{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2487516773","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","title":"A novel ranking procedure for forecasting approaches using Data Envelopment Analysis","display_name":"A novel ranking procedure for forecasting approaches using Data Envelopment Analysis","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-08-06","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2487516773","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","mag":"2487516773"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","pdf_url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516301482/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39307421","display_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","issn_l":"0040-1625","issn":["0040-1625","1873-5509"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516301482/pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5040540560","display_name":"Ali Emrouznejad","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8094-4244","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8094-4244"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I169199633","display_name":"Aston University","ror":"https://ror.org/05j0ve876","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ali Emrouznejad","raw_affiliation_strings":["Aston Business School, Aston University, Birmingham, B4 7ET, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Aston Business School, Aston University, Birmingham, B4 7ET, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081055246","display_name":"Bahman Rostami-Tabar","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3730-0045","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3730-0045"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I73417466","display_name":"Coventry University","ror":"https://ror.org/01tgmhj36","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I73417466"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bahman Rostami-Tabar","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Strategy and Leadership, Coventry Business School, Coventry University, Priory Street, Coventry CV1 5FB, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Strategy and Leadership, Coventry Business School, Coventry University, Priory Street, Coventry CV1 5FB, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I73417466"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103068556","display_name":"Konstantinos Petridis","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0733-9336","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0733-9336"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Konstantinos Petridis","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Applied Informatics, 156 Egnatia str., 54006, Thessaloniki, Greece"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Applied Informatics, 156 Egnatia str., 54006, Thessaloniki, Greece","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5040540560"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"],"apc_list":{"value":3490,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3490},"apc_paid":{"value":2140,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":2307},"fwci":2.9214,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":30,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91186508,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":93,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"111","issue":null,"first_page":"235","last_page":"243"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9199000000953674,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9199000000953674,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10357","display_name":"Efficiency Analysis Using DEA","score":0.0738999992609024,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10050","display_name":"Multi-Criteria Decision Making","score":0.00139999995008111,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-accuracy","display_name":"forecast accuracy","score":0.527999997138977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-error-measures","display_name":"forecast error measures","score":0.7609999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/m3-competition","display_name":"M3 competition","score":0.8149999976158142}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22088475","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q647974","display_name":"Data envelopment analysis","level":2,"score":0.8383191823959351},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C189430467","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7293293","display_name":"Ranking (information retrieval)","level":2,"score":0.6940651535987854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6178245544433594},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42747912","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1048447","display_name":"Multiplicative function","level":2,"score":0.5959404110908508},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C164226766","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7293202","display_name":"Rank (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.5647994875907898},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122282355","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7246855","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","level":3,"score":0.5420442819595337},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780009758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6804172","display_name":"Measure (data warehouse)","level":2,"score":0.5136262774467468},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177264268","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1514741","display_name":"Set (abstract data type)","level":2,"score":0.47961530089378357},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81917197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q628760","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","level":2,"score":0.4506528377532959},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.44105270504951477},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.4305815100669861},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3971431255340576},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.31101250648498535},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.2381109893321991},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.23502573370933533},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.1998518705368042},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.09273964166641235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":7,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","pdf_url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516301482/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39307421","display_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","issn_l":"0040-1625","issn":["0040-1625","1873-5509"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk:98093","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/98093/1/1-s2.0-S0040162516301482-main.pdf","pdf_url":"https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/98093/1/1-s2.0-S0040162516301482-main.