{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2103062037","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.08.014","title":"Forecasting the daily outbreak of topic-level political risk from social media using hidden Markov model-based techniques","display_name":"Forecasting the daily outbreak of topic-level political risk from social media using hidden Markov model-based techniques","publication_year":2014,"publication_date":"2014-09-13","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2103062037","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.08.014","mag":"2103062037"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2014.08.014","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.08.014","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.08.014","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39307421","display_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","issn_l":"0040-1625","issn":["0040-1625","1873-5509"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018882989","display_name":"Jong Hwan Suh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5465-1103","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5465-1103"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I157485424","display_name":"Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05apxxy63","country_code":"KR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I157485424"]}],"countries":["KR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Jong Hwan Suh","raw_affiliation_strings":["Research Center for Future Strategy, Graduate School of Future Strategy, KAIST, 291 Daehak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 305-701, Republic of Korea"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5465-1103","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Research Center for Future Strategy, Graduate School of Future Strategy, KAIST, 291 Daehak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 305-701, Republic of Korea","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I157485424"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5018882989"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I157485424"],"apc_list":{"value":3490,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3490},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":6.2592,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":17,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96936629,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"94","issue":null,"first_page":"115","last_page":"132"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13910","display_name":"Computational and Text Analysis Methods","score":0.2184000015258789,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3300","display_name":"General Social Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13910","display_name":"Computational and Text Analysis Methods","score":0.2184000015258789,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3300","display_name":"General Social Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10557","display_name":"Social Media and Politics","score":0.1282999962568283,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3315","display_name":"Communication"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.09740000218153,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-media","display_name":"social media","score":0.8209999799728394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/hidden-markov-models","display_name":"hidden Markov models","score":0.9259999990463257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/anomaly-detection","display_name":"anomaly detection","score":0.902999997138977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/topic-features","display_name":"topic features","score":0.6259999871253967},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-network-characteristics","display_name":"social network features","score":0.8949999809265137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/energy-based-features","display_name":"energy-based features","score":0.9319999814033508},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/political-protest","display_name":"political protest","score":0.6610000133514404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictive-governance","display_name":"predictive governance","score":0.7770000100135803}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C23224414","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176769","display_name":"Hidden Markov model","level":2,"score":0.7096463441848755},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518677369","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q202833","display_name":"Social media","level":2,"score":0.6720328330993652},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5949484705924988},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21200559","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7451068","display_name":"Sensitivity (control systems)","level":2,"score":0.5284419059753418},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.5161060094833374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98763669","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176645","display_name":"Markov chain","level":2,"score":0.5019125938415527},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779343474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3109175","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.4940967857837677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776401178","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12050496","display_name":"Feature (linguistics)","level":2,"score":0.45766571164131165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163836022","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6771326","display_name":"Markov model","level":3,"score":0.45165833830833435},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.4313996136188507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.39796561002731323},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3730461597442627},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.34459376335144043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.22722172737121582},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.12243127822875977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.11789524555206299},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.10325464606285095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.08516198396682739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41895202","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8162","display_name":"Linguistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24326235","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q126095","display_name":"Electronic engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2014.08.014","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.08.014","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.08.014","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39307421","display_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","issn_l":"0040-1625","issn":["0040-1625","1873-5509"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:94:y:2015:i:c:p:115-132","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162514002534","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","score":0.5699999928474426}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7906082714","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"NRF-357-2011-B00002","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322120","funder_display_name":"National Research Foundation of Korea"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322120","display_name":"National Research Foundation of Korea","ror":"https://ror.org/013aysd81"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":95,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W202178741","https://openalex.org/W208042950","https://openalex.org/W359818833","https://openalex.org/W990198270","https://openalex.org/W1485166085","https://openalex.org/W1539673959","https://openalex.org/W1578703148","https://openalex.org/W1590495275","https://openalex.org/W1710671768","https://openalex.org/W1967508039","https://openalex.org/W1971994493","https://openalex.org/W1973236436","https://openalex.org/W1973899089","https://openalex.org/W1978352004","https://openalex.org/W1981207307","https://openalex.org/W1982087813","https://openalex.org/W1987122909","https://openalex.org/W1990729254","https://openalex.org/W1992228106","https://openalex.org/W2005135032","https://openalex.org/W2007924864","https://openalex.org/W2009662901","https://openalex.org/W2013416264","https://openalex.org/W2013584021","https://openalex.org/W2015628539","https://openalex.org/W2025502123","https://openalex.org/W2027005163","https://openalex.org/W2031998113","https://openalex.org/W2037771381","https://openalex.org/W2038819732","https://openalex.org/W2043009158","https://openalex.org/W2043455221","https://openalex.org/W2044933868","https://openalex.org/W2047940964","https://openalex.org/W2050694995","https://openalex.org/W2053568694","https://openalex.org/W2053878655","https://openalex.org/W2056047299","https://openalex.org/W2060548015","https://openalex.org/W2063178644","https://openalex.org/W2072833822","https://openalex.org/W2074812030","https://openalex.org/W2077390469","https://openalex.org/W2081375756","https://openalex.org/W2082823418","https://openalex.org/W2086383614","https://openalex.org/W2087987478","https://openalex.org/W2091169536","https://openalex.org/W2100715064","https://openalex.org/W2101112476","https://openalex.org/W2102028610","https://openalex.org/W2104865481","https://openalex.org/W2106595237","https://openalex.org/W2108345839","https://openalex.org/W2112090702","https://openalex.org/W2113984305","https://openalex.org/W2114708989","https://openalex.org/W2117283646","https://openalex.org/W2117949357","https://openalex.org/W2121001699","https://openalex.org/W2122369144","https://openalex.org/W2123835189","https://openalex.org/W2125838338","https://openalex.org/W2129860818","https://openalex.org/W2135210719","https://openalex.org/W2139019684","https://openalex.org/W2140658920","https://openalex.org/W2145172647","https://openalex.org/W2146215303","https://openalex.org/W2146307317","https://openalex.org/W2150208547","https://openalex.org/W2156405290","https://openalex.org/W2162810052","https://openalex.org/W2164195112","https://openalex.org/W2166202924","https://openalex.org/W2168558161","https://openalex.org/W2171317718","https://openalex.org/W2216627755","https://openalex.org/W2258111303","https://openalex.org/W2323304905","https://openalex.org/W2409549008","https://openalex.org/W2479523499","https://openalex.org/W2486258755","https://openalex.org/W3022804369","https://openalex.org/W3122007474","https://openalex.org/W4206005644","https://openalex.org/W4394031805","https://openalex.org/W6608114916","https://openalex.org/W6612161972","https://openalex.org/W6625768781","https://openalex.org/W6631137595","https://openalex.org/W6635350999","https://openalex.org/W6645657393","https://openalex.org/W6688480414","https://openalex.org/W6692806117"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2797247926","https://openalex.org/W3118770899","https://openalex.org/W3197154798","https://openalex.org/W2522701553","https://openalex.org/W1843174859","https://openalex.org/W4321019940","https://openalex.org/W4399107234","https://openalex.org/W2989782844","https://openalex.org/W2597449119","https://openalex.org/W2142782171"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
