{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2523928645","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1115/msec2016-8625","title":"Forecasting Obsolescence Risk Using Machine Learning","display_name":"Forecasting Obsolescence Risk Using Machine Learning","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-06-27","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2523928645","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1115/msec2016-8625","mag":"2523928645"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1115/msec2016-8625","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1115/msec2016-8625","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1115/msec2016-8625","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306503479","display_name":"ASME International Manufacturing Science and Engineering Conference (MSEC)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Volume 2: Materials; Biomanufacturing; Properties, Applications and Systems; Sustainable Manufacturing","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Connor Jennings","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I130769515","display_name":"Pennsylvania State University","ror":"https://ror.org/04p491231","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I130769515"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Connor Jennings","raw_affiliation_strings":["Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I130769515"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034019298","display_name":"Dazhong Wu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0215-4906","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0215-4906","https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7991-1127"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I130769515","display_name":"Pennsylvania State University","ror":"https://ror.org/04p491231","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I130769515"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dazhong Wu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I130769515"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021686212","display_name":"Janis P. Terpenny","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3193-647X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3193-647X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I130769515","display_name":"Pennsylvania State University","ror":"https://ror.org/04p491231","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I130769515"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Janis Terpenny","raw_affiliation_strings":["Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I130769515"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I130769515"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.2919,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":11,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.93233083,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14014","display_name":"Transportation Systems and Infrastructure","score":0.9976000189781189,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14014","display_name":"Transportation Systems and Infrastructure","score":0.9976000189781189,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11729","display_name":"Product Development and Customization","score":0.0007999999797903001,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10539","display_name":"Sustainable Supply Chain Management","score":0.00039999998989515007,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/obsolescence-risk","display_name":"obsolescence risk","score":0.8569999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electronics-industry","display_name":"electronics industry","score":0.6980000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/part-classification","display_name":"part classification","score":0.8080000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning-classification","display_name":"machine learning classification","score":0.5799999833106995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bill-of-materials","display_name":"bill of materials","score":0.847000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inventory-management","display_name":"inventory management","score":0.8379999995231628},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/component-selection","display_name":"component selection","score":0.734000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/product-design","display_name":"product design","score":0.5109999775886536}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C30795975","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q282744","display_name":"Obsolescence","level":2,"score":0.9798133373260498},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201650216","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q829492","display_name":"Procurement","level":2,"score":0.6494576930999756},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C90673727","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q901718","display_name":"Product (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.6299744844436646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.600021481513977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778348673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q739302","display_name":"Production (economics)","level":2,"score":0.5548092126846313},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.46601393818855286},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200601418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2193887","display_name":"Reliability engineering","level":1,"score":0.45147788524627686},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13736549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4489420","display_name":"Industrial engineering","level":1,"score":0.3731768727302551},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C117671659","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11049265","display_name":"Manufacturing engineering","level":1,"score":0.35760149359703064},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.32881709933280945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.22592443227767944},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.11217203736305237},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.09172585606575012},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1115/msec2016-8625","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1115/msec2016-8625","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1115/msec2016-8625","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306503479","display_name":"ASME International Manufacturing Science and Engineering Conference (MSEC)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Volume 2: Materials; Biomanufacturing; Properties, Applications and Systems; Sustainable Manufacturing","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","score":1.0,"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","display_name":"National Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/021nxhr62"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332162","display_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","ror":"https://ror.org/042twtr12"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2299372648","https://openalex.org/W7218083228","https://openalex.org/W2975951245","https://openalex.org/W7217884359","https://openalex.org/W4417117433","https://openalex.org/W2787744881","https://openalex.org/W4394709850","https://openalex.org/W1878668358","https://openalex.org/W2100051861","https://openalex.org/W2549981752"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"With":[0],"rapid":[1],"innovation":[2],"in":[3,23,94,109,113],"the":[4,110,122,133,142,151],"electronics":[5],"industry,":[6],"product":[7,24],"obsolescence":[8,16,35,67,146],"forecasting":[9,17,36,68],"has":[10],"become":[11],"increasingly":[12],"important.":[13],"More":[14],"accurate":[15],"would":[18],"have":[19],"cost":[20],"reduction":[21],"effects":[22],"design":[25,111],"and":[26,98,102,116,140,156],"part":[27,47,49,114],"procurement":[28],"over":[29],"a":[30,46],"product\u2019s":[31],"lifetime.":[32],"Currently":[33],"many":[34],"methods":[37],"require":[38],"manual":[39],"input":[40],"or":[41,96],"perform":[42],"market":[43],"analysis":[44],"on":[45],"by":[48],"basis;":[50],"practices":[51],"that":[52,70,124],"are":[53],"not":[54],"feasible":[55],"for":[56],"large":[57],"bill":[58],"of":[59,73,104,145],"materials.":[60],"In":[61],"response,":[62],"this":[63],"paper":[64],"introduces":[65],"an":[66,160],"framework":[69,85,135,152],"is":[71,136],"capable":[72],"being":[74],"scaled":[75],"to":[76,89,138],"meet":[77],"industry":[78],"needs":[79],"while":[80],"remaining":[81],"highly":[82],"accurate.":[83],"The":[84],"utilizes":[86],"machine":[87],"learning":[88],"classify":[90],"parts":[91,105],"as":[92,162,164],"active,":[93],"production,":[95],"obsolete":[97,157],"discontinued.":[99],"This":[100],"classification":[101],"labeling":[103],"can":[106],"be":[107],"useful":[108],"stage":[112],"selection":[115],"during":[117],"inventory":[118],"management":[119],"with":[120,159],"evaluating":[121],"chance":[123],"suppliers":[125],"might":[126],"stop":[127],"production.":[128],"A":[129],"case":[130],"study":[131],"utilizing":[132],"proposed":[134],"presented":[137],"demonstrate":[139],"validate":[141],"improved":[143],"accuracy":[144,161],"risk":[147],"forecasting.":[148],"As":[149],"shown,":[150],"correctly":[153],"identified":[154],"active":[155],"products":[158],"high":[163],"98.3%.":[165]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-03T10:50:19.383937","created_date":"2016-10-07T00:00:00"}
