{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2279681997","doi":null,"title":"Future demand for long-term care, 2002 to 2041: Projections of demand for older people in England","display_name":"Future demand for long-term care, 2002 to 2041: Projections of demand for older people in England","publication_year":2006,"publication_date":"2006-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2279681997","mag":"2279681997"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:kar.kent.ac.uk:27389","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.pssru.ac.uk/pdf/dp2330.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196264","display_name":"Kent Academic Repository (University of Kent)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I20581793","host_organization_name":"University of Kent","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I20581793"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Research report (external)"},"volume":null,"type":"other","is_traditional":false,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"http://www.pssru.ac.uk/pdf/dp2330.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016482467","display_name":"Raphael Wittenberg","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3096-2721","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3096-2721"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Raphael Wittenberg","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3096-2721","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5054681955","display_name":"Adelina Comas\u2010Herrera","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9860-9062","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9860-9062"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Adelina Comas\u2010Herrera","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9860-9062","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5055049249","display_name":"Derek King","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2408-4558","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2408-4558"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Derek King","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2408-4558","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053430669","display_name":"Juliette Malley","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5759-1647","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5759-1647"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Juliette Malley","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5759-1647","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5055136624","display_name":"Linda Pickard","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5128-4475","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5128-4475"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Linda Pickard","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5128-4475","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031176818","display_name":"Robin A. Darton","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8242-790X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8242-790X"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Robin Darton","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11376","display_name":"Geriatric Care and Nursing Homes","score":0.7461000084877014,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2717","display_name":"Geriatrics and Gerontology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11376","display_name":"Geriatric Care and Nursing Homes","score":0.7461000084877014,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2717","display_name":"Geriatrics and Gerontology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12781","display_name":"Global Health Care Issues","score":0.0608999989926815,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13594","display_name":"Healthcare innovation and challenges","score":0.04910000041127205,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3306","display_name":"Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-term-care","display_name":"long-term care","score":0.8399999737739563},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-forecasting","display_name":"demand forecasting","score":0.6600000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/older-adults","display_name":"older adults","score":0.9380000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-term-care-costs","display_name":"long-term care costs","score":0.9580000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-term-care-financing","display_name":"long-term care financing","score":0.8230000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-projections","display_name":"population projections","score":0.796999990940094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sensitivity-analysis","display_name":"sensitivity analysis","score":0.7089999914169312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/england","display_name":"England","score":0.44699999690055847}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.6440786123275757},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780233487","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6672123","display_name":"Long-term care","level":2,"score":0.574018657207489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182306322","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1779371","display_name":"Order (exchange)","level":2,"score":0.5346283912658691},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122637931","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q118084","display_name":"Unit (ring theory)","level":2,"score":0.49504604935646057},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162118730","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1128453","display_name":"Actuarial science","level":1,"score":0.48953375220298767},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4878063499927521},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100001284","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2248246","display_name":"Public economics","level":1,"score":0.43091732263565063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.38696593046188354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.3326065242290497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.2397708296775818},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.19652441143989563},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.11076191067695618},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159110408","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q121176","display_name":"Nursing","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C145420912","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q853077","display_name":"Mathematics education","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:kar.kent.ac.uk:27389","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.pssru.ac.uk/pdf/dp2330.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196264","display_name":"Kent Academic Repository (University of Kent)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I20581793","host_organization_name":"University of Kent","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I20581793"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Research report (external)"},{"id":"mag:2279681997","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://kar.kent.ac.uk/27389/","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:kar.kent.ac.uk:27389","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.pssru.ac.uk/pdf/dp2330.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196264","display_name":"Kent Academic Repository (University of Kent)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I20581793","host_organization_name":"University of Kent","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I20581793"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Research report (external)"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2125355072","https://openalex.org/W7095183485","https://openalex.org/W2916792900","https://openalex.org/W114193942","https://openalex.org/W2203466865","https://openalex.org/W2043171027","https://openalex.org/W2255654828","https://openalex.org/W2809105303","https://openalex.org/W299687306","https://openalex.org/W7165016041"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,98,120,140,158,184,201],"financing":[1],"of":[2,55,67,82,108,122,131,143,161,176,190,207],"long-term":[3,18,71,75,85,116,149,170],"care":[4,19,72,76,86,117,150,171],"raises":[5],"a":[6,128,188],"great":[7],"many":[8,11],"questions.":[9],"How":[10,25,44],"older":[12,88],"people":[13,89],"are":[14,27,65],"likely":[15,30],"to":[16,31,36,59,92,210],"require":[17],"services":[20,29],"in":[21,90,180,212],"the":[22,34,109,123,135,144,147,162,165,177,195,205,208,218],"coming":[23],"decades?":[24],"much":[26],"these":[28,61],"cost?":[32],"Will":[33],"cost":[35],"public":[37,50],"funds":[38],"prove":[39],"affordable?":[40],"Who":[41],"should":[42,45],"pay?":[43],"costs":[46],"be":[47],"divided":[48],"between":[49],"expenditure":[51],"and":[52,73,94,105,133,154,167,194],"private":[53],"sources":[54],"finance?":[56],"In":[57],"order":[58],"address":[60],"issues,":[62],"reliable":[63],"projections":[64,81,99,118,172,196,209],"needed":[66],"future":[68,74,96],"demand":[69,83],"for":[70,84,87],"expenditure.":[77,97],"This":[78],"paper":[79,145,163],"presents":[80,187],"England":[91],"2041":[93],"associated":[95,156],"were":[100],"produced":[101],"using":[102,198],"an":[103],"updated":[104,166,182],"expanded":[106,168],"version":[107,121],"Personal":[110],"Social":[111],"Services":[112],"Research":[113],"Unit\u2019s":[114],"(PSSRU)":[115],"model.":[119],"model":[124],"used":[125,179],"here":[126],"has":[127],"base":[129,191],"year":[130],"2002":[132],"incorporates":[134],"2004-based":[136],"official":[137],"population":[138],"projections.":[139],"first":[141],"part":[142,160,186,203],"describes":[146,164],"PSSRU":[148,169],"finance":[151],"research":[152],"programme":[153],"recent":[155],"projects.":[157],"second":[159],"model,":[173],"including":[174],"details":[175],"data":[178],"this":[181],"version.":[183],"third":[185],"set":[189],"case":[192],"assumptions":[193],"obtained":[197],"those":[199,213],"assumptions.":[200,214],"fourth":[202],"investigates":[204],"sensitivity":[206],"changes":[211],"Section":[215],"five":[216],"discusses":[217],"findings.":[219],"A":[220],"final":[221],"section":[222],"sets":[223],"out":[224],"some":[225],"conclusions.":[226]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-09-22T06:50:58.402377","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}