{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2109722995","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.738","title":"Dealing with Dynamic Decision Problems when Knowledge of the Environment Is Limited: An Approach Based on Goal Systems","display_name":"Dealing with Dynamic Decision Problems when Knowledge of the Environment Is Limited: An Approach Based on Goal Systems","publication_year":2011,"publication_date":"2011-06-06","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2109722995","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.738","mag":"2109722995"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/bdm.738","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.738","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.738","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117214846","display_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","issn_l":"0894-3257","issn":["0894-3257","1099-0771"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-c","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-2","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005483577","display_name":"Reinhard Selten","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I135140700","display_name":"University of Bonn","ror":"https://ror.org/041nas322","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Reinhard Selten","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economics University of Bonn  Germany","University of Bonn Department of Economics Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics University of Bonn  Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bonn Department of Economics Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5068777258","display_name":"Sabine Pittnauer","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7436-5470","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7436-5470"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I135140700","display_name":"University of Bonn","ror":"https://ror.org/041nas322","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sabine Pittnauer","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economics University of Bonn  Germany","University of Bonn Department of Economics Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics University of Bonn  Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bonn Department of Economics Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060748900","display_name":"Martin Hohnisch","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5016-7130","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5016-7130"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I135140700","display_name":"University of Bonn","ror":"https://ror.org/041nas322","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Martin Hohnisch","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economics University of Bonn  Germany","University of Bonn Department of Economics Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics University of Bonn  Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Bonn Department of Economics Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5060748900"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I135140700"],"apc_list":{"value":3700,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3700},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.942,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":39,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.8757255,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"25","issue":"5","first_page":"443","last_page":"457"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.8223000168800354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.8223000168800354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11810","display_name":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","score":0.1615999937057495,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10906","display_name":"AI-based Problem Solving and Planning","score":0.002199999988079071,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dynamic-decision-making","display_name":"dynamic decision making","score":0.7519999742507935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/goal-systems","display_name":"goal systems","score":0.8560000061988831},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/level-of-aspiration","display_name":"aspiration levels","score":0.8100000023841858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/goal-persistence","display_name":"goal persistence","score":0.8309999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/qualitative-dynamics","display_name":"qualitative dynamics","score":0.5199999809265137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-term-profit","display_name":"long-term profit","score":0.6320000290870667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/causal-structure","display_name":"causal structure","score":0.5600000023841858}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.553578794002533},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.4823400676250458},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139807058","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q352374","display_name":"Adaptation (eye)","level":2,"score":0.46890532970428467},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C174988536","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5318965","display_name":"Dynamic decision-making","level":2,"score":0.46729543805122375},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C181622380","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q26911","display_name":"Profit (economics)","level":2,"score":0.46239790320396423},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.27342489361763},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.24600547552108765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.1243797242641449},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.10836473107337952},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169760540","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q207011","display_name":"Neuroscience","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1002/bdm.738","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.738","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.738","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S117214846","display_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","issn_l":"0894-3257","issn":["0894-3257","1099-0771"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-c","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-2","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Behavioral Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"score":0.7799999713897705,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":43,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W638598915","https://openalex.org/W1496176725","https://openalex.org/W1512447345","https://openalex.org/W1527148266","https://openalex.org/W1557073210","https://openalex.org/W1966486805","https://openalex.org/W1972305073","https://openalex.org/W1973941071","https://openalex.org/W1978269906","https://openalex.org/W1986993977","https://openalex.org/W1989352474","https://openalex.org/W1991642024","https://openalex.org/W2001995424","https://openalex.org/W2013176290","https://openalex.org/W2016390327","https://openalex.org/W2016682526","https://openalex.org/W2020918175","https://openalex.org/W2023303187","https://openalex.org/W2044654319","https://openalex.org/W2054717456","https://openalex.org/W2074664652","https://openalex.org/W2082786723","https://openalex.org/W2084552861","https://openalex.org/W2086449376","https://openalex.org/W2106797061","https://openalex.org/W2113576847","https://openalex.org/W2117817308","https://openalex.org/W2118980931","https://openalex.org/W2133339457","https://openalex.org/W2139808621","https://openalex.org/W2170408290","https://openalex.org/W2324117868","https://openalex.org/W2484809223","https://openalex.org/W2564451135","https://openalex.org/W2614657806","https://openalex.org/W2988934653","https://openalex.org/W3214923421","https://openalex.org/W4214907476","https://openalex.org/W4242134743","https://openalex.org/W4244329456","https://openalex.org/W4252311371","https://openalex.org/W4291291092","https://openalex.org/W4298153295"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1549139562","https://openalex.org/W2107732587","https://openalex.org/W649133650","https://openalex.org/W580891923","https://openalex.org/W4200170451","https://openalex.org/W1994526295","https://openalex.org/W3096972190","https://openalex.org/W4299394551","https://openalex.org/W3134787477","https://openalex.org/W2166692080"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"ABSTRACT":[0],"We":[1,83],"experimentally":[2],"analyzed":[3],"decision":[4,194],"procedures":[5],"for":[6,73,186],"dealing":[7,190],"with":[8,129,152,167,191],"a":[9,38,49,53,78,88,136,139,172],"dynamic":[10,193],"decision\u2010making":[11],"problem":[12],"in":[13,37,164],"which":[14],"only":[15],"qualitative":[16],"information":[17],"about":[18],"the":[19,23,94,100,119,123,145],"deterministic":[20],"dynamics":[21],"of":[22,75,80,90,96,102,122,138,171,175],"environment":[24],"was":[25,32],"available":[26],"to":[27,33,62,142,144,161,189],"participants.":[28],"A":[29],"participant's":[30,140],"task":[31],"maximize":[34],"long\u2010term":[35,130,153],"profit":[36],"computer\u2010simulated":[39],"monopoly":[40],"market":[41],"featuring":[42],"delays":[43],"and":[44,67,99,155,182],"inertia.":[45],"The":[46],"design":[47],"enabled":[48],"goal\u2010system\u2010based":[50],"procedure,":[51],"whereby":[52],"participant":[54],"could":[55],"select":[56],"one":[57],"or":[58],"several":[59],"short\u2010term":[60],"variables":[61],"be":[63,162],"controlled":[64],"(goal":[65],"variables)":[66],"chose":[68],"target":[69],"values":[70],"(aspiration":[71],"levels)":[72],"each":[74],"them":[76],"over":[77],"total":[79],"50":[81],"periods.":[82],"report":[84],"results":[85],"based":[86,196],"on":[87,93,197],"sample":[89],"63":[91],"participants":[92],"formation":[95],"goal":[97,114,134,147],"systems":[98,115],"process":[101],"aspiration":[103,158,176],"adaptation.":[104,177],"Our":[105,178],"main":[106],"findings":[107],"are,":[108],"first,":[109],"that":[110,116,133,157],"more":[111],"frequently":[112],"selecting":[113],"adequately":[117],"reflect":[118],"causal":[120],"structure":[121],"underlying":[124],"model":[125,174],"is":[126,149],"positively":[127,150],"correlated":[128,151],"profit;":[131,154],"second,":[132],"persistence,":[135],"measure":[137],"tendency":[141],"stick":[143],"current":[146],"system,":[148],"third,":[156],"levels":[159],"tend":[160],"adapted":[163],"strong":[165],"agreement":[166],"certain":[168],"basic":[169],"principles":[170],"benchmark":[173],"study":[179],"thus":[180],"suggests":[181],"provides":[183],"empirical":[184],"foundation":[185],"an":[187],"approach":[188],"complex":[192],"problems":[195],"neither":[198],"optimization":[199],"nor":[200],"learning.":[201],"Copyright":[202],"\u00a9":[203],"2011":[204],"John":[205],"Wiley":[206],"&":[207],"Sons,":[208],"Ltd.":[209]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}