{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2182164052","doi":null,"title":"ZEF-Discussion Papers on Development Policy No. 171","display_name":"ZEF-Discussion Papers on Development Policy No. 171","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2182164052","mag":"2182164052"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"mag:2182164052","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/140769/2/DP171.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5078136047","display_name":"Alisher Mirzabaev","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5223-7160","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5223-7160"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I135140700","display_name":"University of Bonn","ror":"https://ror.org/041nas322","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alisher Mirzabaev","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Bonn >  >  >  >"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5223-7160","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bonn >  >  >  >","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5010179875","display_name":"Daniel Tsegai","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I135140700","display_name":"University of Bonn","ror":"https://ror.org/041nas322","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Daniel Tsegai","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Bonn >  >  >  >"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bonn >  >  >  >","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11898","display_name":"Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets","score":0.7304999828338623,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11898","display_name":"Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets","score":0.7304999828338623,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11886","display_name":"Agricultural risk and resilience","score":0.219200000166893,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10439","display_name":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","score":0.03400000184774399,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/weather-shocks","display_name":"weather shocks","score":0.9829999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-commodity-prices","display_name":"agricultural commodity prices","score":0.9909999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wheat-prices","display_name":"wheat prices","score":0.9900000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/potato-prices","display_name":"potato prices","score":1.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/irrigation-water-availability","display_name":"irrigation water availability","score":0.9909999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/central-asia","display_name":"Central Asia","score":0.621999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/weather-insurance","display_name":"weather insurance","score":0.9670000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/crop-breeding","display_name":"crop breeding","score":0.5630000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wheat-yield","display_name":"wheat yield","score":0.3630000054836273}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91602232","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q756115","display_name":"Volatility (finance)","level":2,"score":0.6562983989715576},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C88862950","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11453","display_name":"Irrigation","level":2,"score":0.6118982434272766},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118518473","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11451","display_name":"Agriculture","level":2,"score":0.5887889266014099},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48824518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q396340","display_name":"Agricultural economics","level":1,"score":0.5575056076049805},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.5157668590545654},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779439359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q317088","display_name":"Commodity","level":2,"score":0.49941015243530273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C6422946","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q857354","display_name":"Panel data","level":2,"score":0.4506896734237671},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3773367702960968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.2405221164226532},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C6557445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q173113","display_name":"Agronomy","level":1,"score":0.23746591806411743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.18500882387161255},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.15016961097717285},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"mag:2182164052","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/140769/2/DP171.