{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2086924686","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2002.10596057","title":"Emergence of Supercentenarians in Low-Mortality Countries","display_name":"Emergence of Supercentenarians in Low-Mortality Countries","publication_year":2002,"publication_date":"2002-07-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2086924686","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2002.10596057","mag":"2086924686"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/10920277.2002.10596057","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2002.10596057","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2002.10596057","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764463436","display_name":"North American Actuarial Journal","issn_l":"1092-0277","issn":["1092-0277","2325-0453"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","fnege-3","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"North American Actuarial Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070243872","display_name":"Jean\u2010Marie Robine","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4111-6195","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4111-6195"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154526488","display_name":"Inserm","ror":"https://ror.org/02vjkv261","country_code":"FR","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154526488"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jean-Marie Robine","raw_affiliation_strings":["INSERM, Val d'Aurelle, 34298, Montpellier, France"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"INSERM, Val d'Aurelle, 34298, Montpellier, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154526488"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5080122515","display_name":"James W. Vaupel","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0783-3905","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0783-3905"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120395","display_name":"Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research","ror":"https://ror.org/02jgyam08","country_code":"DE","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I149899117","https://openalex.org/I4210120395"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"James W. Vaupel","raw_affiliation_strings":["Max Planck, Institute for Demographic Research, Doberanastrasse, 114 Rostock, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Max Planck, Institute for Demographic Research, Doberanastrasse, 114 Rostock, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120395"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":18.4796,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":82,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.99100719,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"6","issue":"3","first_page":"54","last_page":"63"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10676","display_name":"Genetics, Aging, and Longevity in Model Organisms","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1302","display_name":"Aging"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/13","display_name":"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10968","display_name":"Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/supercentenarians","display_name":"supercentenarians","score":1.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/centenarians","display_name":"centenarians","score":0.7549999952316284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/oldest-old","display_name":"oldest old","score":0.6159999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gompertz-mortality-law","display_name":"Gompertz mortality law","score":0.7360000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mortality-plateau","display_name":"mortality plateau","score":0.7749999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/maximum-lifespan","display_name":"maximum lifespan","score":0.5960000157356262}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.7469886541366577},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776759703","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1066907","display_name":"Longevity","level":2,"score":0.6961261630058289},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134463574","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1011785","display_name":"Gompertz function","level":2,"score":0.65375816822052},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133925201","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188419","display_name":"Life expectancy","level":3,"score":0.6146833896636963},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C179755657","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q58702","display_name":"Mortality rate","level":2,"score":0.5462365746498108},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2988516024","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q441195","display_name":"Life span","level":2,"score":0.4680615961551666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.45954838395118713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2986834420","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5932254","display_name":"Age groups","level":2,"score":0.43294376134872437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.3288741409778595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C74909509","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10387","display_name":"Gerontology","level":1,"score":0.29438313841819763},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.26813608407974243},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.17086410522460938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.15650534629821777},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.07342985272407532}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/10920277.2002.10596057","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2002.10596057","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2002.10596057","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764463436","display_name":"North American Actuarial Journal","issn_l":"1092-0277","issn":["1092-0277","2325-0453"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","fnege-3","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"North American Actuarial Journal","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:taf:uaajxx:v:6:y:2002:i:3:p:54-63","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/10920277.2002.10596057","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:edoc.mpg.de:33675","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://edoc.mpg.de/33675","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922265","display_name":"Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"North American Actuarial Journal, v.6, 54-63 (2002)","raw_type":"Article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.8048999905586243,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"study_designs":[{"display_name":"Observational Study","id":"https://openalex.org/study-designs/observational-study"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":15,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W57199323","https://openalex.org/W413974004","https://openalex.org/W1737257822","https://openalex.org/W1990630927","https://openalex.org/W2029372980","https://openalex.org/W2036419021","https://openalex.org/W2071876805","https://openalex.org/W2072168063","https://openalex.org/W2072652164","https://openalex.org/W2089451781","https://openalex.org/W2135947850","https://openalex.org/W2158156161","https://openalex.org/W2899132873","https://openalex.org/W4241114744","https://openalex.org/W4256143419"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2072168063","https://openalex.org/W4242169607","https://openalex.org/W5497959","https://openalex.org/W3023945867","https://openalex.org/W3111447433","https://openalex.org/W2907207608","https://openalex.org/W115065528","https://openalex.org/W7027022602","https://openalex.org/W3113153284","https://openalex.org/W7096013210"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,40,59,133,185],"exponential":[1],"increase":[2,162],"in":[3,18,47,65,69,82,217],"the":[4,27,48,57,70,83,93,105,110,156,165,169,173],"number":[5],"of":[6,29,43,62,109,119,136],"centenarians,":[7],"which":[8,99],"started":[9],"just":[10],"after":[11,187,208],"World":[12],"War":[13],"II,":[14],"is":[15,24,76,141],"well":[16],"documented":[17],"Europe":[19],"and":[20,50,113,144,172,183],"Japan.":[21],"Much":[22],"less":[23],"known":[25,63],"about":[26,125,142],"population":[28],"extremely":[30],"old":[31],"persons":[32],"reaching":[33],"age":[34,37,96,139,150,188,209],"105\u2014the":[35],"semisupercentenarians\u2014or":[36],"110\u2014the":[38],"supercentenarians.":[39],"first":[41],"cases":[42],"validated":[44],"supercentenarians":[45,64],"appeared":[46],"1960s,":[49],"their":[51],"numbers":[52],"have":[53],"steadily":[54],"increased":[55,123],"since":[56],"mid-1980s.":[58],"current":[60],"prevalence":[61],"low-mortality":[66],"countries":[67],"involved":[68],"International":[71],"Database":[72],"on":[73],"Longevity":[74],"(IDL)":[75],"approximately":[77],"10":[78,126],"times":[79],"higher":[80],"than":[81],"mid-1970s.":[84],"In":[85],"roughly":[86],"20":[87],"years,":[88],"from":[89,128],"1980":[90],"to":[91,103,130,164,213],"2000,":[92],"maximum":[94,106],"reported":[95],"at":[97,138,146,168],"death,":[98],"was":[100],"once":[101],"assumed":[102],"indicate":[104],"life":[107],"span":[108],"human":[111],"species":[112],"seen":[114],"as":[115],"a":[116,178],"stable":[117],"characteristic":[118],"our":[120],"species,":[121],"has":[122],"by":[124],"years":[127],"112":[129],"122":[131],"years.":[132],"annual":[134],"probability":[135],"death":[137],"110":[140,182],"50%":[143],"stays":[145],"that":[147,158,193,204],"level":[148],"through":[149],"114.":[151],"Our":[152],"results":[153,174],"strongly":[154],"support":[155],"finding":[157],"mortality":[159,205],"does":[160],"not":[161,196],"according":[163],"Gompertz":[166],"curve":[167],"highest":[170],"ages,":[171],"are":[175,190,195],"consistent":[176],"with":[177],"plateau":[179],"between":[180],"ages":[181],"115.":[184,210],"data":[186],"115":[189],"so":[191],"sparse":[192],"they":[194],"analyzed":[197],"here,":[198],"but":[199],"an":[200],"earlier":[201],"study":[202],"suggested":[203],"may":[206],"fall":[207],"We":[211],"intend":[212],"investigate":[214],"this":[215],"question":[216],"subsequent":[218],"research.":[219]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}