{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2090207602","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007","title":"Scenario building: Uses and abuses","display_name":"Scenario building: Uses and abuses","publication_year":2010,"publication_date":"2010-07-22","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2090207602","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007","mag":"2090207602"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39307421","display_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","issn_l":"0040-1625","issn":["0040-1625","1873-5509"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053466385","display_name":"Philippe Durance","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I124158823","display_name":"Conservatoire National des Arts et M\u00e9tiers","ror":"https://ror.org/0175hh227","country_code":"FR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I124158823","https://openalex.org/I4210134562"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Philippe Durance","raw_affiliation_strings":["Conservatoire national des Arts et M\u00e9tiers (CNAM) Paris, LIPSOR, 2 rue Cont\u00e9 \u2014 75003, Paris, France"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Conservatoire national des Arts et M\u00e9tiers (CNAM) Paris, LIPSOR, 2 rue Cont\u00e9 \u2014 75003, Paris, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I124158823"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103791876","display_name":"Michel Godet","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I124158823","display_name":"Conservatoire National des Arts et M\u00e9tiers","ror":"https://ror.org/0175hh227","country_code":"FR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I124158823","https://openalex.org/I4210134562"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michel Godet","raw_affiliation_strings":["Conservatoire national des Arts et M\u00e9tiers (CNAM) Paris, LIPSOR, 2 rue Cont\u00e9 \u2014 75003, Paris, France"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Conservatoire national des Arts et M\u00e9tiers (CNAM) Paris, LIPSOR, 2 rue Cont\u00e9 \u2014 75003, Paris, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I124158823"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5053466385"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I124158823"],"apc_list":{"value":3490,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3490},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":21.5344,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":334,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.99055732,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":99,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"77","issue":"9","first_page":"1488","last_page":"1492"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14345","display_name":"Scientific Research and Philosophical Inquiry","score":0.7383000254631042,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14345","display_name":"Scientific Research and Philosophical Inquiry","score":0.7383000254631042,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13137","display_name":"Strategic Planning and Analysis","score":0.18459999561309814,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13204","display_name":"Competitive and Knowledge Intelligence","score":0.03669999912381172,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scenario-development","display_name":"scenario development","score":0.9760000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/strategic-foresight","display_name":"strategic foresight","score":0.9580000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/participatory-workshops","display_name":"participatory workshops","score":0.6669999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/stakeholder-engagement","display_name":"stakeholder engagement","score":0.7789999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agro-food-sector","display_name":"agro-food sector","score":0.9089999794960022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/futures-studies","display_name":"futures studies","score":0.5659999847412109}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64848388","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188867","display_name":"Futures studies","level":2,"score":0.9353939294815063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780586882","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7520643","display_name":"Simple (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.7098770141601562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779530757","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1207505","display_name":"Quality (philosophy)","level":2,"score":0.5501207113265991},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C203663800","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q848979","display_name":"Citizen journalism","level":2,"score":0.5484486818313599},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C101468663","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1620158","display_name":"Modular design","level":2,"score":0.5468047857284546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5029622912406921},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776207758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5303302","display_name":"Downstream (manufacturing)","level":2,"score":0.4992978572845459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C539667460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2414942","display_name":"Management science","level":1,"score":0.4851034879684448},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191172861","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7899321","display_name":"Upstream (networking)","level":2,"score":0.4781578481197357},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C202033279","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1931373","display_name":"Scenario planning","level":2,"score":0.45259004831314087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.3929595351219177},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.3263653516769409},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.2825084924697876},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.27049940824508667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.19562044739723206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.17491590976715088},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.10747236013412476},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C31258907","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1301371","display_name":"Computer network","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39307421","display_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","issn_l":"0040-1625","issn":["0040-1625","1873-5509"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.663.568","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.663.568","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://en.laprospective.fr/dyn/anglais/articles/scenario-building-tfsc-2010.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-02864615v1","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://cnam.hal.science/hal-02864615","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4405252976","host_organization_name":"Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405252976"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2010, 77 (9), pp.1488-1492. ⟨10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007⟩","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":7,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1517701247","https://openalex.org/W1963006840","https://openalex.org/W2077985246","https://openalex.org/W2295656366","https://openalex.org/W2576183678","https://openalex.org/W2729147228","https://openalex.org/W3215827189"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3044304695","https://openalex.org/W2073064172","https://openalex.org/W2465487328","https://openalex.org/W4407577103","https://openalex.org/W4200615137","https://openalex.org/W2774450756","https://openalex.org/W2599698196","https://openalex.org/W2018806934","https://openalex.org/W2622571990","https://openalex.org/W2126790759"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":22},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":15},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":27},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":29},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":29},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":20},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":26},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":36},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":28},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":19},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":25},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":16},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":14},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":10}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}