{"id":"https://openalex.org/W213176396","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21236/ad0621514","title":"A PROLEGOMENON TO THE FORECASTING OF TRANSPORTATION DEVELOPMENT","display_name":"A PROLEGOMENON TO THE FORECASTING OF TRANSPORTATION DEVELOPMENT","publication_year":1965,"publication_date":"1965-08-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W213176396","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21236/ad0621514","mag":"213176396"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.21236/ad0621514","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21236/ad0621514","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.21236/ad0621514","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"US Dept of the Army","raw_type":"report"},"volume":null,"type":"report","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2027/ien.35556021272695","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5004077402","display_name":"William L. Garrison","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1304082316","display_name":"United States Department of the Army","ror":"https://ror.org/035w1gb98","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1304082316","https://openalex.org/I1330347796"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210088792","display_name":"United States Army","ror":"https://ror.org/00afsp483","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1304082316","https://openalex.org/I1330347796","https://openalex.org/I4210088792"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"W. L. Garrison","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University Evanston , Illinois","U.S. ARMY AVIATION MATERIEL LABORATORIES FORT EUSTIS , VIRGINIA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University Evanston , Illinois","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"U.S. ARMY AVIATION MATERIEL LABORATORIES FORT EUSTIS , VIRGINIA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1304082316","https://openalex.org/I4210088792"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5055278990","display_name":"Duane F. Marble","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1304082316","display_name":"United States Department of the Army","ror":"https://ror.org/035w1gb98","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1304082316","https://openalex.org/I1330347796"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210088792","display_name":"United States Army","ror":"https://ror.org/00afsp483","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1304082316","https://openalex.org/I1330347796","https://openalex.org/I4210088792"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"D. F. Marble","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University Evanston , Illinois","U.S. ARMY AVIATION MATERIEL LABORATORIES FORT EUSTIS , VIRGINIA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University Evanston , Illinois","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"U.S. ARMY AVIATION MATERIEL LABORATORIES FORT EUSTIS , VIRGINIA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1304082316","https://openalex.org/I4210088792"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":40,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.5698000192642212,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.5698000192642212,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12725","display_name":"transportation and logistics systems","score":0.19359999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.02459999918937683,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transportation-forecasting","display_name":"transportation forecasting","score":0.9340000152587891},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/travel-demand","display_name":"travel demand","score":0.6949999928474426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/commodity-flows","display_name":"commodity flows","score":0.9800000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/graph-theory","display_name":"graph theory","score":0.8199999928474426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/route-network","display_name":"route network","score":0.7879999876022339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/commodity-networks","display_name":"commodity networks","score":0.8500000238418579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-simulation","display_name":"network simulation","score":0.6100000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/nearest-neighbor-algorithm","display_name":"nearest neighbor algorithm","score":0.8029999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transportation-planning","display_name":"transportation planning","score":0.7269999980926514}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.37916243076324463},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.36234980821609497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.3463400602340698}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.21236/ad0621514","doi":"https://doi.org/10.21236/ad0621514","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.21236/ad0621514","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"US Dept of the Army","raw_type":"report"},{"id":"pmh:oai:quod.lib.umich.edu:MIU01-010618060","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2027/ien.35556021272695","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407064297","display_name":"University of Michigan Library Repository","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"public-domain","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/public-domain","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:quod.lib.umich.edu:MIU01-010618061","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2027/ien.35556021281464","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407064297","display_name":"University of Michigan Library Repository","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"public-domain","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/public-domain","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:quod.lib.umich.edu:MIU01-010618062","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2027/ien.35556021281456","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407064297","display_name":"University of Michigan Library Repository","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"public-domain","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/public-domain","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:quod.lib.umich.edu:MIU01-010618060","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2027/ien.35556021272695","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407064297","display_name":"University of Michigan Library Repository","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"public-domain","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/public-domain","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"text"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.7207000255584717,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure"}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"score":0.4099999964237213,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11","display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2246333002","https://openalex.org/W7039806133","https://openalex.org/W4280645664","https://openalex.org/W562272757","https://openalex.org/W585434355","https://openalex.org/W2895611599","https://openalex.org/W7097963754","https://openalex.org/W1168853523","https://openalex.org/W4236249508","https://openalex.org/W4317106763"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],":":[1],"The":[2,24],"analysis":[3,58],"proceeds":[4],"with":[5,43],"a":[6,61],"review":[7],"of":[8,11,26,35,52,64,95,99,114,123,135],"the":[9,36,57,92,100,112,121,124],"problem":[10],"forecasting":[12,25,117,139],"transportation":[13,27,39,96],"requirements.":[14],"Several":[15],"idiosyncratic":[16],"models":[17],"are":[18,41,72,79,105,118,130],"examined":[19],"and":[20,29,56,68,76,82,116,128,138],"their":[21],"properties":[22],"specified.":[23],"stocks":[28],"commodity":[30,77],"flows":[31],"is":[32,54,88,141],"discussed.":[33,131],"Models":[34],"demand":[37],"for":[38],"services":[40],"implemented":[42],"empirical":[44],"data.":[45],"Graph":[46],"theory":[47],"as":[48],"an":[49],"interpretative":[50],"frame":[51],"reference":[53],"introduced":[55],"moves":[59],"to":[60,90],"detailed":[62],"examination":[63],"network":[65,70,104],"structure.":[66],"Inter-":[67],"intra-nation":[69],"structures":[71,84],"compared.":[73],"Codified":[74],"route":[75],"networks":[78],"factor":[80],"analyzed":[81],"fundamental":[83],"isolated.":[85],"An":[86,132],"attempt":[87],"made":[89],"simulate":[91],"morphological":[93],"characteristics":[94],"networks.":[97],"Simulations":[98],"Northern":[101],"Ireland":[102],"railway":[103],"undertaken":[106],"using":[107],"nearest":[108],"neighbor":[109],"methods.":[110],"Finally,":[111],"problems":[113],"planning":[115,137],"reviewed":[119],"in":[120],"light":[122],"foregoing":[125],"analyses.":[126],"Criteria":[127],"objectives":[129],"overall":[133],"evaluation":[134],"available":[136],"capabilities":[140],"presented.":[142]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-09-02T07:38:04.252551","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}