{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2199844590","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110328875.95","title":"PESSIMISTIC META-INDUCTION AND THE EXPONENTIAL GROWTH OF SCIENCE","display_name":"PESSIMISTIC META-INDUCTION AND THE EXPONENTIAL GROWTH OF SCIENCE","publication_year":2009,"publication_date":"2009-12-31","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2199844590","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110328875.95","mag":"2199844590"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1515/9783110328875.95","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110328875.95","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110328875.95","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306463091","display_name":"De Gruyter eBooks","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313990","host_organization_name":"De Gruyter","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["De Gruyter"],"type":"ebook platform"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Reduction - Abstraction - Analysis","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"volume":{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2495861829","display_name":"Reduction - Abstraction - Analysis"},"type":"book-chapter","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060145798","display_name":"Ludwig Fahrbach","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ludwig Fahrbach","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5060145798"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.066,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":21,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91135891,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"95","last_page":"112"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10778","display_name":"Philosophy and History of Science","score":0.8701000213623047,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1207","display_name":"History and Philosophy of Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10778","display_name":"Philosophy and History of Science","score":0.8701000213623047,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1207","display_name":"History and Philosophy of Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13558","display_name":"Philosophy, Science, and History","score":0.11110000312328339,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1207","display_name":"History and Philosophy of Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11477","display_name":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","score":0.00860000029206276,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1211","display_name":"Philosophy"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pessimistic-meta-induction","display_name":"pessimistic meta-induction","score":0.9959999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scientific-realism","display_name":"scientific realism","score":1.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/history-of-science","display_name":"history of science","score":0.7429999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scientific-theories","display_name":"scientific theories","score":0.3630000054836273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/theory-change","display_name":"theory change","score":0.4169999957084656}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9992130","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q484954","display_name":"Pessimism","level":2,"score":0.7295214533805847},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151376022","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q168698","display_name":"Exponential function","level":2,"score":0.5568747520446777},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C75235859","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q582659","display_name":"Exponential growth","level":2,"score":0.5385327339172363},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3586500287055969},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3324449956417084},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.2633560597896576},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.23035764694213867},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.13083872199058533}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1515/9783110328875.95","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110328875.95","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110328875.95","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306463091","display_name":"De Gruyter eBooks","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310313990","host_organization_name":"De Gruyter","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310313990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["De Gruyter"],"type":"ebook platform"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Reduction - Abstraction - Analysis","raw_type":"book-chapter"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":7,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W634321798","https://openalex.org/W1497203095","https://openalex.org/W1979578074","https://openalex.org/W2052663919","https://openalex.org/W2081814119","https://openalex.org/W2170627033","https://openalex.org/W3144901924"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7038304308","https://openalex.org/W1966053509","https://openalex.org/W2135326403","https://openalex.org/W2527155277","https://openalex.org/W196838844","https://openalex.org/W1979578074","https://openalex.org/W2039954816","https://openalex.org/W7223175646","https://openalex.org/W3196594012","https://openalex.org/W7029079005"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"In":[0],"my":[1,150],"talk,":[4],"I":[5,23,103,192,241],"aim":[6],"to":[7,79,88,94],"defend":[8],"scientific":[9,38,260],"realism":[10],"against":[11],"the":[12,29,33,59,89,101,106,109,118,127,202,207,214,228,235,267],"pessimistic":[13],"meta-induction":[16],"(PI,":[17],"for":[18,73],"short).":[19],"Scientific":[20],"realism,":[21],"as":[22,254],"define":[24],"it,":[25],"endorses":[26],"success-to-truth":[30,90],"principle,":[31,91],"i.e.,":[32],"principle":[34],"that":[35,58,67,108,117,153,178,227],"if":[36],"a":[37,74,123],"theory":[41,124,272],"is":[42,46,63,115,152],"successful,":[43],"then":[44],"it":[45],"(approximately)":[47],"true.":[48],"The":[49,146],"PI,":[50,102],"then,":[51],"consists":[52],"in":[55,139,234,266],"pointing":[56],"out":[57],"history":[60,203],"of":[61,65,111,120,122,131,149,162,190,204,211,213,231,249,256],"science":[62],"full":[64],"theories":[66,83,155,185,217],"were":[68],"once":[71],"successful":[72,168,183,216,280],"while,":[75],"but":[76],"later":[77],"shown":[78],"be":[80],"false.":[81],"These":[82],"constitute":[86],"counterexamples":[87],"and":[92,136,144,177,220],"seem":[93],"refute":[97],"it.":[98],"To":[99],"rebut":[100],"start":[104],"from":[105,201],"observation":[107],"notion":[110],"success":[114,121,163,212,232],"graded,":[116],"degree":[119,210],"increases,":[125],"when":[126],"cases":[130],"fit":[132],"between":[133],"its":[134],"predictions":[135],"observations":[137,200],"grow":[138],"number,":[140],"diversity":[143],"precision.":[145],"main":[147],"thesis":[148,197],"talk":[151],"among":[154,275],"with":[158,198],"very":[159],"high":[160],"degrees":[161,189],"(e.g.,":[164],"our":[165,276],"current":[166],"most":[167,215,279],"theories)":[171],"almost":[172],"no":[173,271],"refutations":[174],"have":[175],"occurred,":[176],"practically":[179,270],"all":[180],"refuted":[184],"enjoyed":[186],"rather":[187],"low":[188],"success.":[191],"support":[193,242],"this":[196,243],"two":[199],"science.":[205],"First,":[206],"has":[218],"by":[219,245],"large":[221],"grown":[222],"exponentially,":[225],"so":[226],"greatest":[229],"growth":[230],"occurred":[233,274],"last":[236],"few":[239],"decades.":[240],"claim":[244],"considering":[246],"various":[247],"indicators":[248],"success,":[252],"such":[253],"amount":[255],"data,":[257],"computing":[258],"power,":[259],"manpower,":[261],"etc.":[262],"Second,":[265],"recent":[268],"past":[269],"changes":[273],"theories.":[281]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-10T09:11:00.788812","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
