{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2071939219","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12044.x","title":"Implication of climate change for the persistence of raptors in arid savanna","display_name":"Implication of climate change for the persistence of raptors in arid savanna","publication_year":2003,"publication_date":"2003-06-25","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2071939219","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12044.x","mag":"2071939219"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12044.x","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12044.x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12044.x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S200794352","display_name":"Oikos","issn_l":"0030-1299","issn":["0030-1299","1600-0706"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Oikos","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5084198645","display_name":"MATTHIAS C. WICHMANN","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1901-3058","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1901-3058"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I137479271","display_name":"Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research","ror":"https://ror.org/000h6jb29","country_code":"DE","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1305996414","https://openalex.org/I137479271"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Matthias C. Wichmann","raw_affiliation_strings":["Helmholtz-Centre for Environmental Research \u2013 UFZ"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Helmholtz-Centre for Environmental Research \u2013 UFZ","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I137479271"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5065482200","display_name":"Florian Jeltsch","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4670-6469","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4670-6469"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Florian Jeltsch","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5113661184","display_name":"W. R. J. Dean","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"W. Richard J. Dean","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021345315","display_name":"Kirk A. Moloney","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1406-9757","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1406-9757"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kirk A. Moloney","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5068815228","display_name":"Christian Wissel","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2226-3592","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2226-3592"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Christian Wissel","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5113661184"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":{"value":3640,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3640},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.9914,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":59,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95360114,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"102","issue":"1","first_page":"186","last_page":"202"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10089","display_name":"Avian ecology and behavior","score":0.6586999893188477,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10089","display_name":"Avian ecology and behavior","score":0.6586999893188477,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.1492999941110611,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10199","display_name":"Wildlife Ecology and Conservation","score":0.07240000367164612,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change","display_name":"climate change","score":0.7879999876022339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/raptors","display_name":"raptors","score":0.953000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/arid-savanna","display_name":"arid savanna","score":0.906000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/aquila-rapax","display_name":"Aquila rapax","score":0.9980000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rainfall-variability","display_name":"rainfall variability","score":0.7559999823570251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-persistence","display_name":"population persistence","score":0.7720000147819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/extinction-risk","display_name":"extinction risk","score":0.996999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/southern-kalahari","display_name":"southern Kalahari","score":0.7749999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/apex-predators","display_name":"top predators","score":0.6909999847412109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-dynamics","display_name":"population dynamics","score":0.460999995470047}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C150772632","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1330709","display_name":"Arid","level":2,"score":0.7549320459365845},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107054158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25257","display_name":"Precipitation","level":2,"score":0.7295175194740295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.720866322517395},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C101991246","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5422078","display_name":"Extinction (optical mineralogy)","level":2,"score":0.6488975286483765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781009140","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7170389","display_name":"Persistence (discontinuity)","level":2,"score":0.6412894129753113},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.633015513420105},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.5941518545150757},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110872660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37813","display_name":"Ecosystem","level":2,"score":0.5571025609970093},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.5075877904891968},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169733012","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1613416","display_name":"Population size","level":3,"score":0.41936346888542175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.37902840971946716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.21319985389709473},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.07715341448783875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187320778","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1349130","display_name":"Geotechnical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12044.x","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12044.x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12044.x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S200794352","display_name":"Oikos","issn_l":"0030-1299","issn":["0030-1299","1600-0706"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Oikos","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:kobv.de-opus4-uni-potsdam:15749","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://publishup.uni-potsdam.