{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2031739923","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.01.002","title":"Fertility, mortality and the developed world's demographic transition","display_name":"Fertility, mortality and the developed world's demographic transition","publication_year":2008,"publication_date":"2008-02-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2031739923","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.01.002","mag":"2031739923"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.01.002","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.01.002","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.01.002","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S81022070","display_name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","issn_l":"0161-8938","issn":["0161-8938","1873-8060"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035482342","display_name":"Hans Fehr","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I25974101","display_name":"University of W\u00fcrzburg","ror":"https://ror.org/00fbnyb24","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I25974101"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Hans Fehr","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of W\u00fcrzburg, Sanderring 2, 97070 W\u00fcrzburg, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of W\u00fcrzburg, Sanderring 2, 97070 W\u00fcrzburg, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I25974101"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070082667","display_name":"Sabine Jokisch","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I196349391","display_name":"Universit\u00e4t Ulm","ror":"https://ror.org/032000t02","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I196349391"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sabine Jokisch","raw_affiliation_strings":["Ulm University, Helmholtzstr. 18, 89081 Ulm, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Ulm University, Helmholtzstr. 18, 89081 Ulm, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196349391"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5017644096","display_name":"Laurence J. Kotlikoff","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6469-0413","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6469-0413"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111088046","display_name":"Boston University","ror":"https://ror.org/05qwgg493","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111088046"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Laurence J. Kotlikoff","raw_affiliation_strings":["Boston University, 270 Bay State Road, Boston, MA 02215, United States","NBER, United States"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Boston University, 270 Bay State Road, Boston, MA 02215, United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111088046"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"NBER, United States","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5035482342"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I25974101"],"apc_list":{"value":1500,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1500},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":6.9393,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":58,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96269316,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"30","issue":"3","first_page":"455","last_page":"473"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10393","display_name":"Economic Growth and Productivity","score":0.44999998807907104,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10393","display_name":"Economic Growth and Productivity","score":0.44999998807907104,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":0.20900000631809235,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13825","display_name":"Economic Policies and Impacts","score":0.13210000097751617,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demographic-transition","display_name":"demographic transition","score":0.9610000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fertility","display_name":"fertility","score":0.9269999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mortality","display_name":"mortality","score":0.9819999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/developed-countries","display_name":"developed countries","score":0.5950000286102295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population-aging","display_name":"population aging","score":0.5529999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fiscal-sustainability","display_name":"fiscal sustainability","score":0.6600000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-security","display_name":"social security","score":0.7429999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bequests","display_name":"bequests","score":0.9100000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/international-capital-mobility","display_name":"international capital mobility","score":0.8669999837875366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dynamic-general-equilibrium-model","display_name":"dynamic general equilibrium model","score":0.6790000200271606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/united-states","display_name":"United States","score":0.6029999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/japan","display_name":"Japan","score":0.9990000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/eu-15","display_name":"EU-15","score":0.8880000114440918}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143845886","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q381763","display_name":"Demographic transition","level":4,"score":0.8174548149108887},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.7436854839324951},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518429986","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q964401","display_name":"Fertility","level":3,"score":0.7255042791366577},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C70036468","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131288","display_name":"Immigration","level":2,"score":0.5384964346885681},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777111884","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12002092","display_name":"Social security","level":2,"score":0.4783056080341339},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C135877308","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3634022","display_name":"Demographic dividend","level":3,"score":0.46878114342689514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47122089","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q285897","display_name":"Total fertility rate","level":5,"score":0.4632519483566284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4249254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3044431","display_name":"Demographic economics","level":1,"score":0.4330582618713379},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2986043164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demographic change","level":3,"score":0.43063902854919434},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777098093","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q473750","display_name":"World economy","level":2,"score":0.4301183819770813},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777288899","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1413228","display_name":"Retirement age","level":3,"score":0.42369088530540466},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.35905858874320984},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.19146978855133057},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.14422237873077393},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.1201181709766388},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780899237","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q156223","display_name":"Pension","level":2,"score":0.11568647623062134},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779076696","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1280670","display_name":"Family planning","level":4,"score":0.09985846281051636},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2986817661","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q185698","display_name":"Research methodology","level":3,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C34447519","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q179522","display_name":"Market economy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.01.002","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.01.002","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.01.002","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S81022070","display_name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","issn_l":"0161-8938","issn":["0161-8938","1873-8060"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Policy Modeling","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":55,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1485248450","https://openalex.org/W1509225647","https://openalex.org/W1513833992","https://openalex.org/W1514533495","https://openalex.org/W1516622801","https://openalex.org/W1541163660","https://openalex.org/W1560573812","https://openalex.org/W1571876023","https://openalex.org/W1576614010","https://openalex.org/W1583758149","https://openalex.org/W1596912268","https://openalex.org/W1600388578","https://openalex.org/W1604375818","https://openalex.org/W1607406000","https://openalex.org/W1681502846","https://openalex.org/W1864502297","https://openalex.org/W1998480263","https://openalex.org/W2001157009","https://openalex.org/W2008195573","https://openalex.org/W2012832795","https://openalex.org/W2018198631","https://openalex.org/W2019522310","https://openalex.org/W2021056562","https://openalex.org/W2032633122","https://openalex.org/W2037703244","https://openalex.org/W2040785381","https://openalex.org/W2048376835","https://openalex.org/W2051736618","https://openalex.org/W2084193303","https://openalex.org/W2098344813","https://openalex.org/W2113269007","https://openalex.org/W2121518398","https://openalex.org/W2128211190","https://openalex.org/W2144183006","https://openalex.org/W2152002207","https://openalex.org/W2164774135","https://openalex.org/W2167522183","https://openalex.org/W2168392782","https://openalex.org/W2236387000","https://openalex.org/W2236572954","https://openalex.org/W2253500302","https://openalex.org/W2891265398","https://openalex.org/W3023917881","https://openalex.org/W3087383478","https://openalex.org/W3122392713","https://openalex.org/W3123305537","https://openalex.org/W3124281043","https://openalex.org/W3124593934","https://openalex.org/W3124806220","https://openalex.org/W3125107971","https://openalex.org/W3125171103","https://openalex.org/W3140412502","https://openalex.org/W3165064679","https://openalex.org/W4236792001","https://openalex.org/W4388391253"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1681502846","https://openalex.org/W7097090902","https://openalex.org/W7208535414","https://openalex.org/W2133534169","https://openalex.org/W2099203261","https://openalex.org/W2240499160","https://openalex.org/W590377481","https://openalex.org/W2140161313","https://openalex.org/W7097955442","https://openalex.org/W2135776862"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}