{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2473540280","doi":null,"title":"A new look at long-term labor force projections to 2050","display_name":"A new look at long-term labor force projections to 2050","publication_year":2006,"publication_date":"2006-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2473540280","mag":"2473540280"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"mag:2473540280","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.foresightfordevelopment.org/sobipro/download-file/46-72/54","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5030809860","display_name":"Mitra Toossi","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1290095210","display_name":"Bureau of Labor Statistics","ror":"https://ror.org/03z2d7y96","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1290095210","https://openalex.org/I1312264882"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Mitra Toossi","raw_affiliation_strings":["Bureau of Labor Statistics"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Bureau of Labor Statistics","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1290095210"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5030809860"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1290095210"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":16.8509,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":89,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.98823906,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10208","display_name":"Labor market dynamics and wage inequality","score":0.5342000126838684,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10208","display_name":"Labor market dynamics and wage inequality","score":0.5342000126838684,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11631","display_name":"Retirement, Disability, and Employment","score":0.21690000593662262,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10393","display_name":"Economic Growth and Productivity","score":0.15279999375343323,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/labor-force-projections","display_name":"workforce projections","score":0.972000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/labor-force-growth","display_name":"labor force growth","score":0.9120000004768372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/labor-force-participation-rate","display_name":"labour force participation rate","score":0.878000020980835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-projections","display_name":"population projections","score":0.7450000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/baby-boomers","display_name":"baby boomers","score":0.8550000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/labor-force-composition","display_name":"labor force composition","score":0.621999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-term-economic-growth","display_name":"long-run economic growth","score":0.8740000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demographic-change","display_name":"demographic change","score":0.3269999921321869}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.5437989234924316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776444593","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q610548","display_name":"Baby boom","level":3,"score":0.541181743144989},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C141441539","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1970908","display_name":"Boom","level":2,"score":0.4884726107120514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.47659820318222046},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C145236788","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q28161","display_name":"Labour economics","level":1,"score":0.4718106985092163},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4249254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3044431","display_name":"Demographic economics","level":1,"score":0.37779372930526733},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.1476626694202423},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.13081645965576172},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C87717796","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q146326","display_name":"Environmental engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"mag:2473540280","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.foresightfordevelopment.org/sobipro/download-file/46-72/54","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.9211000204086304,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8"}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.7599999904632568,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":4,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W76632072","https://openalex.org/W140231793","https://openalex.org/W156281867","https://openalex.org/W2311077040"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W339854621","https://openalex.org/W2293252401","https://openalex.org/W125320773","https://openalex.org/W2082452257","https://openalex.org/W252974079","https://openalex.org/W7045939839","https://openalex.org/W7119565039","https://openalex.org/W3023740401","https://openalex.org/W7099960156","https://openalex.org/W80355301"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Mitra":[0],"Toossi":[1],"is":[2,35,67,155],"an":[3,21,131],"economist":[4],"in":[5,41,74,105,242],"the":[6,29,32,48,50,54,61,75,113,117,121,126,135,143,158,167,173,177,210,234,239,243],"Office":[7],"of":[8,15,25,53,63,93,102,125,134,138,157,161,166,176,189,209,221,238],"Occupational":[9],"Statistics":[10,191],"and":[11,66,96,179,185,236],"Employment":[12],"Projections,":[13],"Bureau":[14,188],"Labor":[16,190],"Statistics.":[17],"E-mail:":[18],"Toossi.Mitra@bls.gov":[19],"With":[20],"annual":[22,82],"growth":[23,51,83,141,154,237],"rate":[24,52,84,101],"0.6":[26],"percent":[27,46,104],"over":[28,142],"2005\u201350":[30],"period,":[31],"labor":[33,55,98,127,139,152,168,197,211,222,240],"force":[34,56,99,140,153,169,198,212,223,241],"projected":[36,91],"to":[37,69,71,87,109,130,182,216,230,232],"reach":[38],"194.8":[39],"million":[40,95],"2050.":[42,106],"Peaking":[43],"at":[44],"2.6":[45],"during":[47],"1970s,":[49],"has":[57],"been":[58],"decreasing":[59],"with":[60],"passage":[62],"each":[64],"decade":[65],"expected":[68,229],"continue":[70,231],"do":[72],"so":[73],"future.":[76],"(See":[77,148],"chart":[78],"1.)":[79,150],"The":[80,107,187],"0.6-percent":[81],"from":[85],"2005":[86],"2050":[88,110],"reflects":[89],"a":[90,97],"population":[92],"322.6":[94],"participation":[100],"60.4":[103],"period":[108],"will":[111],"witness":[112],"baby-boom":[114],"generation":[115],"ascending":[116],"age":[118],"ladder":[119],"until":[120],"group":[122],"moves":[123],"out":[124,193,215],"force,":[128],"bringing":[129],"end":[132],"one":[133,156],"major":[136,159],"drivers":[137],"post-World":[144],"War":[145],"II":[146],"period.":[147],"table":[149],"Because":[151],"determinants":[160],"long-term":[162],"economic":[163],"growth,":[164],"projections":[165,199,208],"shed":[170],"light":[171],"on":[172],"future":[174,219],"path":[175],"economy":[178],"its":[180],"ability":[181],"create":[183],"goods":[184],"services.":[186],"carries":[192],"medium-term,":[194],"or":[195],"10-year,":[196],"every":[200],"other":[201],"year.":[202],"Every":[203],"several":[204],"years,":[205],"longer":[206],"term":[207],"are":[213,228],"carried":[214],"elicit":[217],"possible":[218],"paths":[220],"growth.":[224],"Several":[225],"key":[226],"factors":[227],"affect":[233],"composition":[235],"next":[244],"50":[245],"years:":[246]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":8}],"updated_date":"2026-10-12T09:40:04.860316","created_date":"2016-07-22T00:00:00"}