{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2146991063","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587973","title":"Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?","display_name":"Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2146991063","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587973","mag":"2146991063"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.2587973","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587973","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587973","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587973","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019883470","display_name":"Michael Dotsey","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6065-3308","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6065-3308"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I57502794","display_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia","ror":"https://ror.org/02gsb6172","country_code":"US","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1317239608","https://openalex.org/I57502794"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Michael Dotsey","raw_affiliation_strings":["Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Ten Independence Mall, Philadelphia, PA 19106-1574, United States","Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Ten Independence Mall, Philadelphia, PA 19106-1574, United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I57502794"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I57502794"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103089018","display_name":"Shigeru Fujita","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3275-2760","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3275-2760"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I57502794","display_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia","ror":"https://ror.org/02gsb6172","country_code":"US","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1317239608","https://openalex.org/I57502794"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shigeru Fujita","raw_affiliation_strings":["Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Ten Independence Mall, Philadelphia, PA 19106-1574, United States","Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Ten Independence Mall, Philadelphia, PA 19106-1574, United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I57502794"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I57502794"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5068539940","display_name":"Tom Stark","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1059-5047","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1059-5047"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I57502794","display_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia","ror":"https://ror.org/02gsb6172","country_code":"US","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1317239608","https://openalex.org/I57502794"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tom Stark","raw_affiliation_strings":["Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Ten Independence Mall, Research Department, Philadelphia, PA 19106-1574, United States","Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Ten Independence Mall, Research Department, Philadelphia, PA 19106-1574, United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I57502794"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I57502794"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5019883470"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I57502794"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":26,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9214000105857849,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9214000105857849,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.07699999958276749,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13399","display_name":"Unemployment and Economic Growth","score":0.00019999999494757503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/phillips-curve","display_name":"Phillips curve","score":0.8849999904632568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inflation-forecasting","display_name":"inflation forecasting","score":0.996999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-accuracy","display_name":"forecast accuracy","score":0.6769999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conditional-forecasting","display_name":"conditional forecasting","score":0.7599999904632568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/univariate-forecasting","display_name":"univariate time series forecasting","score":0.503000020980835},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-conditions","display_name":"economic conditions","score":0.7039999961853027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-evaluation","display_name":"forecast evaluation","score":0.42399999499320984}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778774626","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q220841","display_name":"Phillips curve","level":3,"score":0.6012389659881592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200941418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q273508","display_name":"Inflation (cosmology)","level":2,"score":0.5479022860527039},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5294798612594604},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.46235334873199463},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3704589009284973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165556158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83937","display_name":"Keynesian economics","level":1,"score":0.3682383894920349},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126285488","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178476","display_name":"Monetary policy","level":2,"score":0.2828625440597534},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.12159109115600586},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33332235","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q18362","display_name":"Theoretical physics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.2587973","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587973","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587973","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.2587973","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587973","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587973","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":14,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1588426513","https://openalex.org/W2040503026","https://openalex.org/W2080196427","https://openalex.org/W2108280297","https://openalex.org/W2121490355","https://openalex.org/W2121849922","https://openalex.org/W2135150595","https://openalex.org/W2140733240","https://openalex.org/W2161496057","https://openalex.org/W2245868882","https://openalex.org/W2991686893","https://openalex.org/W3121245699","https://openalex.org/W3121595883","https://openalex.org/W4230841866"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7098848366","https://openalex.org/W3036884958","https://openalex.org/W1546736513","https://openalex.org/W1545383977","https://openalex.org/W2765833159","https://openalex.org/W1588394021","https://openalex.org/W2184617831","https://openalex.org/W1585297809","https://openalex.org/W2465129967","https://openalex.org/W3088980838"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
