{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2167477261","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.05.002","title":"To combine or not to combine: selecting among forecasts and their combinations","display_name":"To combine or not to combine: selecting among forecasts and their combinations","publication_year":2004,"publication_date":"2004-07-27","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2167477261","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.05.002","mag":"2167477261"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.05.002","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.05.002","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.05.002","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39841227","display_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","issn_l":"0169-2070","issn":["0169-2070","1872-8200"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059537190","display_name":"Mich\u00e8le Hibon","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I102272798","display_name":"INSEAD","ror":"https://ror.org/00ghzk478","country_code":"FR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I102272798"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Mich\u00e8le Hibon","raw_affiliation_strings":["INSEAD, Technology Management, Boulevard de Constance, 77305 Fontainebleau, France"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"INSEAD, Technology Management, Boulevard de Constance, 77305 Fontainebleau, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I102272798"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5022937525","display_name":"Theodoros Evgeniou","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9525-6110","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9525-6110"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I102272798","display_name":"INSEAD","ror":"https://ror.org/00ghzk478","country_code":"FR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I102272798"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Theodoros Evgeniou","raw_affiliation_strings":["INSEAD, Technology Management, Boulevard de Constance, 77305 Fontainebleau, France"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"INSEAD, Technology Management, Boulevard de Constance, 77305 Fontainebleau, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I102272798"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5059537190"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I102272798"],"apc_list":{"value":2800,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2800},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":9.1147,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":321,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.97926111,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":99,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"21","issue":"1","first_page":"15","last_page":"24"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10136","display_name":"Statistical Methods and Inference","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12535","display_name":"Machine Learning and Data Classification","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-combination","display_name":"forecast combination","score":0.9679999947547913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-selection","display_name":"forecast selection","score":0.6159999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-selection-criteria","display_name":"model selection criteria","score":0.8970000147819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-accuracy","display_name":"forecast accuracy","score":0.9049999713897705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-uncertainty","display_name":"forecast uncertainty","score":0.6389999985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/m3-competition","display_name":"M3 competition","score":0.7639999985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-forecasting","display_name":"time series forecasting","score":0.6800000071525574}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120954023","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1127277","display_name":"Consensus forecast","level":2,"score":0.6174448132514954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6063099503517151},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81917197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q628760","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","level":2,"score":0.5397582650184631},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5348834991455078},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C198531522","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q485146","display_name":"Sample (material)","level":2,"score":0.511637270450592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.47508636116981506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182365436","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q50701","display_name":"Variable (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.451520174741745},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.36248379945755005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.17489174008369446},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43617362","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q170050","display_name":"Chromatography","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.05.002","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.05.002","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.05.002","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39841227","display_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","issn_l":"0169-2070","issn":["0169-2070","1872-8200"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:1:p:15-24","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169-2070(04)00049-4","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":27,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W171686316","https://openalex.org/W1480773628","https://openalex.org/W1975846642","https://openalex.org/W1986528915","https://openalex.org/W1990322717","https://openalex.org/W1993387039","https://openalex.org/W2008151606","https://openalex.org/W2034203008","https://openalex.org/W2042506099","https://openalex.org/W2048665112","https://openalex.org/W2054516860","https://openalex.org/W2057312656","https://openalex.org/W2067885219","https://openalex.org/W2087153820","https://openalex.org/W2128071598","https://openalex.org/W2145534813","https://openalex.org/W2148603752","https://openalex.org/W2154326182","https://openalex.org/W2170378253","https://openalex.org/W2489782956","https://openalex.org/W2912934387","https://openalex.org/W3122352117","https://openalex.org/W3125696988","https://openalex.org/W4239414618","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W4291327732","https://openalex.org/W7034108470"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2047095688","https://openalex.org/W2964006226","https://openalex.org/W2995601370","https://openalex.org/W2804569679","https://openalex.org/W4385662602","https://openalex.org/W2383858591","https://openalex.org/W2037097753","https://openalex.org/W1979276652","https://openalex.org/W2044409892","https://openalex.org/W2369699936"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":14},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":19},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":18},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":14},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":29},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":20},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":20},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":15},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":18},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":24},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":15}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
