{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2186963382","doi":null,"title":"Is it possible to elude catastrophic shifts","display_name":"Is it possible to elude catastrophic shifts","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2186963382","mag":"2186963382"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"mag:2186963382","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ergodic.ugr.es/cp/html/abstracts2015/Villa.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048446798","display_name":"Paula Villa Mart","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Paula Villa Mart","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063934076","display_name":"Juan A. Bonachela","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3316-8120","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3316-8120"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Juan A. Bonachela","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3316-8120","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5077712228","display_name":"Simon A. Levin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8216-5639","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8216-5639","https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0895-0361"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Simon A. Levin","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8216-5639","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057081225","display_name":"Miguel A. Mu","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Miguel A. Mu","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.07763112,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13377","display_name":"Ecosystem dynamics and resilience","score":0.9980000257492065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13377","display_name":"Ecosystem dynamics and resilience","score":0.9980000257492065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10482","display_name":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","score":0.0017999999690800905,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10005","display_name":"Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2309","display_name":"Nature and Landscape Conservation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/catastrophic-shifts","display_name":"catastrophic shifts","score":0.9929999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demographic-stochasticity","display_name":"demographic stochasticity","score":0.9399999976158142},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/spatially-explicit-model","display_name":"spatially explicit model","score":0.8769999742507935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/limited-mobility","display_name":"limited mobility","score":0.6620000004768372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/spatial-heterogeneity","display_name":"spatial heterogeneity","score":0.9980000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/deterministic-vs-stochastic-dynamics","display_name":"deterministic vs stochastic dynamics","score":0.5149999856948853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reversible-transitions","display_name":"reversible transitions","score":0.41499999165534973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecosystem-collapse","display_name":"ecological collapse","score":0.39100000262260437}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780586882","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7520643","display_name":"Simple (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.5499864220619202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112987892","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5051574","display_name":"Catastrophic failure","level":2,"score":0.47345229983329773},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.42908263206481934},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776608160","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4785462","display_name":"Natural (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.4191315174102783},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110872660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37813","display_name":"Ecosystem","level":2,"score":0.4151993989944458},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.39740708470344543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3451494872570038},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.2114502191543579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.09641909599304199},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.08973023295402527},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.08688825368881226},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C97355855","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11473","display_name":"Thermodynamics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"mag:2186963382","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ergodic.ugr.es/cp/html/abstracts2015/Villa.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":4,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W330247109","https://openalex.org/W2011866841","https://openalex.org/W2041471962","https://openalex.org/W2153268540"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2041471962","https://openalex.org/W2163742334","https://openalex.org/W3046308416","https://openalex.org/W7096818396","https://openalex.org/W6885157325","https://openalex.org/W2607163427","https://openalex.org/W2787332703","https://openalex.org/W1844499390","https://openalex.org/W2808358955","https://openalex.org/W2105801075"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Catastrophic":[0],"shifts":[1,135,156,168],"are":[2,72],"natural":[3],"phenomena":[4],"of":[5,33,114,133,165],"paramount":[6],"importance":[7],"[1,":[8],"2].":[9],"For":[10],"instance,":[11],"socio-economic":[12],"and":[13,53,57,65,76,94,142,157,175],"socio-ecological":[14],"systems":[15],"[3,":[16],"4],":[17],"as":[18,20,23,30,119],"well":[19],"ecosystems":[21],"such":[22,118,167],"lakes,":[24],"savannas,":[25],"or":[26,122],"oceans":[27],"can":[28,44,105,129,151],"experience,":[29],"a":[31,63,86],"consequence":[32],"small":[34],"changes":[35],"in":[36,111],"environmental":[37],"conditions,":[38],"sudden":[39],"collapses":[40],"after":[41],"which":[42],"recovery":[43],"be":[45],"extremely":[46],"dicult":[47],"(e.g.,":[48],"desertication,":[49],"coral":[50],"reef":[51],"collapses,":[52],"market":[54],"crashes).":[55],"Predicting":[56],"preventing":[58,166],"these":[59,78,127],"abrupt":[60],"transitions":[61],"remains":[62],"challenging":[64],"important":[66],"task.":[67],"Usually,":[68],"simple":[69],"deterministic":[70,107],"equations":[71],"used":[73],"to":[74,99,139,159,169],"model":[75],"rationalize":[77],"complex":[79],"situations.":[80],"However,":[81],"stochastic":[82],"eects":[83],"might":[84],"have":[85],"profound":[87],"eect.":[88],"Here":[89],"[5]":[90],"we":[91],"use":[92],"1D":[93],"2D":[95],"spatially":[96],"explicit":[97],"models":[98],"show":[100],"that":[101],"intrinsic":[102],"(demographic)":[103],"stochasticity":[104],"alter":[106,130],"predictions":[108],"dramatically,":[109],"especially":[110],"the":[112,131,160,163],"presence":[113],"other":[115],"realistic":[116],"features":[117],"limited":[120],"mobility":[121],"spatial":[123],"heterogeneity.":[124],"In":[125],"particular,":[126],"ingredients":[128],"possibility":[132,164],"catastrophic":[134,155],"by":[136],"giving":[137],"rise":[138],"much":[140],"smoother":[141],"easily":[143],"reversible":[144],"continuous":[145],"ones.":[146],"The":[147],"ideas":[148],"presented":[149],"here":[150],"help":[152],"further":[153],"understand":[154],"contribute":[158],"discussion":[161],"about":[162],"minimize":[170],"their":[171],"disruptive":[172],"ecological,":[173],"economic,":[174],"societal":[176],"consequences.":[177]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-05T12:25:35.769452","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}