{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2169599276","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3141/1805-15","title":"Uncertainty Propagation in an Integrated Land Use-Transportation Modeling Framework: Output Variation via UrbanSim","display_name":"Uncertainty Propagation in an Integrated Land Use-Transportation Modeling Framework: Output Variation via UrbanSim","publication_year":2002,"publication_date":"2002-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2169599276","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3141/1805-15","mag":"2169599276"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3141/1805-15","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3141/1805-15","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3141/1805-15","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S145575934","display_name":"Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board","issn_l":"0361-1981","issn":["0361-1981","2169-4052"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-b","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320017","host_organization_name":"SAGE Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320017"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["SAGE Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5110275021","display_name":"Anant Pradhan","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86519309","display_name":"The University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Anant Pradhan","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Texas at Austin, 6.9 E. Cockrell Jr. Hall, Austin, TX 78712-1076"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Texas at Austin, 6.9 E. Cockrell Jr. Hall, Austin, TX 78712-1076","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5045282556","display_name":"Kara Maria Kockelman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4763-1304","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4763-1304"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86519309","display_name":"The University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kara Maria Kockelman","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Texas at Austin, 6.9 E. Cockrell Jr. Hall, Austin, TX 78712-1076"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Texas at Austin, 6.9 E. Cockrell Jr. Hall, Austin, TX 78712-1076","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"],"apc_list":{"value":3650,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3650},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":8.7162,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":56,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.97246102,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"1805","issue":"1","first_page":"128","last_page":"135"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.986299991607666,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.986299991607666,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10298","display_name":"Urban Transport and Accessibility","score":0.004999999888241291,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12306","display_name":"Urban and Freight Transport Logistics","score":0.0010000000474974513,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/error-propagation","display_name":"error propagation","score":0.9980000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/urbansim","display_name":"UrbanSim","score":0.984000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/land-use-models","display_name":"land use models","score":0.7710000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/four-step-travel-demand-model","display_name":"four-step travel demand model","score":0.9139999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/traffic-assignment","display_name":"traffic assignment","score":0.8209999799728394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demographic-uncertainty","display_name":"demographic uncertainty","score":0.5799999833106995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-parameter-uncertainty","display_name":"model parameter uncertainty","score":0.7129999995231628},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/output-variation","display_name":"output variation","score":0.656000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/urban-expansion","display_name":"urban expansion","score":0.4180000126361847}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.6417962312698364},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4679612","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q866298","display_name":"Aggregate (composite)","level":2,"score":0.5448342561721802},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108215451","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7263963","display_name":"Simulation modeling","level":2,"score":0.5021193027496338},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4792198","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1165944","display_name":"Land use","level":2,"score":0.47517791390419006},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177803969","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q29205","display_name":"Uncertainty analysis","level":2,"score":0.472432941198349},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778334786","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1586270","display_name":"Variation (astronomy)","level":2,"score":0.44473952054977417},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C176147448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1889114","display_name":"Sensitivity analysis","level":3,"score":0.4392277002334595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18762648","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42213","display_name":"Work (physics)","level":2,"score":0.43124592304229736},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.41723740100860596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76969082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q486902","display_name":"Mathematical