{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2176204187","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2015.4109","title":"Previs\u00e3o de secas na primavera em Portugal Continental com base em indicadores clim\u00e1ticos de larga escala","display_name":"Previs\u00e3o de secas na primavera em Portugal Continental com base em indicadores clim\u00e1ticos de larga escala","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-10-30","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2176204187","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2015.4109","mag":"2176204187"},"language":"pt","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.4995/ia.2015.4109","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2015.4109","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2015.4109","pdf_url":"https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/IA/article/download/4109/4368","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210195865","display_name":"Ingenier\u00eda del agua","issn_l":"1134-2196","issn":["1134-2196","1886-4996"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["ddh","doaj","dongbi-c","fecyt-seal","latindex","poland-20","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320298","host_organization_name":"IWA Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320298"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IWA Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-sa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ingenier\u00eda del agua","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/IA/article/download/4109/4368","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5010043277","display_name":"Jo\u00e3o Filipe Santos","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4671-9884","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4671-9884"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802390120","display_name":"Universidade Polit\u00e9cnica de Beja","ror":"https://ror.org/00t9n0h58","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2802390120"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"J.F Santos","raw_affiliation_strings":["Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Beja"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico de Beja","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802390120"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005238248","display_name":"Mar\u00eda Manuela Portela","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5221-1139","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5221-1139"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4387152517","display_name":"Instituto Superior T\u00e9cnico","ror":"https://ror.org/03db2by73","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I141596103","https://openalex.org/I4387152517"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M.M. Portela","raw_affiliation_strings":["Instituto Superior T\u00e9cnico de Lisboa"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Instituto Superior T\u00e9cnico de Lisboa","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4387152517"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5045993669","display_name":"Inmaculada Pulido\u2010Calvo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4527-5836","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4527-5836"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78880903","display_name":"Universidad de Huelva","ror":"https://ror.org/03a1kt624","country_code":"ES","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78880903"]}],"countries":["ES"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"I. Pulido-Calvo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidad de Huelva"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4527-5836","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad de Huelva","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78880903"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.3771,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":3,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.67356834,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"19","issue":"4","first_page":"211","last_page":"211"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11186","display_name":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","score":0.9976000189781189,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11186","display_name":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","score":0.9976000189781189,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11490","display_name":"Hydrological Forecasting Using AI","score":0.0017000000225380063,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.00039999998989515007,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/drought-forecasting","display_name":"drought forecasting","score":0.9350000023841858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/spring-drought","display_name":"spring drought","score":0.8920000195503235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/standardized-precipitation-index","display_name":"Standardized Precipitation Index","score":0.8610000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/neural-network","display_name":"artificial neural networks","score":0.7910000085830688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/north-atlantic-oscillation","display_name":"North Atlantic Oscillation","score":0.9390000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sea-surface-temperature","display_name":"sea surface temperature","score":0.9850000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/hindcasting","display_name":"hindcasting","score":0.8029999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/water-resources-management","display_name":"water resources management","score":0.7910000085830688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/continental-portugal","display_name":"continental Portugal","score":0.8519999980926514}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83002819","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q798528","display_name":"Hindcast","level":2,"score":0.5125955939292908},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.3799270987510681},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.37050604820251465},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.12540778517723083}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":8,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.4995/ia.2015.4109","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2015.4109","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2015.4109","pdf_url":"https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/IA/article/download/4109/4368","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210195865","display_name":"Ingenier\u00eda del agua","issn_l":"1134-2196","issn":["1134-2196","1886-4996"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["ddh","doaj","dongbi-c","fecyt-seal","latindex","poland-20","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320298","host_organization_name":"IWA Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320298"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IWA Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-sa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ingenier\u00eda del agua","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/426876","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/2117/426876","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196262","display_name":"UPCommons institutional repository (Universitat Polit\u00e8cnica de Catalunya)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I9617848","host_organization_name":"Universitat Polit\u00e8cnica de Catalunya","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I9617848"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-sa","version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:rabida.uhu.es:10272/11481","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10272/11481","pdf_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10272/11481","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401308","display_name":"Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Huelva (Universidad de Huelva)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I78880903","host_organization_name":"Universidad de Huelva","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78880903"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:ariasmontano.uhu.es:10272/11481","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10272/11481","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401308","display_name":"Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Huelva (Universidad de Huelva)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I78880903","host_organization_name":"Universidad de Huelva","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78880903"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"journal article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:cb85d4b3602e4681afb6f849ab8f557d","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/cb85d4b3602e4681afb6f849ab8f557d","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Ingenier\u00eda del Agua, Vol 19, Iss 4, Pp 211-227 (2015)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:hispana.mcu.es:58797856","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10272/11481","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196108","display_name":"Hispana","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"journal article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/77097","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10251/77097","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400639","display_name":"RiuNet (Universitat Polit\u00e8cnica de Val\u00e8ncia)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I60053951","host_organization_name":"Universitat Polit\u00e8cnica de Val\u00e8ncia","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I60053951"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"mag:2326693280","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/IA/article/download/4109/4368","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.4995/ia.2015.4109","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2015.4109","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2015.4109","pdf_url":"https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/IA/article/download/4109/4368","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210195865","display_name":"Ingenier\u00eda del agua","issn_l":"1134-2196","issn":["1134-2196","1886-4996"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"listed_in":["ddh","doaj","dongbi-c","fecyt-seal","latindex","poland-20","russia-white-list-3"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320298","host_organization_name":"IWA Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320298"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IWA Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-sa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Ingenier\u00eda del agua","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.821399986743927,"display_name":"Climate action"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2176204187.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2176204187.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":68,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W28989444","https://openalex.org/W117407011","https://openalex.org/W647686201","https://openalex.org/W1487810863","https://openalex.org/W1498436455","https://openalex.org/W1525707000","https://openalex.org/W1538943645","https://openalex.org/W1542853298","https://openalex.org/W1562368010","https://openalex.org/W1575071842","https://openalex.org/W1586973386","https://openalex.org/W1604517758","https://openalex.org/W1607611379","https://openalex.org/W1976917637","https://openalex.org/W1977112341","https://openalex.org/W1991329666","https://openalex.org/W1994424196","https://openalex.org/W2004148370","https://openalex.org/W2004630602","https://openalex.org/W2004979621","https://openalex.org/W2006446757","https://openalex.org/W2006948938","https://openalex.org/W2008404657","https://openalex.org/W2009361981","https://openalex.org/W2010665739","https://openalex.org/W2010717488","https://openalex.org/W2010941618","https://openalex.org/W2024520223","https://openalex.org/W2029762335","https://openalex.org/W2030011845","https://openalex.org/W2033530520","https://openalex.org/W2037460094","https://openalex.org/W2050063558","https://openalex.org/W2052631943","https://openalex.org/W2065291323","https://openalex.org/W2074770406","https://openalex.org/W2077894979","https://openalex.org/W2080690725","https://openalex.org/W2080885753","https://openalex.org/W2080956836","https://openalex.org/W2082327374","https://openalex.org/W2098823983","https://openalex.org/W2104364752","https://openalex.org/W2104641680","https://openalex.org/W2108527489","https://openalex.org/W2109796389","https://openalex.org/W2114676071","https://openalex.org/W2118347479","https://openalex.org/W2124903321","https://openalex.org/W2131477567","https://openalex.org/W2134153115","https://openalex.org/W2138644141","https://openalex.org/W2141479576","https://openalex.org/W2142334564","https://openalex.org/W2145586089","https://openalex.org/W2146353725","https://openalex.org/W2153179024","https://openalex.org/W2162691261","https://openalex.org/W2162744673","https://openalex.org/W2164017619","https://openalex.org/W2188809907","https://openalex.org/W3014655026","https://openalex.org/W3017323153","https://openalex.org/W3018770027","https://openalex.org/W3022393745","https://openalex.org/W3044259969","https://openalex.org/W3127611755","https://openalex.org/W4230069001"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2326693280","https://openalex.org/W7112878593","https://openalex.org/W18344041","https://openalex.org/W7120564350","https://openalex.org/W3179304703","https://openalex.org/W7033294533","https://openalex.org/W2314826863","https://openalex.org/W3152847944","https://openalex.org/W7032996518","https://openalex.org/W6995837069"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"O":[0,95,124],"sucesso":[1],"de":[2,5,14,17,23,27,30,41,51,103,138,143,145,147,160],"uma":[3],"estrat\u00e9gia":[4],"mitiga\u00e7\u00e3o":[6],"dos":[7,60,88,132],"efeitos":[8],"da":[9,71,120,130],"seca":[10,28,148],"passa":[11],"pela":[12],"implementa\u00e7\u00e3o":[13],"um":[15,73],"sistema":[16],"monitoriza\u00e7\u00e3o":[18],"e":[19,29,118,157],"previs\u00e3o":[20],"eficaz,":[21],"capaz":[22],"identificar":[24],"os":[25,149],"eventos":[26],"seguir":[31],"a":[32,39,68,79,82,113,127],"sua":[33,80],"evolu\u00e7\u00e3o":[34],"esp\u00e1cio-temporal.":[35],"Neste":[36],"artigo":[37],"demonstrase":[38],"efici\u00eancia":[40],"redes":[42],"neuronais":[43],"artificiais":[44],"na":[45,158],"previs\u00e3o,":[46],"para":[47],"Portugal,":[48],"do":[49,115,122],"\u00edndice":[50,96],"precipita\u00e7\u00e3o":[52],"padronizada,":[53],"SPI,":[54],"relativo":[55],"\u00e0":[56,100],"primavera.":[57],"A":[58],"valida\u00e7\u00e3o":[59],"modelos":[61],"recorreu":[62],"ao":[63],"hindcasting,":[64],"designando-se,":[65],"por":[66],"tal,":[67],"t\u00e9cnica":[69],"atrav\u00e9s":[70],"qual":[72],"dado":[74],"modelo":[75,137],"\u00e9":[76],"testado":[77],"mediante":[78],"aplica\u00e7\u00e3o":[81],"per\u00edodos":[83],"temporais":[84],"hist\u00f3ricos,":[85],"com":[86,91],"compara\u00e7\u00e3o":[87],"resultados":[89],"obtidos":[90],"as":[92],"respectivas":[93],"observa\u00e7\u00f5es.":[94],"SPI":[97],"foi":[98],"calculado":[99],"escala":[101],"temporal":[102],"6":[104],"meses":[105],"tendo":[106],"o":[107],"hindcast":[108],"utilizado":[109],"como":[110],"indicadores":[111],"clim\u00e1ticos":[112],"oscila\u00e7\u00e3o":[114],"Atl\u00e2ntico":[116],"Norte":[117],"temperaturas":[119],"superf\u00edcie":[121],"mar.":[123],"estudo":[125],"evidenciou":[126],"mais":[128],"valia":[129],"inclus\u00e3o":[131],"anteriores":[133],"predictores":[134],"externos":[135],"no":[136,154],"previs\u00e3o.":[139],"Elaboraram-se,":[140],"ainda,":[141],"mapas":[142],"probabilidade":[144],"ocorr\u00eancia":[146],"quais":[150],"constituem":[151],"importantes":[152],"ferramentas":[153],"planeamento":[155],"integrado":[156],"gest\u00e3o":[159],"recursos":[161],"h\u00eddricos.":[162]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}