{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2185307201","doi":null,"title":"Confidence and Competence in Expertise","display_name":"Confidence and Competence in Expertise","publication_year":2007,"publication_date":"2007-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2185307201","mag":"2185307201"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"mag:2185307201","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.nuff.ox.ac.uk/users/kawamura/confidenceCEA.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5043296316","display_name":"Kohei Kawamura","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2983-0943","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2983-0943","https://orcid.org/0009-0006-7708-9818"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Kohei Kawamura","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Oxford"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2983-0943","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Oxford","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5043296316"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.4641,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.70337248,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11031","display_name":"Game Theory and Applications","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11031","display_name":"Game Theory and Applications","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10646","display_name":"Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies","score":0.0003000000142492354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11182","display_name":"Auction Theory and Applications","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/overconfidence","display_name":"overconfidence","score":0.8759999871253967},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/underconfidence","display_name":"underconfidence","score":0.9959999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/expert-competence","display_name":"expert competence","score":0.6890000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cheap-talk","display_name":"cheap talk","score":0.8640000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/information-transfer","display_name":"information transmission","score":0.8809999823570251}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C51110983","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16503490","display_name":"Overconfidence effect","level":2,"score":0.9940377473831177},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100521375","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2015382","display_name":"Competence (human resources)","level":2,"score":0.6539058089256287},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29122968","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1414816","display_name":"Incentive","level":2,"score":0.633183479309082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.5582811236381531},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.537846028804779},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106485872","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5088884","display_name":"Cheap talk","level":2,"score":0.44529372453689575},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.21966704726219177},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.16353672742843628}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"mag:2185307201","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.nuff.ox.ac.uk/users/kawamura/confidenceCEA.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":19,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1491713238","https://openalex.org/W1589257866","https://openalex.org/W1971685258","https://openalex.org/W2044202249","https://openalex.org/W2044463146","https://openalex.org/W2056181035","https://openalex.org/W2096444441","https://openalex.org/W2104966032","https://openalex.org/W2113383833","https://openalex.org/W2128633294","https://openalex.org/W2129714381","https://openalex.org/W2160003140","https://openalex.org/W2164646550","https://openalex.org/W2320292744","https://openalex.org/W2328418989","https://openalex.org/W3123195209","https://openalex.org/W3124214036","https://openalex.org/W3125133431","https://openalex.org/W3125974145"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2048436829","https://openalex.org/W2564175144","https://openalex.org/W3092054007","https://openalex.org/W2082276583","https://openalex.org/W4238431987","https://openalex.org/W7099014639","https://openalex.org/W7027217167","https://openalex.org/W2103615118","https://openalex.org/W2049616921","https://openalex.org/W1495837286"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"paper":[1],"studies":[2],"communication":[3,79,90],"between":[4],"an":[5,9],"uninformed":[6],"principal":[7],"and":[8,38,87],"expert":[10,82],"who":[11],"have":[12],"asymmetric":[13],"beliefs":[14],"(confidence)":[15],"on":[16,30,45],"the":[17,23,31,46,62,68,81,92,104,108,118,121],"expert\u2019s":[18,47],"ability":[19],"(competence)":[20],"to":[21,100,102,114,116],"observe":[22],"true":[24],"state":[25],"of":[26,36,70,75,94],"nature.":[27],"Ba":[28],"sed":[29],"standard":[32],"cheap":[33],"talk":[34],"model":[35],"Crawford":[37],"Sobel":[39],"(1982)":[40],"we":[41],"show":[42],"that":[43],"overconfidence":[44,76,86],"side":[48],"may":[49],"enhance":[50],"information":[51],"transmission":[52],"when":[53,80],"he":[54],"is":[55,60,83],"severely":[56],"biased,":[57],"while":[58,111],"this":[59],"not":[61],"case":[63],"for":[64],"underconfidence.":[65],"Moreover,":[66],"given":[67],"level":[69],"competence":[71],"a":[72],"slight":[73],"degree":[74],"always":[77],"improves":[78],"biased.":[84],"Both":[85],"underconfidence":[88,112],"hurt":[89],"in":[91],"absence":[93],"such":[95],"bias.":[96],"Overconfidence":[97],"gives":[98],"rise":[99],"incentive":[101,115],"exaggerate":[103],"message":[105,119],"away":[106],"from":[107],"prior":[109],"expectation,":[110],"leads":[113],"moderate":[117],"towards":[120],"prior.":[122]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
