{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2126493249","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::aid-bdm281>3.0.co;2-l","title":"On The Calibration of Probability Judgments: Some Critical Comments and Alternative Perspectives","display_name":"On The Calibration of Probability Judgments: Some Critical Comments and Alternative Perspectives","publication_year":1997,"publication_date":"1997-09-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2126493249","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::aid-bdm281>3.0.co;2-l","mag":"2126493249"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::aid-bdm281>3.0.co;2-l","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::aid-bdm281>3.0.co;2-l","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::aid-bdm281>3.0.co;2-l","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117214846","display_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","issn_l":"0894-3257","issn":["0894-3257","1099-0771"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-c","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-2","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://research.tue.nl/en/publications/e4b3f266-da4a-44d1-9fa4-e19aee3f4633","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5033987852","display_name":"Gideon B. Keren","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3316-1324","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3316-1324"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I83019370","display_name":"Eindhoven University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02c2kyt77","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"GIDEON KEREN","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Technology, Eindhoven, The Netherlands"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Technology, Eindhoven, The Netherlands","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5033987852"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"],"apc_list":{"value":3700,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3700},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.8846,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":63,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.84691011,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"10","issue":"3","first_page":"269","last_page":"278"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9458000063896179,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9458000063896179,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.018799999728798866,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12574","display_name":"Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills","score":0.008100000210106373,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2714","display_name":"Family Practice"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-calibration","display_name":"probability calibration","score":0.6859999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-judgment","display_name":"probability judgment","score":0.5720000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/judgment-accuracy","display_name":"judgment accuracy","score":0.44600000977516174},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/confidence-judgments","display_name":"confidence judgments","score":0.4410000145435333}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778805511","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1713","display_name":"Citation","level":2,"score":0.7223942875862122},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.47480717301368713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161191863","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q199655","display_name":"Library science","level":1,"score":0.4100794494152069},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.3419431447982788}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":6,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::aid-bdm281>3.0.co;2-l","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::aid-bdm281>3.0.co;2-l","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::aid-bdm281>3.0.co;2-l","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117214846","display_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","issn_l":"0894-3257","issn":["0894-3257","1099-0771"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-c","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-2","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.tue.nl:openaire/e4b3f266-da4a-44d1-9fa4-e19aee3f4633","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.tue.nl/en/publications/e4b3f266-da4a-44d1-9fa4-e19aee3f4633","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Keren, G 1997, 'On the calibration of probability judgements. Some critical comments and alternative perspectives', Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, vol. 10, pp. 269-279. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::AID-BDM281>3.0.CO;2-L","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:tue:oai:pure.tue.nl:publications/e4b3f266-da4a-44d1-9fa4-e19aee3f4633","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.tue.nl/nl/publications/e4b3f266-da4a-44d1-9fa4-e19aee3f4633","pdf_url":"https://research.tue.nl/nl/publications/e4b3f266-da4a-44d1-9fa4-e19aee3f4633","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 10, 269 - 279. Wiley","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:612384","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://library.tue.nl/csp/dare/LinkToRepository.csp?recordnumber=612384","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"ISSN:0894-3257","raw_type":"Article / Letter to the editor"},{"id":"pmh:oai:library.tue.nl:612384","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://repository.tue.nl/612384","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"ISSN:0894-3257","raw_type":"Article / Letter to the editor"},{"id":"pmh:tue:oai:library.tue.nl:612384","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://repository.tue.nl/612384","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 10, 269","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.tue.nl:openaire/e4b3f266-da4a-44d1-9fa4-e19aee3f4633","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.tue.nl/en/publications/e4b3f266-da4a-44d1-9fa4-e19aee3f4633","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Keren, G 1997, 'On the calibration of probability judgements. Some critical comments and alternative perspectives', Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, vol. 10, pp. 269-279. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-0771(199709)10:3<269::AID-BDM281>3.0.CO;2-L","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2126493249.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2126493249.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":39,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1543278958","https://openalex.org/W1964692214","https://openalex.org/W1965085799","https://openalex.org/W1965946713","https://openalex.org/W1975632065","https://openalex.org/W1980773669","https://openalex.org/W1981749951","https://openalex.org/W1985453879","https://openalex.org/W1991572094","https://openalex.org/W1994433970","https://openalex.org/W1995500913","https://openalex.org/W1995978485","https://openalex.org/W2001116638","https://openalex.org/W2003663631","https://openalex.org/W2009274009","https://openalex.org/W2012202508","https://openalex.org/W2019939391","https://openalex.org/W2024453660","https://openalex.org/W2026136470","https://openalex.org/W2027934821","https://openalex.org/W2029143745","https://openalex.org/W2037257841","https://openalex.org/W2043763623","https://openalex.org/W2047634553","https://openalex.org/W2047657419","https://openalex.org/W2059975159","https://openalex.org/W2068166605","https://openalex.org/W2072082768","https://openalex.org/W2073241381","https://openalex.org/W2094308089","https://openalex.org/W2111202739","https://openalex.org/W2145161351","https://openalex.org/W2150234857","https://openalex.org/W2151274689","https://openalex.org/W2164646550","https://openalex.org/W2331232420","https://openalex.org/W2332345511","https://openalex.org/W2796724690","https://openalex.org/W4213362043"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W6940528048","https://openalex.org/W4244723138","https://openalex.org/W4255246414","https://openalex.org/W2126781127","https://openalex.org/W1983313290","https://openalex.org/W7074141189","https://openalex.org/W4244200908","https://openalex.org/W113822221","https://openalex.org/W1019327959","https://openalex.org/W2109177882"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"On":[0],"the":[1],"calibration":[2],"of":[3],"probability":[4],"judgements.Some":[5],"critical":[6],"comments":[7],"and":[8],"alternative":[9],"perspectives":[10]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
