{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2068526809","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.08.001","title":"The effects of age structure on economic growth: An application of probabilistic forecasting to India","display_name":"The effects of age structure on economic growth: An application of probabilistic forecasting to India","publication_year":2007,"publication_date":"2007-10-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2068526809","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.08.001","mag":"2068526809"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.08.001","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.08.001","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.08.001","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39841227","display_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","issn_l":"0169-2070","issn":["0169-2070","1872-8200"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"http://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/PDF/Publications/Working_Papers/WP2004_3.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5040666917","display_name":"Alexia Prskawetz","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2850-6682","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2850-6682"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I138211613","display_name":"Austrian Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/03anc3s24","country_code":"AT","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I138211613"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799276396","display_name":"Vienna Institute of Demography","ror":"https://ror.org/04ycden15","country_code":"AT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I138211613","https://openalex.org/I2799276396"]}],"countries":["AT"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"A. Prskawetz","raw_affiliation_strings":["Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Austria"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Austria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I138211613","https://openalex.org/I2799276396"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5004080804","display_name":"Tomas K\u00f6gel","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I143804889","display_name":"Loughborough University","ror":"https://ror.org/04vg4w365","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I143804889"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"T. K\u00f6gel","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economics, Loughborough University, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economics, Loughborough University, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I143804889"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003818132","display_name":"Warren C. Sanderson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2205-948X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2205-948X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1327163397","display_name":"State University of New York","ror":"https://ror.org/01q1z8k08","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1327163397"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I59553526","display_name":"Stony Brook University","ror":"https://ror.org/05qghxh33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I59553526"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"W.C. Sanderson","raw_affiliation_strings":["Departments of Economics and History, State University of New York at Stony Brook, US"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departments of Economics and History, State University of New York at Stony Brook, US","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1327163397","https://openalex.org/I59553526"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5036911852","display_name":"Sergei Scherbov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0881-1073","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0881-1073"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I138211613","display_name":"Austrian Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/03anc3s24","country_code":"AT","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I138211613"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799276396","display_name":"Vienna Institute of Demography","ror":"https://ror.org/04ycden15","country_code":"AT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I138211613","https://openalex.org/I2799276396"]}],"countries":["AT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"S. Scherbov","raw_affiliation_strings":["Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Austria"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Austria","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I138211613","https://openalex.org/I2799276396"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5040666917"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I138211613","https://openalex.org/I2799276396"],"apc_list":{"value":2800,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2800},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.2159,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":49,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.94027954,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"23","issue":"4","first_page":"587","last_page":"602"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10393","display_name":"Economic Growth and Productivity","score":0.9976000189781189,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10393","display_name":"Economic Growth and Productivity","score":0.9976000189781189,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.0006000000284984708,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":0.0005000000237487257,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/age-structure","display_name":"age structure","score":0.8830000162124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-growth","display_name":"economic growth","score":0.8730000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-aging","display_name":"population aging","score":0.5730000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demographic-change","display_name":"demographic change","score":0.5630000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-forecasting","display_name":"probabilistic forecasting","score":0.9380000233650208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demographic-uncertainty","display_name":"demographic uncertainty","score":0.6869999766349792},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/growth-rate-prediction","display_name":"growth rate prediction","score":0.5070000290870667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/india","display_name":"India","score":0.9160000085830688}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777402642","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2557224","display_name":"Explanatory power","level":2,"score":0.7547863125801086},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.703588604927063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.6200088858604431},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.553096354007721},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2986043164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demographic change","level":3,"score":0.5118812322616577},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77352025","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q386191","display_name":"Population growth","level":3,"score":0.5012264251708984},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C152877465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q208042","display_name":"Regression analysis","level":2,"score":0.4858238697052002},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83546350","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1139051","display_name":"Regression","level":2,"score":0.46434077620506287},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018663394","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q329823","display_name":"Age structure","level":3,"score":0.45905670523643494},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4498525857925415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778136018","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10350689","display_name":"Predictive power","level":2,"score":0.4400995969772339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.20088186860084534},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.16316255927085876},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.13381966948509216},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.08.001","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.08.001","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.08.001","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39841227","display_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","issn_l":"0169-2070","issn":["0169-2070","1872-8200"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Journal of Forecasting","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:vid:wpaper:0403","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/PDF/Publications/Working_Papers/WP2004_3.pdf","pdf_url":"http://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/PDF/Publications/Working_Papers/WP2004_3.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:4:p:587-602","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169-2070(07)00097-0","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:econstor.eu:10419/106645","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10419/106645","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401696","display_name":"Econstor (Econstor)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"doc-type:workingPaper"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:vid:wpaper:0403","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/PDF/Publications/Working_Papers/WP2004_3.pdf","pdf_url":"http://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/Institute/VID/PDF/Publications/Working_Papers/WP2004_3.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.7179999947547913,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8","display_name":"Decent work and economic growth"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2068526809.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2068526809.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":52,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W255755544","https://openalex.org/W398226565","https://openalex.org/W577069581","https://openalex.org/W613153180","https://openalex.org/W1571945463","https://openalex.org/W1575779980","https://openalex.org/W1586161637","https://openalex.org/W1950785596","https://openalex.org/W1972479812","https://openalex.org/W1976388191","https://openalex.org/W1977433163","https://openalex.org/W1986971393","https://openalex.org/W1987973227","https://openalex.org/W1992109042","https://openalex.org/W1996275849","https://openalex.org/W2011474190","https://openalex.org/W2012295524","https://openalex.org/W2017965556","https://openalex.org/W2020217229","https://openalex.org/W2021682474","https://openalex.org/W2025494265","https://openalex.org/W2028751888","https://openalex.org/W2035930318","https://openalex.org/W2043451981","https://openalex.org/W2050017478","https://openalex.org/W2051968394","https://openalex.org/W2066960469","https://openalex.org/W2073626348","https://openalex.org/W2081819215","https://openalex.org/W2083485815","https://openalex.org/W2104727905","https://openalex.org/W2122943947","https://openalex.org/W2133369488","https://openalex.org/W2135236904","https://openalex.org/W2138858773","https://openalex.org/W2145983907","https://openalex.org/W2146354029","https://openalex.org/W2149437926","https://openalex.org/W2152414118","https://openalex.org/W2791036566","https://openalex.org/W2891947463","https://openalex.org/W3021441410","https://openalex.org/W3023917881","https://openalex.org/W3121762138","https://openalex.org/W3121762824","https://openalex.org/W3122465029","https://openalex.org/W3122705141","https://openalex.org/W3125083535","https://openalex.org/W4255465007","https://openalex.org/W6644557329","https://openalex.org/W6656329769","https://openalex.org/W6681441944"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3122979712","https://openalex.org/W7097206849","https://openalex.org/W7095777112","https://openalex.org/W1979760107","https://openalex.org/W7098531752","https://openalex.org/W2310241482","https://openalex.org/W2253967148","https://openalex.org/W212957535","https://openalex.org/W1535741504","https://openalex.org/W1602016005"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}