{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2018917624","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2466/pr0.1989.64.1.243","title":"Developmental Change in Subjective Probability during Adolescence","display_name":"Developmental Change in Subjective Probability during Adolescence","publication_year":1989,"publication_date":"1989-02-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2018917624","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2466/pr0.1989.64.1.243","mag":"2018917624","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/2928437"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.2466/pr0.1989.64.1.243","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2466/pr0.1989.64.1.243","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2466/pr0.1989.64.1.243","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S147670119","display_name":"Psychological Reports","issn_l":"0033-2941","issn":["0033-2941","1558-691X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320017","host_organization_name":"SAGE Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320017"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["SAGE Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Psychological Reports","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5110180082","display_name":"Yoshiaki Nakajima","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I98285908","display_name":"The University of Osaka","ror":"https://ror.org/035t8zc32","country_code":"JP","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"]}],"countries":["JP"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yoshiaki Nakajima","raw_affiliation_strings":["Osaka University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Osaka University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100897340","display_name":"Hirohiko Ohta","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I98285908","display_name":"The University of Osaka","ror":"https://ror.org/035t8zc32","country_code":"JP","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"]}],"countries":["JP"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hirohiko Ohta","raw_affiliation_strings":["Osaka University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Osaka University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I98285908"],"apc_list":{"value":3650,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3650},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.14638783,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"64","issue":"1","first_page":"243","last_page":"249"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.8241999745368958,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.8241999745368958,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11875","display_name":"Statistics Education and Methodologies","score":0.062300000339746475,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13500","display_name":"Probability and Statistical Research","score":0.031599998474121094,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/subjective-probability","display_name":"subjective probability","score":0.9940000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-judgment","display_name":"probability judgment","score":0.8199999928474426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/adolescence","display_name":"adolescence","score":0.7829999923706055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/developmental-changes","display_name":"developmental changes","score":0.7440000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-concepts","display_name":"probability concepts","score":0.7929999828338623},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/lotteries","display_name":"lotteries","score":0.7770000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/objective-probability","display_name":"objective probability","score":0.7649999856948853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/age-differences","display_name":"age differences","score":0.6629999876022339}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.7612314224243164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777340749","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6684955","display_name":"Lottery","level":2,"score":0.6781696081161499},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2984179964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3284399","display_name":"Probability model","level":2,"score":0.5484848022460938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C97933134","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5374249","display_name":"Empirical probability","level":4,"score":0.49804067611694336},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138496976","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q175002","display_name":"Developmental psychology","level":1,"score":0.4319899082183838},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.20112141966819763},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C57830394","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q278079","display_name":"Posterior probability","level":3,"score":0.14763808250427246},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.13096508383750916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.08359742164611816}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000293","descriptor_name":"Adolescent","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000297","descriptor_name":"Psychology, Adolescent","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D010553","descriptor_name":"Personality Development","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D011337","descriptor_name":"Probability Learning","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true}],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.2466/pr0.1989.64.1.243","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2466/pr0.1989.64.1.243","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2466/pr0.1989.64.1.243","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S147670119","display_name":"Psychological Reports","issn_l":"0033-2941","issn":["0033-2941","1558-691X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-d","jufo-1","ki-jl-1","medline","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-2","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320017","host_organization_name":"SAGE Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320017"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["SAGE Publishing"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Psychological Reports","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:2928437","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/2928437","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Psychological reports","raw_type":"Journal Article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/study-designs/observational-study","display_name":"Observational Study"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":9,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1532354624","https://openalex.org/W1973509106","https://openalex.org/W2005910594","https://openalex.org/W2013661501","https://openalex.org/W2040796315","https://openalex.org/W2048856981","https://openalex.org/W2054134426","https://openalex.org/W2062991217","https://openalex.org/W4210361964"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W6966616270","https://openalex.org/W7037702826","https://openalex.org/W1979933371","https://openalex.org/W7051292322","https://openalex.org/W2087528409","https://openalex.org/W3162047040","https://openalex.org/W4308346023","https://openalex.org/W2913773464","https://openalex.org/W6885150479","https://openalex.org/W4292634692"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0],"developmental":[1],"change":[2],"in":[3,45],"subjective":[4,48],"probability":[5,14,32,49],"during":[6],"adolescence,":[7],"an":[8],"important":[9],"period":[10],"for":[11,34],"establishing":[12],"the":[13,53,66,69],"concept,":[15],"was":[16],"investigated.":[17],"75":[18],"Japanese":[19],"adolescents,":[20],"from":[21],"12":[22],"to":[23,30,52],"23":[24],"yr.":[25],"of":[26,57,68,71],"age,":[27],"were":[28],"asked":[29],"make":[31],"judgments":[33],"a":[35],"lottery":[36],"under":[37],"15":[38],"conditions.":[39],"Analysis":[40],"showed":[41],"that":[42],"with":[43],"increase":[44],"age":[46],"their":[47],"came":[50],"closer":[51],"objective":[54],"probability.":[55,72],"Discussion":[56],"these":[58],"results":[59],"took":[60],"into":[61],"consideration":[62],"recent":[63],"studies":[64],"on":[65],"development":[67],"concept":[70]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-31T12:09:11.096373","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
