{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2173977935","doi":null,"title":"ANALISA DAN PENERAPAN METODE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK PREDIKSI PENJUALAN PADA PERIODE TERTENTU (Studi Kasus : PT. Media Cemara Kreasi)","display_name":"ANALISA DAN PENERAPAN METODE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK PREDIKSI PENJUALAN PADA PERIODE TERTENTU (Studi Kasus : PT. Media Cemara Kreasi)","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-09-12","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2173977935","mag":"2173977935"},"language":"id","primary_location":{"id":"mag:2173977935","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.neliti.com/publications/172064/analisa-dan-penerapan-metode-single-exponential-smoothing-untuk-prediksi-penjual","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5040339727","display_name":"Kristien Margi S","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3133415027","display_name":"University of Bunda Mulia","ror":"https://ror.org/00vb9c215","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3133415027"]}],"countries":["ID"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kristien Margi S","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universitas Bunda Mulia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universitas Bunda Mulia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3133415027"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090833456","display_name":"Sofian Pendawa W Pendawa W","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3133415027","display_name":"University of Bunda Mulia","ror":"https://ror.org/00vb9c215","country_code":"ID","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3133415027"]}],"countries":["ID"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sofian Pendawa W Pendawa W","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universitas Bunda Mulia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universitas Bunda Mulia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3133415027"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3133415027"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.7469,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":31,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.76928762,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"259","last_page":"266"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13373","display_name":"Data Mining and Machine Learning Applications","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1710","display_name":"Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/simple-exponential-smoothing","display_name":"single exponential smoothing","score":0.9990000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sales-forecasting","display_name":"sales forecasting","score":0.9909999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-forecasting","display_name":"time series forecasting","score":0.7350000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-accuracy","display_name":"forecast accuracy","score":0.7490000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-absolute-deviation","display_name":"mean absolute deviation","score":0.7680000066757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-squared-error","display_name":"mean squared error","score":0.9959999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-absolute-percentage-error","display_name":"mean absolute percentage error","score":0.9779999852180481}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.582512617111206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133710760","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775837","display_name":"Exponential smoothing","level":2,"score":0.5763482451438904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C97137747","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q38112","display_name":"Forestry","level":1,"score":0.4474492073059082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.23380613327026367},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.15951764583587646}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"mag:2173977935","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.neliti.com/publications/172064/analisa-dan-penerapan-metode-single-exponential-smoothing-untuk-prediksi-penjual","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":4,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1526400846","https://openalex.org/W2554679638","https://openalex.org/W2582996569","https://openalex.org/W3158482146"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4386049695","https://openalex.org/W4379646799","https://openalex.org/W1522049864","https://openalex.org/W215526853","https://openalex.org/W7219124429","https://openalex.org/W4319263780","https://openalex.org/W2776679754","https://openalex.org/W7220586789","https://openalex.org/W7004950422","https://openalex.org/W3167500387"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Untuk":[0],"mendapatkan":[1],"laba":[2],"yang":[3,29,58,93,101,115,130,149],"besar":[4],"pada":[5,13,49,69,135,139,144],"suatu":[6,37,72],"Perusahaan":[7],"adalah":[8,87,133,154],"dengan":[9,25,107,169],"menentukan":[10,36],"prediksi":[11,27,47,164],"penjualan":[12,23,28,38,48,165],"bulan":[14],"berikutnya.":[15,51],"Prediksi":[16],"merupakan":[17,55],"salah":[18],"satu":[19],"kunci":[20],"dari":[21,78,83,89,151,157],"keberhasilan":[22],"karena":[24],"nilai":[26],"bisa":[30],"dijadikan":[31],"panduan":[32],"sebagai":[33],"acuan":[34],"untuk":[35,45,61,126,161],"produk.":[39],"Metode":[40,52],"Single":[41],"Exponential":[42],"Smoothing":[43],"digunakan":[44],"menetukan":[46],"periode":[50],"exponential":[53,85],"smoothing":[54,86],"metode":[56,79,84,113,158],"peramalan":[57,62,125],"cukup":[59],"baik":[60,103],"jangka":[63,66],"panjang":[64],"dan":[65,142,166],"menengah,":[67],"terutama":[68],"tingkat":[70,167],"operasional":[71],"Perusahaan,":[73],"dalam":[74,91,120],"perkembangan":[75],"dasar":[76],"matematis":[77],"smoothing.":[80],"Kelebihan":[81],"utama":[82],"dilihat":[88],"kemudahan":[90],"operasi":[92],"relative":[94],"rendah,":[95],"ada":[96],"sedikit":[97],"keraguan":[98],"apakah":[99],"ketepatan":[100],"lebih":[102],"selalu":[104],"dapat":[105],"dicapai":[106],"menggunakan":[108],"(QS)":[109],"Quantitatif":[110],"sistem":[111],"ataukah":[112],"dekonposisi":[114],"secara":[116],"intuitif":[117],"menarik,":[118],"namun":[119],"hal":[121],"ini":[122,153],"jika":[123],"diperlukan":[124],"ratusan":[127],"item.":[128],"Data":[129],"akan":[131],"diolah":[132],"data":[134,145,170],"PT.":[136],"Media":[137],"Cemara,":[138],"tahun":[140],"2015":[141],"disajikan":[143],"per":[146],"bulan.":[147],"Hasil":[148],"didapatkan":[150],"penelitian":[152],"hasil":[155],"analisa":[156],"eksponensial":[159],"tunggal":[160],"memperoleh":[162],"informasi":[163],"keakuratannya":[168],"MAD,":[171],"MSE,":[172],"MAPE.":[173]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T04:12:42.849631","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
