{"id":"https://openalex.org/W245123588","doi":null,"title":"Inductive Inference in Infants and Young Children: The Role of Probabilistic Reasoning","display_name":"Inductive Inference in Infants and Young Children: The Role of Probabilistic Reasoning","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W245123588","mag":"245123588"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org/ark:/13030/qt4ff9g022","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","pdf_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"etd"},"volume":null,"type":"dissertation","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005096721","display_name":"Stephanie Denison","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6658-4139","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6658-4139"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Stephanie Denison","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6658-4139","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5005096721"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10656","display_name":"Child and Animal Learning Development","score":0.7675999999046326,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3204","display_name":"Developmental and Educational Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10656","display_name":"Child and Animal Learning Development","score":0.7675999999046326,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3204","display_name":"Developmental and Educational Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.1906999945640564,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12694","display_name":"Categorization, perception, and language","score":0.008999999612569809,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3205","display_name":"Experimental and Cognitive Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inductive-reasoning","display_name":"inductive reasoning","score":0.7059999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-reasoning","display_name":"probabilistic reasoning","score":0.9210000038146973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-inference","display_name":"Bayesian inference","score":0.9409999847412109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/infants","display_name":"infants","score":0.7070000171661377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/young-children","display_name":"young children","score":0.9100000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intuitive-statistics","display_name":"intuitive statistics","score":0.628000020980835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/proportional-reasoning","display_name":"proportional reasoning","score":0.8240000009536743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/causal-learning","display_name":"causal learning","score":0.7210000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/search-behavior","display_name":"search behavior","score":0.4690000116825104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rational-inference","display_name":"rational inference","score":0.41999998688697815},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/choice-task","display_name":"choice task","score":0.8320000171661377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/physical-constraints","display_name":"physical constraints","score":0.38499999046325684},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/response-variability","display_name":"response variability","score":0.5130000114440918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/preschool-children","display_name":"preschool children","score":0.6669999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/causal-inference","display_name":"causal inference","score":0.37400001287460327}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.7727633714675903},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776214188","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q408386","display_name":"Inference","level":2,"score":0.723495364189148},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C180747234","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23373","display_name":"Cognitive psychology","level":1,"score":0.5312601923942566},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160234255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812535","display_name":"Bayesian inference","level":3,"score":0.5308889746665955},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21563000","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q484511","display_name":"Inductive reasoning","level":2,"score":0.5174208879470825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.5142261981964111},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.49872851371765137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162376815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2158281","display_name":"Frequentist inference","level":4,"score":0.4770354926586151},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169900460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2200417","display_name":"Cognition","level":2,"score":0.4694466292858124},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134261354","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q938438","display_name":"Statistical inference","level":2,"score":0.4378643333911896},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138496976","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q175002","display_name":"Developmental psychology","level":1,"score":0.4348655343055725},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4060847759246826},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3957958221435547},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.36818647384643555},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.3586283326148987},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.18332833051681519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.18051356077194214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.08075365424156189},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169760540","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q207011","display_name":"Neuroscience","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org/ark:/13030/qt4ff9g022","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","pdf_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"etd"},{"id":"pmh:qt4ff9g022","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","pdf_url":"http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Denison, Stephanie Mia. (2012). Inductive Inference in Infants and Young Children: The Role of Probabilistic Reasoning. UC Berkeley: Psychology. Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","raw_type":"dissertation"},{"id":"mag:245123588","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/content/qt4ff9g022/qt4ff9g022.pdf?t=mtfchq","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:escholarship.org/ark:/13030/qt4ff9g022","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","pdf_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4ff9g022","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400115","display_name":"eScholarship (California Digital Library)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2801248553","host_organization_name":"California Digital Library","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801248553"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"etd"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W245123588.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W245123588.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":110,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W65465483","https://openalex.org/W158727920","https://openalex.org/W175517644","https://openalex.org/W1485243506","https://openalex.org/W1535030269","https://openalex.org/W1550407806","https://openalex.org/W1605255363","https://openalex.org/W1680907846","https://openalex.org/W1708027662","https://openalex.org/W1860095726","https://openalex.org/W1968737587","https://openalex.org/W1969481895","https://openalex.org/W1974795190","https://openalex.org/W1977816341","https://openalex.org/W1980862600","https://openalex.org/W1983978390","https://openalex.org/W1985093013","https://openalex.org/W1986721142","https://openalex.org/W1991925383","https://openalex.org/W1998427181","https://openalex.org/W1999147675","https://openalex.org/W1999786027","https://openalex.org/W2000020549","https://openalex.org/W2002724222","https://openalex.org/W2003542287","https://openalex.org/W2009191024","https://openalex.org/W2012645769","https://openalex.org/W2013160169","https://openalex.org/W2014480584","https://openalex.org/W2016429292","https://openalex.org/W2019273574","https://openalex.org/W2023603368","https://openalex.org/W2034175465","https://openalex.org/W2037427635","https://openalex.org/W2041251621","https://openalex.org/W2043090254","https://openalex.org/W2044641991","https://openalex.org/W2046832728","https://openalex.org/W2048269309","https://openalex.org/W2053555487","https://openalex.org/W2054484799","https://openalex.org/W2059591619","https://openalex.org/W2060204180","https://openalex.org/W2063525438","https://openalex.org/W2064972935","https://openalex.org/W2066358586","https://openalex.org/W2067253250","https://openalex.org/W2068155923","https://openalex.org/W2071682360","https://openalex.org/W2073036035","https://openalex.org/W2074614655","https://openalex.org/W2075359029","https://openalex.org/W2075780421","https://openalex.org/W2077790105","https://openalex.org/W2078085743","https://openalex.org/W2078897438","https://openalex.org/W2087182533","https://openalex.org/W2087883256","https://openalex.org/W2088003754","https://openalex.org/W2091310756","https://openalex.org/W2091318897","https://openalex.org/W2096016260","https://openalex.org/W2096452841","https://openalex.org/W2100497770","https://openalex.org/W2100791470","https://openalex.org/W2103064571","https://openalex.org/W2104752510","https://openalex.org/W2104843571","https://openalex.org/W2105055424","https://openalex.org/W2106168857","https://openalex.org/W2110687866","https://openalex.org/W2110958718","https://openalex.org/W2114938064","https://openalex.org/W2115197214","https://openalex.org/W2117829646","https://openalex.org/W2121001250","https://openalex.org/W2121271887","https://openalex.org/W2121822954","https://openalex.org/W2125500543","https://openalex.org/W2125781450","https://openalex.org/W2128152674","https://openalex.org/W2131227490","https://openalex.org/W2132573777","https://openalex.org/W2138035124","https://openalex.org/W2142336306","https://openalex.org/W2144425560","https://openalex.org/W2145980380","https://openalex.org/W2146117112","https://openalex.org/W2146507121","https://openalex.org/W2147231083","https://openalex.org/W2147378795","https://openalex.org/W2151006324","https://openalex.org/W2154167968","https://openalex.org/W2154424448","https://openalex.org/W2155511659","https://openalex.org/W2156452244","https://openalex.org/W2157330724","https://openalex.org/W2160556050","https://openalex.org/W2160782319","https://openalex.org/W2160783091","https://openalex.org/W2165940037","https://openalex.org/W2252502792","https://openalex.org/W2326712791","https://openalex.org/W2398933259","https://openalex.org/W2501166805","https://openalex.org/W2575007727","https://openalex.org/W2621815566","https://openalex.org/W2625165926","https://openalex.org/W2991370719","https://openalex.org/W4292157289"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2411986737","https://openalex.org/W2574964214","https://openalex.org/W1974450628","https://openalex.org/W2003485809","https://openalex.org/W2187814564","https://openalex.org/W