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401195","display_name":"ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I79510175","host_organization_name":"Cardiff University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I79510175"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:publications.aston.ac.uk:29504","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/view/author/9d948a4e99da46b8b4449414d66debd0.html>,","pdf_url":"https://publications.aston.ac.uk/id/eprint/29504/1/Ranking_procedure_for_forecasting_approaches_using_DEA.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400483","display_name":"Aston Publications Explorer (Aston University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I169199633","host_organization_name":"Aston University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169199633"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:111:y:2016:i:c:p:235-243","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516301482","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:http://curve.coventry.ac.uk/open/p/oai:e14514ad-311c-4eaa-a6c9-f293d16be676/1","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://curve.coventry.ac.uk/open/items/e14514ad-311c-4eaa-a6c9-f293d16be676/1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401989","display_name":"Coventry University Open Collections (Coventry university)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I73417466","host_organization_name":"Coventry University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I73417466"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.atira.dk:openaire/b33d1ec2-ad09-4535-9524-432453ab3231","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pureportal.coventry.ac.uk/en/publications/b33d1ec2-ad09-4535-9524-432453ab3231","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402411","display_name":"Pure (Coventry University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I73417466","host_organization_name":"Coventry University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I73417466"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Emrouznejad, A, Rostami-Tabar, B & Petridis, K 2016, 'A novel ranking procedure for forecasting approaches using Data Envelopment Analysis', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 111, pp. 235\u2013243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:tle:e14514ad-311c-4eaa-a6c9-f293d16be676:2fa872f8-6189-4232-b228-bd31f47934f5:1","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://curve.coventry.ac.uk/open/items/e14514ad-311c-4eaa-a6c9-f293d16be676/1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402153","display_name":"The Open Collections (Coventry University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I73417466","host_organization_name":"Coventry University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I73417466"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.004","pdf_url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162516301482/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39307421","display_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","issn_l":"0040-1625","issn":["0040-1625","1873-5509"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2487516773.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2487516773.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":39,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W69383807","https://openalex.org/W130167087","https://openalex.org/W162897784","https://openalex.org/W1537118983","https://openalex.org/W1984141614","https://openalex.org/W1985717477","https://openalex.org/W1993567457","https://openalex.org/W2002927225","https://openalex.org/W2008759161","https://openalex.org/W2012875615","https://openalex.org/W2016210396","https://openalex.org/W2024413571","https://openalex.org/W2036571338","https://openalex.org/W2038849095","https://openalex.org/W2042221267","https://openalex.org/W2048665112","https://openalex.org/W2049113147","https://openalex.org/W2052455655","https://openalex.org/W2056685556","https://openalex.org/W2066493907","https://openalex.org/W2066523028","https://openalex.org/W2069504829","https://openalex.org/W2071223544","https://openalex.org/W2076452041","https://openalex.org/W2114733835","https://openalex.org/W2117829824","https://openalex.org/W2125791732","https://openalex.org/W2126455177","https://openalex.org/W2129763896","https://openalex.org/W2133214093","https://openalex.org/W2135947935","https://openalex.org/W2150335925","https://openalex.org/W2154326182","https://openalex.org/W2156963826","https://openalex.org/W2167467747","https://openalex.org/W2169979035","https://openalex.org/W2811507150","https://openalex.org/W3122796275","https://openalex.org/W4206689824"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2069504829","https://openalex.org/W7133055075","https://openalex.org/W2606830439","https://openalex.org/W2737771616","https://openalex.org/W2545738652","https://openalex.org/W2110810736","https://openalex.org/W2768307010","https://openalex.org/W3108220763","https://openalex.org/W7095384193","https://openalex.org/W2584956594"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"To":[0],"compare":[1],"the":[2,20,65,70,91,98,105,111,118],"accuracy":[3],"of":[4,61,100,104,110],"different":[5,30,33],"forecasting":[6,36,51,66,87],"approaches":[7],"an":[8,58],"error":[9,14,122],"measure":[10],"is":[11,41,68],"required.":[12],"Many":[13],"measures":[15,31,52,123],"have":[16,124],"been":[17,115,125],"proposed":[18,92,112],"in":[19,23,82,127],"literature,":[21],"however":[22],"practice":[24],"there":[25,40],"are":[26],"some":[27],"situations":[28],"where":[29,120],"yield":[32],"decisions":[34],"on":[35,44],"approach":[37,46,113],"selection":[38],"and":[39,128],"no":[42],"agreement":[43],"which":[45],"should":[47],"be":[48],"used.":[49],"Generally":[50],"represent":[53],"ratios":[54],"or":[55],"percentages":[56],"providing":[57],"overall":[59],"image":[60],"how":[62],"well":[63],"fitted":[64],"technique":[67],"to":[69,84,97,130],"observations.":[71],"This":[72],"paper":[73],"proposes":[74],"a":[75,131],"multiplicative":[76],"Data":[77],"Envelopment":[78],"Analysis":[79],"(DEA)":[80],"model":[81,93],"order":[83],"rank":[85],"several":[86],"techniques.":[88],"We":[89],"demonstrate":[90],"by":[94],"applying":[95],"it":[96],"set":[99],"yearly":[101],"time":[102],"series":[103],"M3":[106],"competition.":[107],"The":[108],"usefulness":[109],"has":[114],"tested":[116],"using":[117],"M3-competition":[119],"five":[121],"applied":[126],"aggregated":[129],"single":[132],"DEA":[133],"score.":[134]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2016-08-23T00:00:00"}
