{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2079414976","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","title":"A Shift-Share Method for the Analysis of Regional Fertility Change: An Application to the Decline in Childbearing in Italy, 1952-1991","display_name":"A Shift-Share Method for the Analysis of Regional Fertility Change: An Application to the Decline in Childbearing in Italy, 1952-1991","publication_year":2004,"publication_date":"2004-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2079414976","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","mag":"2079414976"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S159894308","display_name":"Geographical Analysis","issn_l":"0016-7363","issn":["0016-7363","1538-4632"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Geographical Analysis","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003365164","display_name":"Rachel S. Franklin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2614-4665","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2614-4665"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1333512998","display_name":"United States Census Bureau","ror":"https://ror.org/01qn7cs15","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1333512998","https://openalex.org/I1343035065"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Rachel Franklin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Population Division of the U.S. Census Bureau rachel.s.franklin@census.gov"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Population Division of the U.S. Census Bureau rachel.s.franklin@census.gov","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1333512998"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5017246792","display_name":"David A. Plane","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1549-6515","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1549-6515"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I138006243","display_name":"University of Arizona","ror":"https://ror.org/03m2x1q45","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I138006243"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"David A. Plane","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Geography and Regional Development at the University of Arizona plane@u.arizona.edu"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Geography and Regional Development at the University of Arizona plane@u.arizona.edu","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I138006243"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":3760,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3760},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.6223,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":33,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.93267904,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"36","issue":"1","first_page":"1","last_page":"20"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10585","display_name":"Family Dynamics and Relationships","score":0.6685000061988831,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10585","display_name":"Family Dynamics and Relationships","score":0.6685000061988831,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12728","display_name":"Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences","score":0.1023000031709671,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3318","display_name":"Gender Studies"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":0.05550000071525574,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fertility-decline","display_name":"fertility decline","score":0.7910000085830688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/shift-share-analysis","display_name":"shift-share analysis","score":0.7979999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cohort-effects","display_name":"cohort effects","score":0.5170000195503235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/italy","display_name":"Italy","score":0.6629999876022339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/birth-rate","display_name":"birth rate","score":0.7089999914169312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demographic-change","display_name":"demographic change","score":0.3799999952316284}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518429986","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q964401","display_name":"Fertility","level":3,"score":0.8085378408432007},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.6002506017684937},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2986043164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demographic change","level":3,"score":0.5272801518440247},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.5116782188415527},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47122089","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q285897","display_name":"Total fertility rate","level":5,"score":0.5048475861549377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C37512671","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q203516","display_name":"Birth rate","level":4,"score":0.4833531081676483},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4743344187736511},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4249254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3044431","display_name":"Demographic economics","level":1,"score":0.4070408344268799},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.26934814453125},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2986817661","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q185698","display_name":"Research methodology","level":3,"score":0.19843190908432007},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779076696","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1280670","display_name":"Family planning","level":4,"score":0.12441056966781616},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.09306317567825317}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S159894308","display_name":"Geographical Analysis","issn_l":"0016-7363","issn":["0016-7363","1538-4632"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Geographical Analysis","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"doi:10.1353/geo.2003.0021","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1353/geo.2003.0021","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1353/geo.2003.0021","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S159894308","display_name":"Geographical Analysis","issn_l":"0016-7363","issn":["0016-7363","1538-4632"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Geographical Analysis","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:muse.jhu.edu:/article/49626","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://muse.jhu.edu/article/49626","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196299","display_name":"Project Muse (Johns Hopkins University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I145311948","host_organization_name":"Johns Hopkins University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I145311948"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","pdf_url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2004.tb01120.x","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S159894308","display_name":"Geographical Analysis","issn_l":"0016-7363","issn":["0016-7363","1538-4632"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Geographical Analysis","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/10","score":0.4000000059604645,"display_name":"Reduced inequalities"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2079414976.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2079414976.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":16,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1559327254","https://openalex.org/W1970711534","https://openalex.org/W1979578472","https://openalex.org/W2006497303","https://openalex.org/W2016451933","https://openalex.org/W2019114330","https://openalex.org/W2020046546","https://openalex.org/W2026940911","https://openalex.org/W2035945260","https://openalex.org/W2059284792","https://openalex.org/W2066445871","https://openalex.org/W2067184896","https://openalex.org/W2086609138","https://openalex.org/W2135093468","https://openalex.org/W2253819826","https://openalex.org/W3023348301"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W776839556","https://openalex.org/W7112837436","https://openalex.org/W3131556041","https://openalex.org/W1497086385","https://openalex.org/W2286125690","https://openalex.org/W7099388539","https://openalex.org/W2984727292","https://openalex.org/W2301479179","https://openalex.org/W7221519436","https://openalex.org/W1771044239"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"paper":[1],"applies":[2],"shift\u2010share":[3],"analysis,":[4],"a":[5,78,81,85],"tool":[6],"often":[7],"used":[8],"in":[9,19,51,72,90,130],"economic":[10],"geography":[11],"and":[12,84,124,147],"regional":[13,16,70,86,102,142],"science,":[14],"to":[15,42,68,113,121,127],"fertility":[17,29,98],"change":[18,71,99,108,123],"Italy,":[20],"1952\u20131991.":[21],"During":[22],"this":[23,64],"post\u2013World":[24],"War":[25],"II":[26],"period,":[27],"Italian":[28,62],"declined":[30],"by":[31,138],"over":[32],"33":[33],"percent,":[34],"but":[35],"the":[36,45,49,95,101,116,145],"decline":[37,50],"varied":[38],"widely":[39],"from":[40],"region":[41],"region.":[43],"Moreover,":[44],"demographic":[46],"originations":[47],"of":[48,97,107,135,149],"births":[52,73],"are":[53,109,151],"not":[54],"fully":[55],"understood.":[56],"Using":[57],"birth":[58,131],"data":[59],"for":[60,115],"nineteen":[61],"regions,":[63],"analysis":[65],"is":[66],"able":[67],"break":[69],"into":[74,94],"three":[75,105],"main":[76],"components:":[77],"national":[79],"effect,":[80,83,88],"cohort":[82],"differential":[87],"which":[89],"turn":[91],"provide":[92],"insight":[93],"roots":[96],"at":[100],"level.":[103],"These":[104],"components":[106],"then":[110],"further":[111],"disaggregated":[112],"account":[114],"differences":[117,143],"between":[118,144],"changes":[119,129],"due":[120],"population":[122],"those":[125],"related":[126],"actual":[128],"rates":[132],"(the":[133],"number":[134],"children":[136],"produced":[137],"each":[139],"woman).":[140],"Strong":[141],"north":[146],"south":[148],"Italy":[150],"demonstrated.":[152]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-10-12T09:40:04.860316","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}