{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2155159197","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/91.868945","title":"Intelligent system to support judgmental business forecasting: the case of estimating hotel room demand","display_name":"Intelligent system to support judgmental business forecasting: the case of estimating hotel room demand","publication_year":2000,"publication_date":"2000-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2155159197","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/91.868945","mag":"2155159197"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/91.868945","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/91.868945","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/91.868945","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S134177497","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems","issn_l":"1063-6706","issn":["1063-6706","1941-0034"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","ccf-b","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5010625039","display_name":"Mounir Ben Ghalia","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16452829","display_name":"The University of Texas System","ror":"https://ror.org/01gek1696","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16452829"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M. Ben Ghalia","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Engineering Department, University of Texas Pan American, Edinburgh, TX, UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Engineering Department, University of Texas Pan American, Edinburgh, TX, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16452829"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5080394496","display_name":"P.P. Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-2539-3504","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0001-2539-3504"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170897317","display_name":"Duke University","ror":"https://ror.org/00py81415","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170897317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"P.P. Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Electrical and Computer Engineering Department, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Electrical and Computer Engineering Department, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170897317"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":2645,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2645},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.8147,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":40,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.86933122,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"8","issue":"4","first_page":"380","last_page":"397"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9940999746322632,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9940999746322632,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10820","display_name":"Fuzzy Logic and Control Systems","score":0.0024999999441206455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11734","display_name":"Decision Support System Applications","score":0.00139999995008111,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1404","display_name":"Management Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/judgmental-forecasting","display_name":"judgmental forecasting","score":0.9929999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intelligent-support-systems","display_name":"intelligent support systems","score":0.7730000019073486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-rules","display_name":"fuzzy rules","score":0.9559999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-logic","display_name":"fuzzy logic","score":0.703000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-adjustment","display_name":"forecast correction","score":0.8399999737739563}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6976773142814636},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776825360","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1411921","display_name":"Vagueness","level":3,"score":0.6005635857582092},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q224821","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","level":2,"score":0.5920077562332153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.5822182893753052},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.5017204284667969},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107327155","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q330268","display_name":"Decision support system","level":2,"score":0.49657779932022095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C56397880","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6044094","display_name":"Intelligent decision support system","level":2,"score":0.4822860062122345},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.43208047747612},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3545472025871277},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13736549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4489420","display_name":"Industrial engineering","level":1,"score":0.32988086342811584},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.24246758222579956},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.11228528618812561}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/91.868945","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/91.868945","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/91.868945","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S134177497","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems","issn_l":"1063-6706","issn":["1063-6706","1941-0034"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","ccf-b","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","score":0.7099999785423279}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":52,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W4096777","https://openalex.org/W150317583","https://openalex.org/W197787652","https://openalex.org/W592124660","https://openalex.org/W602956447","https://openalex.org/W612763993","https://openalex.org/W1502139053","https://openalex.org/W1514987796","https://openalex.org/W1527142354","https://openalex.org/W1674669055","https://openalex.org/W1854215996","https://openalex.org/W1971194609","https://openalex.org/W1973309770","https://openalex.org/W1990647126","https://openalex.org/W1992176519","https://openalex.org/W2024312173","https://openalex.org/W2028076981","https://openalex.org/W2034159772","https://openalex.org/W2034620485","https://openalex.org/W2035518103","https://openalex.org/W2041280856","https://openalex.org/W2064332540","https://openalex.org/W2081570742","https://openalex.org/W2084175761","https://openalex.org/W2087656541","https://openalex.org/W2093144531","https://openalex.org/W2096229388","https://openalex.org/W2116036721","https://openalex.org/W2120017944","https://openalex.org/W2122966123","https://openalex.org/W2136768128","https://openalex.org/W2167036165","https://openalex.org/W2313953460","https://openalex.org/W2319407957","https://openalex.org/W2321421355","https://openalex.org/W2325918119","https://openalex.org/W2329480876","https://openalex.org/W2611449414","https://openalex.org/W2767905780","https://openalex.org/W2796495271","https://openalex.org/W2797652052","https://openalex.org/W2977970568","https://openalex.org/W3133537290","https://openalex.org/W4229539396","https://openalex.org/W4249749961","https://openalex.org/W4254938864","https://openalex.org/W4298028598","https://openalex.org/W4299397599","https://openalex.org/W4302406341","https://openalex.org/W4302439709","https://openalex.org/W6638863077","https://openalex.org/W6791270216"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7120117312","https://openalex.org/W2991333640","https://openalex.org/W6982451989","https://openalex.org/W3173670744","https://openalex.org/W7019443696","https://openalex.org/W2787291906","https://openalex.org/W4407237963","https://openalex.org/W1984338690","https://openalex.org/W1986070326","https://openalex.org/W3125881646"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Forecasting":[0],"is":[1,58,129],"an":[2,99,155],"instrumental":[3],"tool":[4],"for":[5,112,139,146],"strategic":[6],"decision-making":[7],"in":[8,50,114,170],"any":[9],"business":[10,52,93],"activity.":[11],"Good":[12],"forecasts":[13],"can":[14],"reduce":[15],"the":[16,19,35,51,75,82,115,121,127,176,179],"uncertainty":[17],"about":[18],"future":[20,86],"and,":[21],"hence,":[22],"help":[23],"managers":[24,61,119],"make":[25,70],"better":[26],"decisions.":[27],"Virtually":[28],"all":[29],"statistical":[30],"forecasting":[31,79,105],"techniques":[32],"depend":[33],"on":[34,66,158],"continuity":[36],"of":[37,77,84,108,124,178],"historical":[38],"data":[39,163],"and":[40,43,80,106,120,135,153],"time":[41],"series":[42],"may":[44],"not":[45],"predict":[46],"a":[47,91,150,165],"discontinuous":[48],"change":[49],"environment.":[53],"Often":[54],"times,":[55],"this":[56],"discontinuity":[57],"known":[59],"to":[60,69,102,174],"who":[62],"then":[63],"must":[64],"rely":[65],"their":[67,125],"judgment":[68],"forecast":[71,147],"adjustments.":[72],"We":[73],"discuss":[74],"role":[76],"judgmental":[78,104],"take":[81],"problem":[83],"estimating":[85],"hotel":[87,166],"room":[88],"demand":[89],"as":[90],"practical":[92],"application.":[94],"Next,":[95],"we":[96],"propose":[97],"IS-JFK:":[98],"intelligent":[100,180],"system":[101,128],"support":[103,181],"knowledge":[107,116],"managers.":[109],"To":[110],"account":[111],"vagueness":[113],"elicited":[117],"from":[118,164],"approximate":[122],"nature":[123],"reasoning,":[126],"built":[130],"around":[131],"fuzzy":[132,137,159],"IF-THEN":[133],"rules":[134],"uses":[136],"logic":[138],"decision":[140],"inference.":[141],"IS-JFK":[142],"supports":[143],"two":[144],"methods":[145],"adjustments:":[148],"1)":[149],"direct":[151],"approach":[152,156],"2)":[154],"based":[157],"intervention":[160],"analysis.":[161],"Actual":[162],"property":[167],"are":[168],"used":[169],"some":[171],"case-scenario":[172],"simulations":[173],"illustrate":[175],"merits":[177],"system.":[182]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
