{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2129289945","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ncm.2008.94","title":"A Fuzzy Time Series Model to Forecast the BDI","display_name":"A Fuzzy Time Series Model to Forecast the BDI","publication_year":2008,"publication_date":"2008-09-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2129289945","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ncm.2008.94","mag":"2129289945"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/ncm.2008.94","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ncm.2008.94","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ncm.2008.94","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306420599","display_name":"Networked Computing and Advanced Information Management","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2008 Fourth International Conference on Networked Computing and Advanced Information Management","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"volume":null,"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5110135889","display_name":"Ming\u2010Tao Chou","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9620-3309","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9620-3309"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I80327900","display_name":"Chang Jung Christian University","ror":"https://ror.org/02s3d7j94","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I80327900"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ming-Tao Chou","raw_affiliation_strings":["Depatrtment of Aviation and Martime Transportation Managemnet, Chang Jung Christian University, Taiwan","Dept. of Aviation & Martime Transp. Manage., Chang Jung Christian Univ., Tainan"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Depatrtment of Aviation and Martime Transportation Managemnet, Chang Jung Christian University, Taiwan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I80327900"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Dept. of Aviation & Martime Transp. Manage., Chang Jung Christian Univ., Tainan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I80327900"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5110135889"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I80327900"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.4129,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":15,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.89505597,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"50","last_page":"53"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.95169997215271,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.95169997215271,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.032499998807907104,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12135","display_name":"Fuzzy Systems and Optimization","score":0.007799999788403511,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-time-series","display_name":"fuzzy time series","score":0.8960000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/baltic-dry-index","display_name":"Baltic Dry Index","score":0.9819999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/freight-rate-forecasting","display_name":"freight rate forecasting","score":0.6869999766349792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-forecasting","display_name":"time series forecasting","score":0.6570000052452087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/root-mean-square-error","display_name":"root mean square error","score":0.8309999704360962}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.7141055464744568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.6679855585098267},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q224821","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","level":2,"score":0.6566476821899414},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777382242","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6017816","display_name":"Index (typography)","level":2,"score":0.5986032485961914},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5730338096618652},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139945424","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1940696","display_name":"Mean squared error","level":2,"score":0.5416988730430603},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C174303752","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3624438","display_name":"Forecast error","level":2,"score":0.47678661346435547},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3759514391422272},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3455086648464203},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3399435877799988},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3011169731616974},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.27195069193840027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.2522987723350525},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/ncm.2008.94","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ncm.2008.94","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ncm.2008.94","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306420599","display_name":"Networked Computing and Advanced Information Management","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2008 Fourth International Conference on Networked Computing and Advanced Information Management","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":8,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1971869067","https://openalex.org/W2017954768","https://openalex.org/W2020128335","https://openalex.org/W2042674577","https://openalex.org/W2077037475","https://openalex.org/W2131453387","https://openalex.org/W2168577773","https://openalex.org/W4241443503"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2022885136","https://openalex.org/W2185935365","https://openalex.org/W2386856505","https://openalex.org/W7100297010","https://openalex.org/W4389100719","https://openalex.org/W6960277655","https://openalex.org/W2067043306","https://openalex.org/W4410201586","https://openalex.org/W1992096620","https://openalex.org/W2024850745"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Fuzzy":[0],"time":[1,32,66],"series":[2,33,67],"models":[3],"has":[4],"been":[5,13],"applied":[6],"to":[7,15,26,35,55],"forecast":[8,16,36],"various":[9],"problems":[10],"and":[11,29],"have":[12],"shown":[14],"better":[17],"than":[18],"other":[19],"models.":[20],"In":[21],"this":[22],"article,":[23],"we":[24],"intend":[25],"apply":[27],"Chou":[28],"Lee's":[30],"fuzzy":[31,65],"model":[34,68],"the":[37,44,57,64,72],"Baltic":[38],"Dry":[39],"Index":[40],"(BDI)":[41],"index":[42],"for":[43,71],"next":[45],"month.":[46],"The":[47],"root":[48],"mean":[49],"square":[50],"error":[51],"is":[52,69],"one":[53],"criteria":[54],"evaluate":[56],"forecasting":[58],"performance.":[59],"Empirical":[60],"results":[61],"show":[62],"that":[63],"suitable":[70],"BDIpsilas":[73],"prediction.":[74]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-26T11:51:55.731654","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}