{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2534089321","doi":null,"title":"Theoretical Model to Estimate System Uncertainty in Economics","display_name":"Theoretical Model to Estimate System Uncertainty in Economics","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2534089321","mag":"2534089321"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:pra:mprapa:74665","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/74665/1/MPRA_paper_74665.pdf","pdf_url":"https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/74665/1/MPRA_paper_74665.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2855930","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070421920","display_name":"Evgeny Kuzmin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8805-135X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8805-135X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210102461","display_name":"Ural State University of Economics","ror":"https://ror.org/00zb26x20","country_code":"RU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210102461"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210123605","display_name":"Institute of Economics","ror":"https://ror.org/02r4ram30","country_code":"RU","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1313323035","https://openalex.org/I4210119369","https://openalex.org/I4210120228","https://openalex.org/I4210123605"]}],"countries":["RU"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Evgeny Kuzmin","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5070421920"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210102461","https://openalex.org/I4210123605"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.18870000541210175,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.18870000541210175,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11810","display_name":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","score":0.15729999542236328,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10785","display_name":"Economic Theory and Institutions","score":0.15189999341964722,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/system-uncertainty","display_name":"system uncertainty","score":0.953000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty-estimation","display_name":"uncertainty estimation","score":0.8550000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-uncertainty","display_name":"environmental uncertainty","score":0.7279999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-uncertainty","display_name":"decision uncertainty","score":0.9980000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/methodological-assumptions","display_name":"methodological assumptions","score":0.7979999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-cooperation","display_name":"economic cooperation","score":0.47099998593330383}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780428219","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16952335","display_name":"Cover (algebra)","level":2,"score":0.638373076915741},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.5835575461387634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177803969","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q29205","display_name":"Uncertainty analysis","level":2,"score":0.5447949767112732},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C176147448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1889114","display_name":"Sensitivity analysis","level":3,"score":0.48256129026412964},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4427962601184845},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.44003307819366455},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.3956920802593231},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.3568676710128784},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3369278311729431},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.3183920383453369},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.2026539146900177},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.15155288577079773},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.11003619432449341},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44154836","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q45045","display_name":"Simulation","level":1,"score":0.0732911229133606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78519656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101333","display_name":"Mechanical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:pra:mprapa:74665","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/74665/1/MPRA_paper_74665.pdf","pdf_url":"https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/74665/1/MPRA_paper_74665.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"mag:2534089321","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:74665","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","raw_type":null},{"id":"mag:3124869723","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2855930","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":null},{"id":"mag:3144645190","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/74665.html","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400553","display_name":"Munich Personal RePEc Archive (Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I8204097","host_organization_name":"Ludwig-Maximilians-Universit\u00e4t M\u00fcnchen","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I8204097"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"MPRA Paper","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"mag:3124869723","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2855930","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","raw_type":null},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"score":0.44999998807907104,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/17","display_name":"Partnerships for the goals"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2021500131","https://openalex.org/W7214566151","https://openalex.org/W2973956005","https://openalex.org/W73000259","https://openalex.org/W3174669031","https://openalex.org/W2128143714","https://openalex.org/W7112818996","https://openalex.org/W1655262094","https://openalex.org/W3014142520","https://openalex.org/W6911409918"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,131],"purpose":[1],"of":[2,16,22,36,55,62,68,88,128,133],"this":[3],"article":[4],"-":[5],"more":[6],"precisely":[7],"definition":[8],"for":[9],"the":[10,17,46,49,53,80,86,89,108,115,142],"approach":[11,113,143],"to":[12,27,110,114],"a":[13,66,93,121,125,146],"quantitative":[14],"assessment":[15],"system":[18,90],"uncertainty":[19,38,51,54,91,135,149],"in":[20,30,75,120],"view":[21],"identified":[23,100],"methodological":[24],"assumptions.":[25],"According":[26],"academic":[28],"ideas":[29],"today's":[31],"economic":[32,70],"studies,":[33],"all":[34],"cases":[35],"represented":[37],"are":[39,73],"usually":[40],"divided":[41],"into":[42,103],"three":[43],"groups,":[44],"i.e.":[45],"environmental":[47],"uncertainty,":[48],"decision-making":[50],"and":[52,106],"consequences":[56],"from":[57],"made":[58],"decisions.":[59],"Such":[60],"kinds":[61],"unpredictability":[63],"only":[64],"cover":[65],"part":[67],"an":[69,112],"cooperation.":[71],"There":[72],"aspects":[74],"place":[76],"that":[77,101],"go":[78],"beyond":[79],"conventional":[81],"view.":[82],"Their":[83],"synthesis":[84],"through":[85],"prism":[87],"is":[92],"pressing":[94],"research":[95],"objective.":[96],"Prerequisites":[97],"have":[98,152],"been":[99,118,138,153],"contribute":[102],"method":[104],"justification":[105],"specify":[107],"requirements":[109],"it;":[111],"estimation":[116],"has":[117,137],"presented":[119],"formalized":[122],"way":[123],"with":[124],"specified":[126],"number":[127],"essential":[129],"points.":[130],"content":[132],"common":[134],"errors":[136],"also":[139],"revealed.":[140],"In":[141],"development,":[144],"as":[145],"result,":[147],"existing":[148],"circles":[150],"(cycles)":[151],"recognised.":[154]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-31T12:09:11.096373","created_date":"2016-10-28T00:00:00"}
