{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2043092482","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","title":"Validating predictions of unobserved quantities","display_name":"Validating predictions of unobserved quantities","publication_year":2014,"publication_date":"2014-08-29","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2043092482","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","mag":"2043092482"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S40006715","display_name":"Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering","issn_l":"0045-7825","issn":["0045-7825","1879-2138"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-a","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["arxiv","crossref","datacite"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5032088529","display_name":"Todd Oliver","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9415-0429","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9415-0429"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86519309","display_name":"The University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Todd A. Oliver","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Predictive Engineering and Computational Sciences, Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Predictive Engineering and Computational Sciences, Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5012528456","display_name":"Gabriel Terejanu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8934-9836","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8934-9836"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I155781252","display_name":"University of South Carolina","ror":"https://ror.org/02b6qw903","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I155781252"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Gabriel Terejanu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of South Carolina, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of South Carolina, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I155781252"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5082005586","display_name":"Christopher S. Simmons","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-4675-8324","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0004-4675-8324"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86519309","display_name":"The University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Christopher S. Simmons","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Predictive Engineering and Computational Sciences, Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Predictive Engineering and Computational Sciences, Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5011004406","display_name":"Robert Moser","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7735-1253","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7735-1253"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86519309","display_name":"The University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Robert D. Moser","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Predictive Engineering and Computational Sciences, Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin, USA","Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Predictive Engineering and Computational Sciences, Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5032088529"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"],"apc_list":{"value":4830,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4830},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":6.0843,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":82,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96863935,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"283","issue":null,"first_page":"1310","last_page":"1335"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10928","display_name":"Probabilistic and Robust Engineering Design","score":0.9663000106811523,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10928","display_name":"Probabilistic and Robust Engineering Design","score":0.9663000106811523,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11890","display_name":"Scientific Measurement and Uncertainty Evaluation","score":0.004100000020116568,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11236","display_name":"Control Systems and Identification","score":0.004100000020116568,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2207","display_name":"Control and Systems Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-validation","display_name":"model validation","score":0.8360000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictive-assessment","display_name":"predictive assessment","score":0.734000027179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty-quantification","display_name":"uncertainty quantification","score":0.675000011920929},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/model-calibration","display_name":"model calibration","score":0.5479999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sources-of-error","display_name":"error sources","score":0.621999979019165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/stochastic-modeling","display_name":"stochastic modeling","score":0.7350000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computational-model","display_name":"computational model","score":0.4779999852180481}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132459708","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q744069","display_name":"Extrapolation","level":2,"score":0.7802969813346863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5855659246444702},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776436953","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5163215","display_name":"Consistency (knowledge bases)","level":2,"score":0.5791728496551514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C66024118","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1122506","display_name":"Computational model","level":2,"score":0.5638984441757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165838908","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q736777","display_name":"Calibration","level":2,"score":0.5462231040000916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.5102705955505371},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204323151","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q905424","display_name":"Range (aeronautics)","level":2,"score":0.4868747293949127},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158622935","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q660848","display_name":"Nonlinear system","level":2,"score":0.48560160398483276},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45804977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7239673","display_name":"Predictive modelling","level":2,"score":0.4785914421081543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C32848918","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q845789","display_name":"Observable","level":2,"score":0.46847715973854065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4545721709728241},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3019813237","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q65089264","display_name":"Model validation","level":2,"score":0.44185903668403625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.23629465699195862},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.21145719289779663},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.19568157196044922},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.1662646234035492},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.16217297315597534},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.0958564281463623},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C146978453","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3798668","display_name":"Aerospace engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S40006715","display_name":"Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering","issn_l":"0045-7825","issn":["0045-7825","1879-2138"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-a","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:arXiv.org:1404.7555","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://arxiv.org/abs/1404.7555","pdf_url":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/1404.7555","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":"2331-8422","issn":["2331-8422"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.750.6439","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.750.6439","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://arxiv.org/pdf/1404.7555.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:osti.gov:1255324","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1255324","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402487","display_name":"OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I139351228","host_organization_name":"Office of Scientific and Technical Information","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I139351228"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},{"id":"doi:10.48550/arxiv.1404.7555","doi":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1404.7555","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1404.7555","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":"2331-8422","issn":["2331-8422"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":null,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article-journal"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2014.08.023","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S40006715","display_name":"Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering","issn_l":"0045-7825","issn":["0045-7825","1879-2138"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-a","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","score":0.8100000023841858}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2764377737","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"DE-FC52-08NA28615","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332369","funder_display_name":"National Nuclear Security Administration"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306084","display_name":"U.S. Department of Energy","ror":"https://ror.org/01bj3aw27"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332369","display_name":"National Nuclear Security Administration","ror":"https://ror.org/03sk1we31"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":51,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1482954856","https://openalex.org/W1509562192","https://openalex.org/W1517271980","https://openalex.org/W1607663648","https://openalex.org/W1973333099","https://openalex.org/W1973546808","https://openalex.org/W1981552604","https://openalex.org/W1985422345","https://openalex.org/W1990072743","https://openalex.org/W1990088822","https://openalex.org/W1995404822","https://openalex.org/W2001811464","https://openalex.org/W2005243481","https://openalex.org/W2019770387","https://openalex.org/W2021593796","https://openalex.org/W2026170388","https://openalex.org/W2027319489","https://openalex.org/W2037389749","https://openalex.org/W2040076368","https://openalex.org/W2044442377","https://openalex.org/W2045683171","https://openalex.org/W2046690910","https://openalex.org/W2065637266","https://openalex.org/W2079025608","https://openalex.org/W2087133361","https://openalex.org/W2092612581","https://openalex.org/W2099111195","https://openalex.org/W2108868276","https://openalex.org/W2114866884","https://openalex.org/W2115824538","https://openalex.org/W2121651981","https://openalex.org/W2126843316","https://openalex.org/W2128138666","https://openalex.org/W2130952710","https://openalex.org/W2150306925","https://openalex.org/W2156273867","https://openalex.org/W2326912991","https://openalex.org/W2466218146","https://openalex.org/W2502067955","https://openalex.org/W2505585705","https://openalex.org/W2796677525","https://openalex.org/W3104887532","https://openalex.org/W4246425956","https://openalex.org/W4254332069","https://openalex.org/W4299043053","https://openalex.org/W4300476846","https://openalex.org/W4319590843","https://openalex.org/W6628950742","https://openalex.org/W6676921252","https://openalex.org/W6679045477","https://openalex.org/W6682098262"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2075919047","https://openalex.org/W1496074117","https://openalex.org/W2314242472","https://openalex.org/W2095987352","https://openalex.org/W2594613263","https://openalex.org/W3109609494","https://openalex.org/W4312141008","https://openalex.org/W2939749357","https://openalex.org/W2154195517","https://openalex.org/W2095712753"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-14T16:39:01.820549","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}