{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2099639934","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/508269","title":"The Problematic Value of Mathematical Models of Evidence","display_name":"The Problematic Value of Mathematical Models of Evidence","publication_year":2007,"publication_date":"2007-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2099639934","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/508269","mag":"2099639934"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1086/508269","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/508269","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1086/508269","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S9231424","display_name":"The Journal of Legal Studies","issn_l":"0047-2530","issn":["0047-2530","1537-5366"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315672","host_organization_name":"University of Chicago Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315672","https://openalex.org/P4310315690"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["University of Chicago Press","University of Chicago"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Journal of Legal Studies","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102909995","display_name":"Ronald Jay Allen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5987-6283","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5987-6283"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ronald\u00a0J. Allen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University Law School"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University Law School","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5111475291","display_name":"Michael S. Pardo","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I184565670","display_name":"Georgetown University","ror":"https://ror.org/05vzafd60","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I184565670"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michael\u00a0S. Pardo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Georgetown University Law Center ,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Georgetown University Law Center ,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I184565670"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.2634,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":8,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95132405,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"36","issue":"1","first_page":"107","last_page":"140"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14115","display_name":"Legal processes and jurisprudence","score":0.9740999937057495,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3308","display_name":"Law"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14115","display_name":"Legal processes and jurisprudence","score":0.9740999937057495,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3308","display_name":"Law"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11762","display_name":"Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems","score":0.015399999916553497,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14493","display_name":"Criminal Law and Evidence","score":0.002099999925121665,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3308","display_name":"Law"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/value-of-evidence","display_name":"value of evidence","score":0.828000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/evidence-law","display_name":"evidence law","score":0.7649999856948853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/carpet-fibers","display_name":"carpet fibers","score":0.5350000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/character-evidence","display_name":"character evidence","score":0.9309999942779541},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reference-class-problem","display_name":"reference class problem","score":0.8999999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithmic-decision-making","display_name":"algorithmic decision-making","score":0.7689999938011169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forensic-evidence-evaluation","display_name":"forensic evidence evaluation","score":0.32199999690055847}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.6053318381309509},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778061430","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188823","display_name":"Scholarship","level":2,"score":0.5333715677261353},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.5285574197769165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12713177","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1900281","display_name":"Perspective (graphical)","level":2,"score":0.5158088207244873},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778757428","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1250464","display_name":"Realm","level":2,"score":0.4745945632457733},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781238097","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q175026","display_name":"Object (grammar)","level":2,"score":0.45809632539749146},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144701195","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10859910","display_name":"Theory","level":2,"score":0.4390217065811157},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.33343052864074707},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118084267","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q26110","display_name":"Positive economics","level":1,"score":0.320964515209198},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.31619441509246826},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.24758055806159973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.18017089366912842},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.17492598295211792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.11243563890457153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.09816047549247742},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1086/508269","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/508269","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1086/508269","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S9231424","display_name":"The Journal of Legal Studies","issn_l":"0047-2530","issn":["0047-2530","1537-5366"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315672","host_organization_name":"University of Chicago Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315672","https://openalex.org/P4310315690"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["University of Chicago Press","University of Chicago"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Journal of Legal Studies","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.551.7864","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.551.7864","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.elsblog.org/the_empirical_legal_studi/files/JLS.final.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:chicagounbound.uchicago.edu:jls-1896","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/jls/vol36/iss1/5","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407064349","display_name":"bepress Legal Repository","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Legal Studies","raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320309475","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":29,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W106648832","https://openalex.org/W200124229","https://openalex.org/W235413468","https://openalex.org/W827199933","https://openalex.org/W1489687230","https://openalex.org/W1526408094","https://openalex.org/W1556096785","https://openalex.org/W2023091904","https://openalex.org/W2029330946","https://openalex.org/W2038733313","https://openalex.org/W2052402996","https://openalex.org/W2065634850","https://openalex.org/W2101114811","https://openalex.org/W2114010272","https://openalex.org/W2126033136","https://openalex.org/W2134971144","https://openalex.org/W2156112534","https://openalex.org/W2577276216","https://openalex.org/W2777094054","https://openalex.org/W2795543377","https://openalex.org/W2796174153","https://openalex.org/W2796856957","https://openalex.org/W3121170189","https://openalex.org/W3121649296","https://openalex.org/W3122487345","https://openalex.org/W3124411835","https://openalex.org/W3124763570","https://openalex.org/W4240199441","https://openalex.org/W4285719527"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4210820864","https://openalex.org/W1965912564","https://openalex.org/W2742081193","https://openalex.org/W3143951608","https://openalex.org/W1992283407","https://openalex.org/W2259557594","https://openalex.org/W2007097080","https://openalex.org/W2796932663","https://openalex.org/W2030346910","https://openalex.org/W2170518725"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0,57,88],"paper":[1,89],"discusses":[2],"mathematical":[3],"modeling":[4,18],"of":[5,8,11,27,53,63,100,133],"the":[6,25,40,46,51,91,101,117,127,131],"value":[7,26,52],"particular":[9],"items":[10],"evidence.":[12],"We":[13],"demonstrate":[14],"that":[15,45,67],"such":[16],"formal":[17],"has":[19],"only":[20],"limited":[21,32],"use":[22],"in":[23],"explaining":[24],"legal":[28,108],"evidence,":[29,79],"much":[30],"more":[31],"than":[33],"those":[34],"investigators":[35],"who":[36],"construct":[37],"and":[38,43,80,107,122,130],"discuss":[39],"models":[41],"assume,":[42],"thus":[44],"conclusions":[47],"they":[48],"draw":[49],"about":[50],"evidence":[54,71,82],"are":[55],"unwarranted.":[56],"is":[58,97],"done":[59],"through":[60],"a":[61,86,113],"discussion":[62],"several":[64],"recent":[65],"examples":[66],"attempt":[68],"to":[69,73,84,125,135],"quantify":[70],"relating":[72],"carpet":[74],"fibers,":[75],"infidelity,":[76],"DNA":[77],"random\u2010match":[78],"character":[81],"used":[83],"impeach":[85],"witness.":[87],"makes":[90],"following":[92],"contributions.":[93],"Most":[94],"important,":[95],"it":[96,115],"another":[98],"demonstration":[99],"complex":[102],"relationship":[103],"between":[104],"algorithmic":[105],"tools":[106],"decision":[109],"making.":[110],"Furthermore,":[111],"at":[112],"minimum":[114],"highlights":[116],"need":[118],"for":[119],"both":[120],"analytical":[121],"empirical":[123],"work":[124],"accommodate":[126],"reference\u2010class":[128],"problem":[129],"risk":[132],"failing":[134],"do":[136],"so.":[137]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
