{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2093692028","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","title":"Citizens, Autocrats, and Plotters: A Model and New Evidence on Coups D'\u00c9tat","display_name":"Citizens, Autocrats, and Plotters: A Model and New Evidence on Coups D'\u00c9tat","publication_year":2000,"publication_date":"2000-07-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2093692028","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","mag":"2093692028"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/1468-0343.00074","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S197981039","display_name":"Economics and Politics","issn_l":"0954-1985","issn":["0954-1985","1468-0343"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economics & Politics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059098938","display_name":"Alexander Galetovic","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8949-9300","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8949-9300"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I69737025","display_name":"University of Chile","ror":"https://ror.org/047gc3g35","country_code":"CL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I69737025"]}],"countries":["CL"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Alexander Galetovic","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centro de Economi\u0301a Aplicada (CEA), Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile,","Centro de Econom\u00eda Aplicada (CEA), Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile,"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centro de Economi\u0301a Aplicada (CEA), Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I69737025"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centro de Econom\u00eda Aplicada (CEA), Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I69737025"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5111966966","display_name":"Ricardo Sanhueza P.","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I69737025","display_name":"University of Chile","ror":"https://ror.org/047gc3g35","country_code":"CL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I69737025"]}],"countries":["CL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ricardo Sanhueza","raw_affiliation_strings":["Departamento de Economi\u0301a, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile","Departamento de Econom\u00eda , Universidad de Chile , Santiago, Chile"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departamento de Economi\u0301a, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I69737025"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departamento de Econom\u00eda , Universidad de Chile , Santiago, Chile","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I69737025"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5059098938"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I69737025"],"apc_list":{"value":3240,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3240},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.1199,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":103,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.86425675,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"12","issue":"2","first_page":"183","last_page":"204"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10070","display_name":"Political Conflict and Governance","score":0.9945999979972839,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10070","display_name":"Political Conflict and Governance","score":0.9945999979972839,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11823","display_name":"Natural Resources and Economic Development","score":0.001500000013038516,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11042","display_name":"Corruption and Economic Development","score":0.0010999999940395355,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coup-d-etat","display_name":"coups d'\u00e9tat","score":0.9679999947547913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/authoritarian-regimes","display_name":"authoritarian regimes","score":0.8579999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coup-attempt","display_name":"coup attempt","score":0.6169999837875366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/recession","display_name":"economic recession","score":0.8019999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/per-capita-income","display_name":"per capita income","score":0.8420000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-performance","display_name":"economic performance","score":0.6800000071525574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/political-instability","display_name":"political instability","score":0.5360000133514404}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144661447","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q173424","display_name":"Autocracy","level":4,"score":0.8690774440765381},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195742910","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176494","display_name":"Recession","level":2,"score":0.7724862098693848},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127598652","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q558635","display_name":"Per capita","level":3,"score":0.7375168204307556},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.7095540165901184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160443848","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q45918","display_name":"Per capita income","level":2,"score":0.6072297096252441},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776502983","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q690182","display_name":"Contrast (vision)","level":2,"score":0.5631998777389526},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165556158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83937","display_name":"Keynesian economics","level":1,"score":0.4096570909023285},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4249254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3044431","display_name":"Demographic economics","level":1,"score":0.34815388917922974},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.20528733730316162},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.18019255995750427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.13326776027679443},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C555826173","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7174","display_name":"Democracy","level":3,"score":0.12251263856887817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.10051131248474121},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.09023293852806091},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/1468-0343.00074","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S197981039","display_name":"Economics and Politics","issn_l":"0954-1985","issn":["0954-1985","1468-0343"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economics & Politics","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:edj:ceauch:11","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://www.cea-uchile.cl/wp-content/uploads/doctrab/ASOCFILE120030409102202.pdf","pdf_url":"http://www.cea-uchile.cl/wp-content/uploads/doctrab/ASOCFILE120030409102202.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"mag:3123021695","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:edj:ceauch:11","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/1468-0343.00074","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/1468-0343.00074","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S197981039","display_name":"Economics and Politics","issn_l":"0954-1985","issn":["0954-1985","1468-0343"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Economics & Politics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","score":0.9595999717712402,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306146","display_name":"Andrew W. Mellon Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/04jsh2530"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320323458","display_name":"Universidad de Chile","ror":"https://ror.org/047gc3g35"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2093692028.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2093692028.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":23,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W419122412","https://openalex.org/W1493329463","https://openalex.org/W1501513419","https://openalex.org/W1508469902","https://openalex.org/W1511972206","https://openalex.org/W1574432462","https://openalex.org/W1575812287","https://openalex.org/W1964664568","https://openalex.org/W1971119701","https://openalex.org/W1977457376","https://openalex.org/W1988922041","https://openalex.org/W1989671825","https://openalex.org/W1992587883","https://openalex.org/W2019417028","https://openalex.org/W2046898569","https://openalex.org/W2051733957","https://openalex.org/W2052743385","https://openalex.org/W2083051110","https://openalex.org/W2086838579","https://openalex.org/W2120946983","https://openalex.org/W2127127081","https://openalex.org/W2781222042","https://openalex.org/W2995481147"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3121515917","https://openalex.org/W1567579018","https://openalex.org/W4399924498","https://openalex.org/W2516737047","https://openalex.org/W3123474848","https://openalex.org/W2278638479","https://openalex.org/W2802601463","https://openalex.org/W7099027131","https://openalex.org/W7099925701","https://openalex.org/W4244755276"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"We":[0],"present":[1],"a":[2,32,56,80],"model":[3,62],"of":[4,22,31,55,60,79,90,93],"coups":[5,37],"in":[6,41,72],"autocracies.":[7],"Assuming":[8],"that":[9],"policy":[10],"choices":[11],"cannot":[12],"be":[13],"observed":[14],"but":[15],"are":[16,38,63],"correlated":[17],"with":[18,65],"the":[19,23,29,53,61,66,73,77,88,91],"short\u2010run":[20],"performance":[21],"economy":[24],"we":[25],"find":[26],"that:":[27],"(a)":[28],"threat":[30],"coup":[33,81],"disciplines":[34],"autocrats;":[35],"(b)":[36],"more":[39],"likely":[40],"recessions;":[42],"(c)":[43],"increasing":[44],"per":[45,94],"capita":[46,95],"income":[47,96],"has":[48],"an":[49],"ambiguous":[50],"effect":[51,89],"on":[52],"probability":[54,78],"coup.":[57],"The":[58],"implications":[59],"consistent":[64],"evidence.":[67],"On":[68],"average,":[69],"one":[70],"recession":[71],"previous":[74],"year":[75],"increases":[76],"attempt":[82],"by":[83],"47":[84],"percent.":[85],"By":[86],"contrast,":[87],"level":[92],"is":[97],"weak.":[98]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":6}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}