2950166188","https://openalex.org/W2621815566","https://openalex.org/W2323788808","https://openalex.org/W2146507121","https://openalex.org/W1999786027"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"A":[0,54],"recent":[1,57],"surge":[2],"of":[3,56,89,94,133,141,259,277,302,324,388,411,432,434,472,479,491,552,573],"research":[4],"in":[5,18,76,92,182,187,194,297,306,332,343,365,381,437,444,451,463,523,565,570],"cognitive":[6],"developmental":[7],"psychology":[8],"examines":[9,105],"whether":[10],"human":[11],"learners,":[12],"from":[13,147,208,274,408],"infancy":[14],"through":[15],"adulthood,":[16],"reason":[17,342],"ways":[19,344,436],"consistent":[20,347],"with":[21,211,281,348,495],"Bayesian":[22],"inference.":[23,394],"However,":[24],"when":[25],"exploring":[26,202],"this":[27,83,325,473,489],"question":[28],"an":[29,117,430,531],"important":[30],"first":[31,102],"step":[32],"is":[33,294,327,536],"to":[34,50,97,163,213,228,233,237,262,299,312,317,328,358,402,424,442,476,528,562,567],"identify":[35],"the":[36,70,106,130,139,267,300,333,338,353,373,379,396,409,416,420,435,455,465,470,496,524],"available":[37],"inference":[38,205,350],"mechanisms":[39],"and":[40,47,74,79,160,178,185,251,286,483,500,520,539],"computational":[41],"machinery":[42],"that":[43,120,148,157,172,186,221,246,293,345,361,378,404,414,498,535,547],"might":[44],"allow":[45],"infants":[46,62,110,125,173,222,247,499,519],"young":[48,382,501,521,548],"children":[49,341,356,405,502,522],"make":[51,98,127,164,229,263,318],"inductive":[52,393,460,555],"inferences.":[53,100,114,168,265,320],"number":[55,478],"studies":[58],"have":[59],"asked":[60,311],"if":[61],"may":[63,385],"be":[64,386],"\"intuitive":[65],"statisticians,\"":[66],"making":[67,112,508,553],"inferences":[68,461,510,556],"about":[69,129,231],"relationship":[71],"between":[72],"samples":[73],"populations":[75],"both":[77,176],"looking-time":[78],"choice":[80],"tasks.":[81],"In":[82,216,266,395],"dissertation,":[84],"I":[85,115,271,287,468,493,545],"present":[86,116,272],"three":[87,209],"sets":[88],"empirical":[90,103,152,269],"experiments":[91,156,170,210,243,279,304,526],"support":[93],"infants'":[95,159],"ability":[96,441,561],"probabilistic":[99,113,167,177,183,204,264,445,509],"The":[101,150,199,321,515],"chapter":[104,153,201,270,326,368,428,467],"age":[107],"at":[108,507],"which":[109,376,438,447],"begin":[111],"experiment":[118],"suggesting":[119,335],"6-":[121],"but":[122],"not":[123,252],"4-month-old":[124],"can":[126,174,223,453],"generalizations":[128],"likely":[131],"composition":[132],"a":[134,142,239,253,275,289,370,389,439,477,571],"large":[135],"population":[136],"after":[137],"observing":[138],"contents":[140],"small":[143],"sample":[144,406],"drawn":[145],"randomly":[146],"population.":[149],"second":[151],"presents":[154,206],"seven":[155],"compare":[158],"adults'":[161],"abilities":[162],"more":[165,458,505],"complex":[166,459],"These":[169,242],"suggest":[171,220,245,403,546],"integrate":[175],"deterministic":[179],"physical":[180],"constraints":[181],"inference,":[184,446],"some":[188,485],"cases,":[189],"they":[190],"show":[191],"greater":[192],"competence":[193],"doing":[195],"so":[196],"than":[197,511],"adults.":[198],"final":[200,466],"infant":[203,303],"evidence":[207,401],"10-":[212],"12-month-old":[214],"infants.":[215],"these":[217],"experiments,":[218,398],"results":[219],"use":[224,248,288,313],"single-event":[225,314],"probability":[226,315,533],"computations":[227,316],"predictions":[230],"where":[232],"direct":[234],"their":[235,425,560],"search":[236],"locate":[238],"desired":[240],"object.":[241],"also":[244],"proportional":[249],"reasoning":[250],"simple":[254],"heuristic":[255],"based":[256],"on":[257,337,352,530,559],"comparisons":[258],"absolute":[260],"quantity":[261],"fourth":[268],"data":[273],"series":[276,301],"four":[278],"conducted":[280],"preschool-aged":[282],"children.":[283],"My":[284],"colleagues":[285],"causal":[290,319,576],"learning":[291],"task":[292],"broadly":[295],"similar":[296],"structure":[298],"reported":[305,397,525],"Chapter":[307],"4:":[308],"Children":[309],"are":[310,346,362,503,550],"key":[322],"motivation":[323],"reconcile":[329],"divergent":[330],"findings":[331],"literature":[334],"that,":[336],"one":[339,433],"hand,":[340,355],"rational":[349,390],"and,":[351],"other":[354],"tend":[357],"produce":[359],"responses":[360,384,407],"quite":[363],"variable":[364],"nature.":[366],"This":[367,427],"outlines":[369],"proposal":[371],"termed":[372],"\"Sampling":[374],"Hypothesis\",":[375],"suggests":[377],"variability":[380],"children's":[383],"part":[387],"strategy":[391],"for":[392,457,488,541],"we":[399],"find":[400],"distribution":[410],"possible":[412],"hypotheses":[413,422],"explain":[415],"observed":[417],"data,":[418],"weighting":[419],"different":[421],"according":[423],"probability.":[426],"provides":[429],"illustration":[431],"learner's":[440],"engage":[443],"comes":[448],"online":[449],"early":[450,537],"infancy,":[452],"provide":[454],"foundation":[456],"later":[462],"development.In":[464],"discuss":[469],"implications":[471],"work,":[474],"point":[475],"remaining":[480],"open":[481],"questions,":[482],"consider":[484],"future":[486],"directions":[487],"line":[490],"research.":[492],"conclude":[494],"suggestion":[497],"much":[504],"sophisticated":[506],"was":[512],"previously":[513],"thought.":[514],"competences":[516],"demonstrated":[517],"by":[518,557],"appear":[527],"draw":[529],"intuitive":[532],"notion":[534],"emerging":[538],"unavailable":[540],"conscious":[542],"reflection.":[543],"Moreover,":[544],"learners":[549],"capable":[551],"rapid":[554],"capitalizing":[558],"compute":[563],"probabilities,":[564],"order":[566],"acquire":[568],"knowledge":[569],"variety":[572],"domains,":[574],"including":[575],"reasoning.":[577]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}