{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2054614232","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6435.1974.tb01097.x","title":"IS THERE A POSTWAR GROWTH CYCLE?","display_name":"IS THERE A POSTWAR GROWTH CYCLE?","publication_year":1974,"publication_date":"1974-08-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2054614232","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6435.1974.tb01097.x","mag":"2054614232"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/j.1467-6435.1974.tb01097.x","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6435.1974.tb01097.x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6435.1974.tb01097.x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S91661715","display_name":"Kyklos","issn_l":"0023-5962","issn":["0023-5962","1467-6435"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","fnege-3","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Kyklos","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5009789941","display_name":"Joseph A. Licari","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I72903472","display_name":"Occidental College","ror":"https://ror.org/01mxmpy39","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I72903472"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Joseph A. Licari","raw_affiliation_strings":["Occidental College, Los Angeles"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Occidental College, Los Angeles","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I72903472"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Mark Gilbert","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I72903472","display_name":"Occidental College","ror":"https://ror.org/01mxmpy39","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I72903472"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mark Gilbert","raw_affiliation_strings":["Occidental College, Los Angeles"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Occidental College, Los Angeles","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I72903472"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I72903472"],"apc_list":{"value":3800,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3800},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.0712,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.86717892,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"27","issue":"3","first_page":"511","last_page":"520"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.8939999938011169,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.8939999938011169,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10393","display_name":"Economic Growth and Productivity","score":0.050700001418590546,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11742","display_name":"Economic Theory and Policy","score":0.02800000086426735,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business-cycles","display_name":"business cycles","score":0.6150000095367432},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-growth-rate","display_name":"economic growth rate","score":0.6729999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gnp-growth","display_name":"GNP growth","score":0.7720000147819519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/growth-rate-fluctuations","display_name":"growth rate fluctuations","score":0.699999988079071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/oecd-countries","display_name":"OECD countries","score":0.824999988079071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomic-dynamics","display_name":"macroeconomic dynamics","score":0.6570000052452087}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38935604","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4330363","display_name":"Stylized fact","level":2,"score":0.9494367837905884},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83873408","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192311","display_name":"Business cycle","level":2,"score":0.7738428115844727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.6588298082351685},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.6005686521530151},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166955791","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q629579","display_name":"Macro","level":2,"score":0.5491334795951843},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.5238218903541565},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22679943","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q159375","display_name":"Standard deviation","level":2,"score":0.4314618408679962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781291010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178580","display_name":"Period (music)","level":2,"score":0.42292356491088867},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3268693685531616},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.3073744773864746},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.2993338108062744},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.07258453965187073},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24890656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82811","display_name":"Acoustics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/j.1467-6435.1974.tb01097.x","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6435.1974.tb01097.x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6435.1974.tb01097.x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S91661715","display_name":"Kyklos","issn_l":"0023-5962","issn":["0023-5962","1467-6435"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","fnege-3","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Kyklos","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":6,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1513281941","https://openalex.org/W1997864456","https://openalex.org/W2073715000","https://openalex.org/W2319336004","https://openalex.org/W2327145061","https://openalex.org/W2562916330"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7097320982","https://openalex.org/W1997703305","https://openalex.org/W2890371403","https://openalex.org/W1974841683","https://openalex.org/W1917363298","https://openalex.org/W1489482751","https://openalex.org/W2042821132","https://openalex.org/W4230713745","https://openalex.org/W4388075079","https://openalex.org/W656834514"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,61],"existence":[1],"of":[2,9,16,34,46,50,70,73,79,87,145,155],"a":[3,80],"quasi-periodic":[4],"cycle":[5,125,154],"in":[6,22,48,54,98,139,149],"growth":[7,52,74,109,124,141],"rates":[8,53],"major":[10],"economic":[11],"indicators":[12],"has":[13],"become":[14],"one":[15,108],"the":[17,31,39,44,68,71,88,123,140,146,150,156],"more":[18,106,151],"popular":[19],"stylized":[20],"facts":[21],"interpreting":[23],"postwar":[24,133],"macro-dynamics.":[25],"In":[26,84],"this":[27],"paper,":[28],"we":[29],"examine":[30],"statistical":[32,120],"record":[33],"sixteen":[35],"OECD":[36],"countries":[37],"over":[38],"1950-1970":[40],"period":[41],"to":[42,66,122,137],"determine":[43],"degree":[45],"regularity":[47,147],"movements":[49],"annual":[51,129],"both":[55],"GNP":[56],"and":[57,97,103,131],"several":[58],"disaggregated":[59],"components.":[60],"Wallis-Moore":[62],"test":[63],"is":[64,118],"employed":[65],"establish":[67],"significance":[69,121],"deviation":[72],"rate":[75,142],"fluctuations":[76],"from":[77,127],"those":[78],"purely":[81],"random":[82],"series.":[83],"only":[85,99],"13":[86],"90":[89],"series":[90,110],"investigated":[91],"were":[92,105],"these":[93],"deviations":[94],"statistically":[95],"significant":[96],"two":[100],"countries,":[101],"Germany":[102],"Finland,":[104],"than":[107],"significantly":[111],"non-random.":[112],"These":[113],"results":[114],"suggest":[115],"that":[116,132],"there":[117],"little":[119],"hypothesis":[126],"an":[128],"perspective":[130],"macro-dynamics":[134],"generally":[135],"fail":[136],"reflect":[138],"domain":[143],"much":[144],"observed":[148],"traditional":[152],"business":[153],"prewar":[157],"period.":[158]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-30T12:39:25.321706","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