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/15749","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400594","display_name":"publish.UP (University of Potsdam)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I176453806","host_organization_name":"University of Potsdam","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I176453806"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":1.0,"display_name":"Life on land","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15"},{"score":0.821399986743927,"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320875","display_name":"Deutscher Akademischer Austauschdienst","ror":"https://ror.org/039djdh30"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":94,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W597391965","https://openalex.org/W1034191183","https://openalex.org/W1506155256","https://openalex.org/W1522296012","https://openalex.org/W1522642014","https://openalex.org/W1541871454","https://openalex.org/W1542532100","https://openalex.org/W1552542339","https://openalex.org/W1568226262","https://openalex.org/W1646266967","https://openalex.org/W1657223944","https://openalex.org/W1667947208","https://openalex.org/W1964157398","https://openalex.org/W1964589705","https://openalex.org/W1966066693","https://openalex.org/W1966499072","https://openalex.org/W1968278148","https://openalex.org/W1970189080","https://openalex.org/W1971433287","https://openalex.org/W1971872476","https://openalex.org/W1973452923","https://openalex.org/W1975243281","https://openalex.org/W1978170301","https://openalex.org/W1979268242","https://openalex.org/W1979502395","https://openalex.org/W1984814942","https://openalex.org/W1985376037","https://openalex.org/W1986254682","https://openalex.org/W1988027256","https://openalex.org/W1988213104","https://openalex.org/W1996872773","https://openalex.org/W1996896150","https://openalex.org/W1999199898","https://openalex.org/W2000144739","https://openalex.org/W2004623573","https://openalex.org/W2007489277","https://openalex.org/W2007976721","https://openalex.org/W2012186543","https://openalex.org/W2013888067","https://openalex.org/W2014772031","https://openalex.org/W2015907589","https://openalex.org/W2016512994","https://openalex.org/W2028716224","https://openalex.org/W2038917393","https://openalex.org/W2043476850","https://openalex.org/W2044573369","https://openalex.org/W2052053478","https://openalex.org/W2053653709","https://openalex.org/W2059007137","https://openalex.org/W2061615053","https://openalex.org/W2062916675","https://openalex.org/W2065425035","https://openalex.org/W2065814595","https://openalex.org/W2073428716","https://openalex.org/W2080990468","https://openalex.org/W2083562920","https://openalex.org/W2087983656","https://openalex.org/W2094687535","https://openalex.org/W2118520949","https://openalex.org/W2122966123","https://openalex.org/W2123898338","https://openalex.org/W2132550267","https://openalex.org/W2136204467","https://openalex.org/W2137028082","https://openalex.org/W2150817460","https://openalex.org/W2151050046","https://openalex.org/W2163773399","https://openalex.org/W2166131389","https://openalex.org/W2172296038","https://openalex.org/W2172394697","https://openalex.org/W2178606248","https://openalex.org/W2189322761","https://openalex.org/W2224968044","https://openalex.org/W2241307260","https://openalex.org/W2275164981","https://openalex.org/W2316347867","https://openalex.org/W2316726438","https://openalex.org/W2323010931","https://openalex.org/W2325066045","https://openalex.org/W2328355842","https://openalex.org/W2332999630","https://openalex.org/W2470021681","https://openalex.org/W2767905780","https://openalex.org/W2789741100","https://openalex.org/W2938463896","https://openalex.org/W2962376738","https://openalex.org/W3021784627","https://openalex.org/W3184283379","https://openalex.org/W4206337236","https://openalex.org/W4231107886","https://openalex.org/W4237950165","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W4289866077","https://openalex.org/W7000134034"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2737316910","https://openalex.org/W2069371463","https://openalex.org/W2077375572","https://openalex.org/W4414977703","https://openalex.org/W7223051414","https://openalex.org/W2148351022","https://openalex.org/W6922636618","https://openalex.org/W2120655808","https://openalex.org/W4297147188","https://openalex.org/W1654130821"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Arid":[0],"savannas":[1,219,249],"are":[2,26,279],"regarded":[3],"as":[4,105,121],"one":[5],"of":[6,41,52,72,81,113,139,145,180,187,244,258,285],"the":[7,39,69,78,94,102,205,231,238,242],"ecosystems":[8],"most":[9,153],"likely":[10],"to":[11,65,176,281],"be":[12,221],"affected":[13,27],"by":[14,28,85,214],"climate":[15,43,86,118,215,229,259,287],"change.":[16],"In":[17,199],"these":[18,140],"dry":[19],"conditions,":[20],"even":[21,226],"top":[22],"predators":[23],"like":[24],"raptors":[25,89],"water":[29],"availability":[30],"and":[31,49,129,159,195,211,266,293,300],"precipitation.":[32,133],"However,":[33,270],"few":[34],"research":[35],"initiatives":[36],"have":[37],"addressed":[38],"question":[40],"how":[42,286,294],"change":[44,87,216,230,260,288],"will":[45,220,250,289,296],"affect":[46],"population":[47,70,150,168,197,209,264,291],"dynamics":[48,71,210,292],"extinction":[50,143,179],"risk":[51,144],"particular":[53,274],"species":[54,275,277,298],"in":[55,90,101,132,152,167,172,217,247],"arid":[56,91,218,248],"ecosystems.":[57],"Here,":[58],"we":[59,191],"use":[60],"an":[61],"individual\u2010oriented":[62],"modeling":[63],"approach":[64],"conduct":[66],"experiments":[67],"on":[68,88,142,207,263,268,273],"long":[73],"lived":[74],"raptors.":[75],"We":[76,109,134,223],"investigate":[77],"potential":[79],"impact":[80,138,290],"precipitation":[82,114,124,158,173,234],"variation":[83,128,162,240],"caused":[84,164,213],"savanna":[92],"using":[93],"tawny":[95,146],"eagle":[96],"(":[97],"Aquila":[98],"rapax":[99],")":[100],"southern":[103],"Kalahari":[104],"a":[106,136,255],"case":[107],"study.":[108],"simulated":[110,181],"various":[111,185],"modifications":[112,141],"scenarios":[115],"predicted":[116],"for":[117,184],"change,":[119],"such":[120],"lowered":[122],"annual":[123,157,233],"mean,":[125],"increased":[126,130,160,194],"inter\u2010annual":[127,161,239],"auto\u2010correlation":[131,171],"found":[135,192],"high":[137],"eagles,":[147],"with":[148],"reduced":[149],"persistence":[151,243,265],"cases.":[154],"Decreased":[155],"mean":[156,232],"both":[163,193],"dramatic":[165],"decreases":[166],"persistence.":[169,198],"Increased":[170],"led":[174],"only":[175],"slightly":[177],"accelerated":[178],"populations.":[182],"Finally,":[183],"patterns":[186],"periodically":[188],"fluctuating":[189],"precipitation,":[190],"decreased":[196],"summary,":[200],"our":[201,283],"results":[202],"suggest":[203],"that":[204,225],"impacts":[206,262],"raptor":[208,245],"survival":[212],"great.":[222],"emphasize":[224],"if":[227],"under":[228],"remains":[235],"constant":[236],"but":[237],"increases":[241],"populations":[246],"decrease":[251],"considerably.":[252],"This":[253],"suggests":[254],"new":[256],"dimension":[257],"driven":[261],"consequently":[267],"biodiversity.":[269,301],"more":[271],"investigations":[272],"and/or":[276],"groups":[278],"needed":[280],"increase":[282],"understanding":[284],"this":[295],"influence":[297],"diversity":[299]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}