{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2491442438","doi":null,"title":"Scenario analysis as a strategic management tool","display_name":"Scenario analysis as a strategic management tool","publication_year":1998,"publication_date":"1998-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2491442438","mag":"2491442438"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.rug.nl:openaire_cris_publications/eadcb192-bc71-4b93-b8a3-0ef24b0aba53","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/11370/eadcb192-bc71-4b93-b8a3-0ef24b0aba53","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400420","display_name":"University of Groningen research database (University of Groningen / Centre for Information Technology)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I169381384","host_organization_name":"University of Groningen","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169381384"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Bood, R P & Postma, T J B M 1998, Scenario analysis as a strategic management tool. vol. 126, B05 edn, University of Groningen, SOM research school, Groningen.","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/book"},"volume":null,"type":"book","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5038111377","display_name":"R.P. Bood","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I169381384","display_name":"University of Groningen","ror":"https://ror.org/012p63287","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169381384"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"R.P. Bood","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Groningen"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Groningen","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I169381384"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112254005","display_name":"Th. J. B. M. Postma","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"T.J.B.M. Postma","raw_affiliation_strings":["Faculty of Economics and Business"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Economics and Business","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.802,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":15,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.83503055,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13163","display_name":"Organizational Learning and Leadership","score":0.4634000062942505,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1407","display_name":"Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13163","display_name":"Organizational Learning and Leadership","score":0.4634000062942505,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1407","display_name":"Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13137","display_name":"Strategic Planning and Analysis","score":0.2694999873638153,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10344","display_name":"Management and Organizational Studies","score":0.0575999990105629,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1407","display_name":"Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scenario-planning","display_name":"scenario planning","score":0.9049999713897705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/strategic-management","display_name":"strategic management","score":0.9139999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/strategic-learning","display_name":"strategic learning","score":0.7149999737739563},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/organizational-learning","display_name":"organizational learning","score":0.7419999837875366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-uncertainty","display_name":"environmental uncertainty","score":0.7789999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/kolb-s-experiential-learning-cycle","display_name":"Kolb's learning cycle","score":0.8579999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cognitive-inertia","display_name":"cognitive inertia","score":0.7829999923706055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scenario-development","display_name":"scenario development","score":0.5199999809265137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mental-models","display_name":"mental models","score":0.5899999737739563},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/strategy-selection","display_name":"strategy selection","score":0.527999997138977}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48243021","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932522","display_name":"Strategic planning","level":2,"score":0.5659606456756592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.5395836234092712},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195094911","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14167904","display_name":"Process management","level":1,"score":0.5385699272155762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86275758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q376657","display_name":"Strategic management","level":2,"score":0.5290433764457703},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116834253","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2039217","display_name":"Identification (biology)","level":2,"score":0.5019087791442871},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.49319523572921753},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777432860","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6510168","display_name":"Learning cycle","level":2,"score":0.4852259159088135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C152563557","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7621861","display_name":"Strategic thinking","level":3,"score":0.4412474036216736},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81917197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q628760","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","level":2,"score":0.4307466149330139},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C56739046","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192060","display_name":"Knowledge