{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2137311481","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12125","title":"Looking for a Needle in a Haystack: Revisiting the Cross\u2010country Causes of the 2008\u20139 Crisis by Bayesian Model Averaging","display_name":"Looking for a Needle in a Haystack: Revisiting the Cross\u2010country Causes of the 2008\u20139 Crisis by Bayesian Model Averaging","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-01-20","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2137311481","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12125","mag":"2137311481"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/ecca.12125","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12125","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12125","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S108845946","display_name":"Economica","issn_l":"0013-0427","issn":["0013-0427","1468-0335"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economica","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5110625345","display_name":"Tai\u2010kuang Ho","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2010-5358","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2010-5358"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I25846049","display_name":"National Tsing Hua University","ror":"https://ror.org/00zdnkx70","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I25846049"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Tai\u2010kuang Ho","raw_affiliation_strings":["National Tsing Hua University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Tsing Hua University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I25846049"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5110625345"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I25846049"],"apc_list":{"value":3400,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3400},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.8996,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":26,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.94829822,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"82","issue":"328","first_page":"813","last_page":"840"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10503","display_name":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","score":0.9731000065803528,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10503","display_name":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","score":0.9731000065803528,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.017400000244379044,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11742","display_name":"Economic Theory and Policy","score":0.003100000089034438,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/2008-financial-crisis","display_name":"2008 financial crisis","score":0.8980000019073486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomic-vulnerability","display_name":"macroeconomic vulnerability","score":0.8420000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-uncertainty","display_name":"model uncertainty","score":0.9369999766349792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/outliers","display_name":"outliers","score":0.6420000195503235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/international-trade-linkages","display_name":"international trade linkages","score":0.8960000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-model-averaging","display_name":"Bayesian model averaging","score":0.8870000243186951}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13424479","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5687237","display_name":"Haystack","level":2,"score":0.959919810295105},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C79337645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q779824","display_name":"Outlier","level":2,"score":0.645565390586853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.6428613066673279},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778300220","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q114380","display_name":"Financial crisis","level":2,"score":0.6042094230651855},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.5650336742401123},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136197465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1729295","display_name":"Variety (cybernetics)","level":2,"score":0.5457382798194885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5282040238380432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160234255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812535","display_name":"Bayesian inference","level":3,"score":0.48698386549949646},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.19943344593048096},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.18605276942253113},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.13940605521202087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.09280511736869812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.0768672525882721}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/ecca.12125","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12125","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12125","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S108845946","display_name":"Economica","issn_l":"0013-0427","issn":["0013-0427","1468-0335"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economica","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.190.7843","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.190.7843","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.econ.sinica.edu.tw/upload/file/3-2.pdf","raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3727162675","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"NSC99\u20102410\u2010H\u2010007\u2010024\u2010MY2","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321040","funder_display_name":"National Science Council"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321040","display_name":"National Science Council","ror":"https://ror.org/02kv4zf79"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":50,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W26665565","https://openalex.org/W1482107473","https://openalex.org/W1528857264","https://openalex.org/W1544808080","https://openalex.org/W1560776685","https://openalex.org/W1560885634","https://openalex.org/W1603903339","https://openalex.org/W1606377008","https://openalex.org/W1666386643","https://openalex.org/W1724068323","https://openalex.org/W1800261609","https://openalex.org/W1810045679","https://openalex.org/W1860366881","https://openalex.org/W1978160697","https://openalex.org/W1978633258","https://openalex.org/W2010538080","https://openalex.org/W2020389170","https://openalex.org/W2033149996","https://openalex.org/W2051251035","https://openalex.org/W2069111122","https://openalex.org/W2073856950","https://openalex.org/W2082080397","https://openalex.org/W2089763487","https://openalex.org/W2109740012","https://openalex.org/W2114563530","https://openalex.org/W2130174432","https://openalex.org/W2135728169","https://openalex.org/W2139606141","https://openalex.org/W2152933101","https://openalex.org/W2164141257","https://openalex.org/W2170839364","https://openalex.org/W2235011776","https://openalex.org/W2330192890","https://openalex.org/W2602449753","https://openalex.org/W2889866701","https://openalex.org/W3121169809","https://openalex.org/W3121323513","https://openalex.org/W3122164813","https://openalex.org/W3122586743","https://openalex.org/W3123579755","https://openalex.org/W3124025055","https://openalex.org/W3124136373","https://openalex.org/W3124139837","https://openalex.org/W3124636723","https://openalex.org/W3124920595","https://openalex.org/W3125408214","https://openalex.org/W3214323364","https://openalex.org/W4234057358","https://openalex.org/W4250518393","https://openalex.org/W4253342256"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7100260557","https://openalex.org/W3126009693","https://openalex.org/W7097455096","https://openalex.org/W3124993846","https://openalex.org/W4311680997","https://openalex.org/W4362613611","https://openalex.org/W2735343455","https://openalex.org/W7097795614","https://openalex.org/W167451605","https://openalex.org/W220532791"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"In":[0],"this":[1],"paper":[2],"we":[3],"explore":[4],"the":[5,9,13,21,31],"cross\u2010country":[6,51],"variation":[7],"in":[8,17,53],"output":[10],"impact":[11],"of":[12,24,33,42],"global":[14],"financial":[15],"crisis":[16,54],"2008\u20139.":[18],"We":[19,47],"use":[20],"extensive":[22],"dataset":[23],"Rose":[25],"and":[26,36],"Spiegel":[27],"but":[28],"control":[29],"for":[30],"problems":[32],"model":[34,44,64],"uncertainty":[35,65],"outliers":[37],"by":[38,59],"using":[39],"a":[40],"variety":[41],"Bayesian":[43],"averaging":[45],"techniques.":[46],"find":[48],"first":[49],"that":[50],"differences":[52],"intensity":[55],"can":[56,66],"be":[57],"explained":[58],"macroeconomic":[60],"vulnerabilities.":[61],"Second,":[62],"ignoring":[63],"lead":[67],"to":[68],"incorrect":[69],"inferences.":[70],"Third,":[71],"international":[72],"trade":[73],"linkages":[74],"do":[75],"matter.":[76]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