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Zero hunger","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2","score":1.0},{"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.75}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":57,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W45594138","https://openalex.org/W138811570","https://openalex.org/W174086655","https://openalex.org/W200579690","https://openalex.org/W1254824417","https://openalex.org/W1503989292","https://openalex.org/W1504452031","https://openalex.org/W1542742560","https://openalex.org/W1561513404","https://openalex.org/W1662681156","https://openalex.org/W1920584989","https://openalex.org/W1964306162","https://openalex.org/W1969230115","https://openalex.org/W1975015145","https://openalex.org/W1976386631","https://openalex.org/W1976801657","https://openalex.org/W1978775682","https://openalex.org/W1985845508","https://openalex.org/W1997019013","https://openalex.org/W2000361430","https://openalex.org/W2005013362","https://openalex.org/W2009522696","https://openalex.org/W2049350168","https://openalex.org/W2069699706","https://openalex.org/W2078572037","https://openalex.org/W2078948757","https://openalex.org/W2086714066","https://openalex.org/W2090122224","https://openalex.org/W2090316129","https://openalex.org/W2095821049","https://openalex.org/W2096690388","https://openalex.org/W2106171454","https://openalex.org/W2106515796","https://openalex.org/W2110603299","https://openalex.org/W2111565740","https://openalex.org/W2117513178","https://openalex.org/W2120012334","https://openalex.org/W2122695981","https://openalex.org/W2124758339","https://openalex.org/W2124873414","https://openalex.org/W2125919918","https://openalex.org/W2141733289","https://openalex.org/W2142635246","https://openalex.org/W2147281505","https://openalex.org/W2148158493","https://openalex.org/W2152717893","https://openalex.org/W2153073590","https://openalex.org/W2155020133","https://openalex.org/W2236281097","https://openalex.org/W2318113592","https://openalex.org/W2571446175","https://openalex.org/W2617606220","https://openalex.org/W3122205792","https://openalex.org/W3123353535","https://openalex.org/W3124091918","https://openalex.org/W3125738752","https://openalex.org/W3125999677"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1860419875","https://openalex.org/W2436288899","https://openalex.org/W7008626590","https://openalex.org/W2564816121","https://openalex.org/W3125999677","https://openalex.org/W1204338016","https://openalex.org/W3034096708","https://openalex.org/W4411547111","https://openalex.org/W7163713108","https://openalex.org/W2037757546"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Higher":[0],"weather":[1,10,31,91,214,220],"volatility":[2,92,211],"may":[3,141],"be":[4,168,206,224,228],"reflected":[5],"in":[6,37,78,97,112,133,201],"higher":[7,130,161],"incidences":[8],"of":[9,19,30,52,65,81,100,138,145,174],"shocks.":[11,215],"Weather":[12],"shocks":[13,32],"could":[14,125,167,223],"potentially":[15],"affect":[16],"the":[17,28,43,50,62,66,79,95,98,134,146],"supply":[18,156],"agricultural":[20,34,202,218],"commodities":[21,203],"and":[22,84,109,122,237,248,251],"their":[23],"prices.":[24,164],"In":[25,182],"this":[26],"study,":[27],"effects":[29,106],"on":[33,107,179,252],"commodity":[35],"prices":[36,111,132],"Central":[38,113],"Asia":[39],"are":[40,68],"investigated":[41],"at":[42],"provincial":[44],"scale":[45],"using":[46,70],"monthly":[47],"data":[48],"for":[49,129,240],"period":[51],"2000-2010.":[53],"The":[54,87],"study":[55],"uses":[56],"an":[57],"innovative":[58],"estimation":[59],"method,":[60],"where":[61],"idiosyncratic":[63],"components":[64],"variables":[67],"analyzed":[69],"Feasible":[71],"Generalized":[72],"Least":[73],"Squares":[74],"(FGLS)":[75],"panel":[76],"regression":[77],"presence":[80],"cross-sectional":[82],"dependence":[83],"serial":[85],"autocorrelation.":[86],"analysis":[88],"indicates":[89],"that":[90],"and,":[93],"especially,":[94],"fluctuations":[96],"availability":[99,137,178],"irrigation":[101,139,176],"water":[102,140,177],"have":[103],"statistically":[104],"significant":[105],"wheat":[108,131,151,163,180],"potato":[110],"Asia.":[114],"Negative":[115],"shocks,":[116],"involving":[117],"lower":[118,175],"than":[119],"usual":[120],"temperatures":[121],"precipitation":[123],"amounts,":[124],"create":[126],"favorable":[127],"conditions":[128],"region.":[135],"Lower":[136],"encourage":[142],"irrigation-dependent":[143],"countries":[144],"region":[147],"to":[148,153,160,184,191,208,231,246],"aggressively":[149],"raise":[150],"stocks":[152],"face":[154],"expected":[155],"shortfalls,":[157],"thus":[158],"leading":[159],"regional":[162],"This":[165],"effect":[166],"further":[169],"aggravated":[170],"by":[171],"negative":[172],"impacts":[173],"yields.":[181],"order":[183],"counteract":[185],"such":[186],"developments,":[187],"it":[188],"is":[189],"necessary":[190,230],"devise":[192],"effective":[193],"grain":[194],"storage":[195],"policies.":[196],"Regional":[197],"free":[198],"trade":[199],"arrangements":[200],"will":[204],"also":[205,229],"important":[207],"minimize":[209],"price":[210],"resulting":[212],"from":[213],"For":[216],"protecting":[217],"producers,":[219],"insurance":[221],"schemes":[222],"introduced.":[225],"It":[226],"would":[227],"make":[232],"investments":[233],"into":[234],"crop":[235,243,255],"breeding":[236],"agronomic":[238],"research":[239],"developing":[241],"new":[242],"cultivars":[244],"resistant":[245],"biotic":[247],"abiotic":[249],"stresses,":[250],"promoting":[253],"water-efficient":[254],"production":[256],"technologies.":[257]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