management","level":1,"score":0.38578903675079346},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.3730104863643646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.27460625767707825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.26847273111343384},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.23618456721305847},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.1294340193271637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.1241770088672638},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.10740545392036438},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C59822182","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q441","display_name":"Botany","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.rug.nl:openaire_cris_publications/eadcb192-bc71-4b93-b8a3-0ef24b0aba53","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/11370/eadcb192-bc71-4b93-b8a3-0ef24b0aba53","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400420","display_name":"University of Groningen research database (University of Groningen / Centre for Information Technology)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I169381384","host_organization_name":"University of Groningen","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169381384"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Bood, R P & Postma, T J B M 1998, Scenario analysis as a strategic management tool. vol. 126, B05 edn, University of Groningen, SOM research school, Groningen.","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/book"},{"id":"pmh:rug:oai:pure.rug.nl:publications/eadcb192-bc71-4b93-b8a3-0ef24b0aba53","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/eadcb192-bc71-4b93-b8a3-0ef24b0aba53","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400420","display_name":"University of Groningen research database (University of Groningen / Centre for Information Technology)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I169381384","host_organization_name":"University of Groningen","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169381384"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/book"},{"id":"mag:2491442438","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ecsocman.hse.ru/data/470/645/1219/scenario.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":46,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W170821833","https://openalex.org/W433639517","https://openalex.org/W1498488428","https://openalex.org/W1503127990","https://openalex.org/W1544301231","https://openalex.org/W1544947184","https://openalex.org/W1799227866","https://openalex.org/W1969980238","https://openalex.org/W1984701866","https://openalex.org/W1985709139","https://openalex.org/W1987922154","https://openalex.org/W1993547338","https://openalex.org/W2007818383","https://openalex.org/W2008488889","https://openalex.org/W2013924799","https://openalex.org/W2018415157","https://openalex.org/W2018620873","https://openalex.org/W2018631148","https://openalex.org/W2022647344","https://openalex.org/W2026948646","https://openalex.org/W2028551347","https://openalex.org/W2034568866","https://openalex.org/W2038903721","https://openalex.org/W2043601485","https://openalex.org/W2052097096","https://openalex.org/W2054610119","https://openalex.org/W2055761486","https://openalex.org/W2068314534","https://openalex.org/W2073894388","https://openalex.org/W2086629013","https://openalex.org/W2087597001","https://openalex.org/W2092966136","https://openalex.org/W2093561323","https://openalex.org/W2129076889","https://openalex.org/W2132454116","https://openalex.org/W2157904933","https://openalex.org/W2164284962","https://openalex.org/W2318231870","https://openalex.org/W2328418989","https://openalex.org/W2494768550","https://openalex.org/W2555542333","https://openalex.org/W2799088120","https://openalex.org/W2799160300","https://openalex.org/W2892387040","https://openalex.org/W2909022281","https://openalex.org/W4285719527"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1974420157","https://openalex.org/W7097869868","https://openalex.org/W2112881269","https://openalex.org/W4238861172","https://openalex.org/W4244460782","https://openalex.org/W7160659955","https://openalex.org/W1599774258","https://openalex.org/W2014594591","https://openalex.org/W2012356662","https://openalex.org/W3003614383"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0,52],"paper":[1,120],"is":[2,36,53],"about":[3],"the":[4,26,48,56,123,137,148],"role":[5],"of":[6,19,29,76,79,82,88,103,107,116,126,162],"scenarios":[7],"in":[8,55,185],"strategic":[9,146,149,156,170,189],"management.":[10],"Generally,":[11],"a":[12,160],"scenario":[13,43],"depicts":[14],"some":[15],"feasible":[16],"future":[17,89],"state":[18],"an":[20],"organisation\u2019s":[21],"environment":[22],"and":[23,33,74,84,86,111,113,145,175,184],"mostly":[24],"includes":[25],"dynamic":[27,138],"sequence":[28],"interacting":[30],"events,":[31],"conditions":[32],"changes":[34],"that":[35,40,164],"necessary":[37],"to":[38,60,132,141,180],"reach":[39],"state.":[41],"The":[42,62,91,119,155],"approach":[44],"changed":[45],"considerably":[46],"during":[47],"last":[49],"two":[50],"decades.":[51],"reflected":[54],"different":[57],"functions":[58,65,127],"ascribed":[59],"scenarios.":[61],"more":[63,92],"traditional":[64],"(in":[66,95],"first":[67],"generation":[68,97],"scenarios)":[69,98],"are":[70,99,129],"tool":[71],"for":[72],"evaluation":[73],"selection":[75],"strategies,":[77],"integration":[78],"various":[80],"kinds":[81],"data,":[83],"exploration":[85],"identification":[87],"possibilities.":[90],"recent":[93],"ones":[94],"second":[96],"making":[100],"managers":[101],"aware":[102],"environmental":[104],"uncertainties,":[105],"stretching":[106],"managers\u2019":[108],"mental":[109],"models,":[110],"triggering":[112],"accelerating":[114],"processes":[115],"organisational":[117],"learning.":[118,190],"discusses":[121],"especially":[122],"latter":[124],"cluster":[125],"which":[128],"closely":[130],"linked":[131],"each":[133],"other.":[134],"By":[135],"linking":[136],"scenario-development":[139],"process":[140],"Kolb\u2019s":[142],"learning":[143,150,157,168],"cycle":[144,151,158],"management,":[147],"can":[152],"be":[153],"enhanced.":[154],"elucidates":[159],"number":[161],"bottlenecks":[163,183],"may":[165],"seriously":[166],"hinder":[167],"within":[169],"management":[171],"(e.g.":[172],"cognitive":[173],"inertia":[174],"feedback":[176],"lags).":[177],"Scenarios":[178],"seem":[179],"dissolve":[181],"these":[182],"doing":[186],"so":[187],"support":[188]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-08-23T00:00:00"}