model","level":2,"score":0.4109841287136078},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.30566781759262085},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44154836","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q45045","display_name":"Simulation","level":1,"score":0.300688236951828},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.23101919889450073},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.1917414665222168},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.16767320036888123},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.13299348950386047},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147176958","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q77590","display_name":"Civil engineering","level":1,"score":0.09170496463775635},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C192562407","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228736","display_name":"Materials science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78519656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101333","display_name":"Mechanical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159985019","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q181790","display_name":"Composite material","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44870925","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37547","display_name":"Astrophysics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3141/1805-15","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3141/1805-15","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3141/1805-15","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S145575934","display_name":"Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board","issn_l":"0361-1981","issn":["0361-1981","2169-4052"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-b","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320017","host_organization_name":"SAGE Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320017"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["SAGE Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.7.735","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.7.735","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.ce.utexas.edu/prof/kockelman/public_html/TRB02UrbanSim.pdf","raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.875,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11","display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":28,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W120878351","https://openalex.org/W575603544","https://openalex.org/W849459597","https://openalex.org/W1542473770","https://openalex.org/W1567066845","https://openalex.org/W1667165204","https://openalex.org/W1898259180","https://openalex.org/W1969481231","https://openalex.org/W1972180777","https://openalex.org/W2004132656","https://openalex.org/W2036488048","https://openalex.org/W2040241164","https://openalex.org/W2053462263","https://openalex.org/W2067259779","https://openalex.org/W2076731653","https://openalex.org/W2087772274","https://openalex.org/W2088628364","https://openalex.org/W2116151196","https://openalex.org/W2159296235","https://openalex.org/W2301326297","https://openalex.org/W2324116902","https://openalex.org/W2338518307","https://openalex.org/W2725385476","https://openalex.org/W2901303898","https://openalex.org/W2995650994","https://openalex.org/W4229739412","https://openalex.org/W4234628608","https://openalex.org/W4254951692"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7098126948","https://openalex.org/W1534393659","https://openalex.org/W1608041441","https://openalex.org/W7096753794","https://openalex.org/W2155319430","https://openalex.org/W1583274565","https://openalex.org/W2043282192","https://openalex.org/W2037802388","https://openalex.org/W7097367980","https://openalex.org/W7095170591"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0],"effect":[1,131],"of":[2,9,46,62,178],"uncertainty":[3,63,84,104,149,179],"in":[4,85,105,120,141,150,184],"the":[5,23,43,47,53,60,97,121,142,156,162,172,176],"land":[6,13,24,98],"use":[7,25,99],"component":[8],"a":[10,32,129,136],"partially":[11],"integrated":[12],"use\u2013transportation":[14],"modeling":[15],"system":[16],"called":[17],"UrbanSim":[18],"is":[19,80,164],"examined.":[20],"Outputs":[21],"from":[22,42],"model":[26,37,65,72,83,107,114,118,151,163],"(LUM)":[27],"act":[28],"as":[29,67,69,101,103,166,187],"inputs":[30,87,115,126,168],"for":[31,155,160],"traditional":[33],"four-step":[34],"travel":[35,40],"demand":[36],"(TDM),":[38],"and":[39,93,190],"times":[41],"traffic-assignment":[44],"stage":[45,73],"TDM":[48],"are":[49,132],"fed":[50],"forward":[51],"into":[52],"subsequent":[54],"years\u2019":[55],"LUM.":[56],"This":[57],"work":[58],"examines":[59],"propagation":[61],"across":[64],"stages":[66],"well":[68,102],"at":[70],"each":[71],"over":[74],"time.":[75],"A":[76],"factorized":[77],"design":[78],"approach":[79],"used":[81],"to":[82,96,134,181,193],"demographic":[86],"(which":[88],"include":[89],"aggregate":[90],"growth":[91],"rates":[92],"mobility":[94],"rates)":[95],"model,":[100],"various":[106],"parameters.":[108],"Results":[109,145],"suggest":[110,147],"that":[111,127,148],"although":[112],"several":[113],"may":[116,153],"affect":[117],"outputs":[119,140,152],"short":[122],"run,":[123,165],"only":[124],"those":[125],"have":[128,135],"cumulative":[130],"likely":[133],"significant":[137],"impact":[138],"on":[139],"long":[143],"run.":[144],"also":[146],"increase":[154],"first":[157],"few":[158],"years":[159],"which":[161],"modified":[167],"send":[169],"shocks":[170],"through":[171],"urban":[173],"system.":[174],"However,":[175],"level":[177],"appears":[180],"come":[182],"down":[183],"later":[185],"years,":[186],"households,":[188],"jobs,":[189],"developers":[191],"respond":[192],"changed":[194],"input":[195],"conditions.":[196]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":8}],"updated_date":"2026-10-03T13:16:28.481748","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
