight":[111],"allows":[115],"reputational":[116],"externalities,":[117],"minimizes":[119],"likelihood":[121],"policy":[123],"inconsistency.":[124],"results":[126],"are":[127],"robust":[128],"against":[129],"different":[130],"specifications":[131],"empirical":[134],"model.":[135]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-11-30T00:00:00"}