{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2149553068","doi":null,"title":"SUMMARY OF 2009 ATLANTIC TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY AND VERIFICATION OF AUTHOR'S SEASONAL AND 15-DAY FORECASTS","display_name":"SUMMARY OF 2009 ATLANTIC TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY AND VERIFICATION OF AUTHOR'S SEASONAL AND 15-DAY FORECASTS","publication_year":2009,"publication_date":"2009-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2149553068","mag":"2149553068"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"mag:2149553068","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/2009/nov2009/nov2009.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028685674","display_name":"Philip J. Klotzbach","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-6241","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-6241"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Philip J. Klotzbach","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-6241","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103406719","display_name":"William M. Gray","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"William M. Gray","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.754,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.69835755,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":93},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11483","display_name":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11483","display_name":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.00039999998989515007,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tropical-cyclone-activity","display_name":"tropical cyclone activity","score":0.9819999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-verification","display_name":"forecast verification","score":0.9229999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/el-nino","display_name":"El Ni\u00f1o","score":0.8169999718666077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/madden-julian-oscillation","display_name":"Madden-Julian Oscillation","score":0.9269999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vertical-wind-shear","display_name":"vertical wind shear","score":0.9800000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/hurricanes","display_name":"hurricanes","score":0.652999997138977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/major-hurricanes","display_name":"major hurricanes","score":0.6489999890327454}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29141058","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8092","display_name":"Tropical cyclone","level":2,"score":0.8074345588684082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C35647692","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2547976","display_name":"Atlantic hurricane","level":3,"score":0.7815978527069092},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.77699214220047},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163379243","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2551132","display_name":"Landfall","level":3,"score":0.6700175404548645},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105306849","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q81054","display_name":"Storm","level":2,"score":0.5762506723403931},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.4940491020679474},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C102561126","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17164865","display_name":"Tropical cyclone forecast model","level":3,"score":0.41341888904571533},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.38477692008018494},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.33246785402297974},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.13017556071281433}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"mag:2149553068","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/2009/nov2009/nov2009.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.5351999998092651}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":34,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W24618764","https://openalex.org/W1487027395","https://openalex.org/W1541739214","https://openalex.org/W1604922503","https://openalex.org/W1972391739","https://openalex.org/W1974903616","https://openalex.org/W1983675260","https://openalex.org/W1984840933","https://openalex.org/W1984976112","https://openalex.org/W1989827019","https://openalex.org/W2000343894","https://openalex.org/W2016709145","https://openalex.org/W2034219934","https://openalex.org/W2038270246","https://openalex.org/W2049139635","https://openalex.org/W2050125784","https://openalex.org/W2053662510","https://openalex.org/W2067696147","https://openalex.org/W2086495392","https://openalex.org/W2087580427","https://openalex.org/W2092215774","https://openalex.org/W2098495686","https://openalex.org/W2102701112","https://openalex.org/W2102894468","https://openalex.org/W2120420374","https://openalex.org/W2126053967","https://openalex.org/W2127243867","https://openalex.org/W2154795416","https://openalex.org/W2172472270","https://openalex.org/W2175898704","https://openalex.org/W2176050019","https://openalex.org/W2180595293","https://openalex.org/W2279210827","https://openalex.org/W2804608863"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2100809145","https://openalex.org/W2181530511","https://openalex.org/W1986758353","https://openalex.org/W2156098932","https://openalex.org/W360957852","https://openalex.org/W2917015605","https://openalex.org/W7095945724","https://openalex.org/W7099873967","https://openalex.org/W7209804996","https://openalex.org/W2000343894"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0,202,232],"report":[1],"summarizes":[2],"tropical":[3,116],"cyclone":[4,117],"(TC)":[5],"activity,":[6],"which":[7,133],"occurred":[8],"in":[9,187,211,230],"the":[10,17,32,59,68,81,125,128,141,158,163,166,182,195,212,240],"Atlantic":[11],"basin":[12],"during":[13,65,181],"2009":[14,33,188],"and":[15,20,46,83,92,107,162,174,178,214,225,237,248],"verifies":[16],"authors\u2019":[18],"seasonal":[19,53],"15-day":[21,147],"forecasts":[22,54,95,150,170],"of":[23,49,58,61,74,88,103,110,120,127,165,216,239],"this":[24,50,71,111,114,138],"activity.":[25],"A":[26],"forecast":[27,160],"was":[28,96,189,234],"initially":[29],"issued":[30,146,179],"for":[31,80,244],"season":[34],"on":[35,41,154],"10":[36],"December":[37,105],"2008":[38,106],"with":[39],"updates":[40],"9":[42],"April,":[43],"2":[44],"June,":[45],"4":[47],"August":[48,94],"year.":[51],"These":[52,149,169],"also":[55,78,145],"contained":[56],"estimates":[57],"probability":[60],"U.S.":[62],"hurricane":[63,75,184],"landfall":[64,76],"2009.":[66,231],"For":[67],"first":[69],"time":[70],"year,":[72],"probabilities":[73],"were":[77,151],"provided":[79],"Caribbean":[82,213],"Central":[84],"America.":[85],"The":[86],"skill":[87,173],"our":[89,100,121],"early":[90,93,104,108],"June":[91],"reasonably":[97],"good,":[98],"while":[99],"earlier":[101],"predictions":[102],"April":[109],"year":[112],"over-estimated":[113],"year\u2019s":[115],"activity":[118,156,233,243],"because":[119],"inability":[122],"to":[123,135,194],"judge":[124],"formation":[126],"moderate":[129,196],"El":[130,197],"Nino":[131,198],"event":[132,199,203],"began":[134],"develop":[136],"late":[137],"spring.":[139],"During":[140],"August-October":[142],"period,":[143],"we":[144],"forecasts.":[148],"primarily":[152],"based":[153],"predicted":[155],"by":[157],"global":[159],"models":[161],"phase":[164],"Madden-Julian":[167],"Oscillation.":[168],"showed":[171],"modest":[172],"will":[175],"be":[176],"refined":[177],"again":[180],"2010":[183],"season.":[185],"Activity":[186],"reduced":[190],"considerably":[191],"due":[192],"largely":[193],"that":[200],"developed.":[201],"generated":[204],"significantly":[205],"stronger-than-average":[206],"vertical":[207],"wind":[208],"shear,":[209],"especially":[210],"Gulf":[215],"Mexico.":[217],"Consequently,":[218],"only":[219],"nine":[220],"named":[221,245],"storms,":[222,246],"three":[223],"hurricanes":[224,228,247],"two":[226],"major":[227,249],"formed":[229],"61%,":[235],"38%,":[236],"51%":[238],"1995-2008":[241],"average":[242],"hurricanes,":[250],"respectively.":[251]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T04:12:42.849631","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}