{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2017100178","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0967-070x(97)00007-3","title":"Inaccuracy of traffic forecasts and cost estimates on large transport projects","display_name":"Inaccuracy of traffic forecasts and cost estimates on large transport projects","publication_year":1997,"publication_date":"1997-07-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2017100178","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0967-070x(97)00007-3","mag":"2017100178"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/s0967-070x(97)00007-3","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0967-070x(97)00007-3","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0967-070x(97)00007-3","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S186558940","display_name":"Transport Policy","issn_l":"0967-070X","issn":["0967-070X","1879-310X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Transport Policy","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051720778","display_name":"Mette K. Skamris","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I891191580","display_name":"Aalborg University","ror":"https://ror.org/04m5j1k67","country_code":"DK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I891191580"]}],"countries":["DK"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Mette K. Skamris","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Development and Planning, Aalborg University, Fibigerstraede 11, DK-9220 Aalborg East, Denmark"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Development and Planning, Aalborg University, Fibigerstraede 11, DK-9220 Aalborg East, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I891191580"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005958261","display_name":"Bent Flyvbjerg","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9093-770X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9093-770X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I891191580","display_name":"Aalborg University","ror":"https://ror.org/04m5j1k67","country_code":"DK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I891191580"]}],"countries":["DK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bent Flyvbjerg","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Development and Planning, Aalborg University, Fibigerstraede 11, DK-9220 Aalborg East, Denmark"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Development and Planning, Aalborg University, Fibigerstraede 11, DK-9220 Aalborg East, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I891191580"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5051720778"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I891191580"],"apc_list":{"value":2890,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2890},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.3022,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":156,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.79851654,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"4","issue":"3","first_page":"141","last_page":"146"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":0.5619999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":0.5619999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12725","display_name":"transportation and logistics systems","score":0.21330000460147858,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.08730000257492065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/traffic-forecasting","display_name":"traffic prediction","score":0.6830000281333923},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/construction-cost-estimation","display_name":"construction cost estimation","score":0.6589999794960022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cost-overruns","display_name":"cost overruns","score":0.8629999756813049},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transport-infrastructure-projects","display_name":"transport infrastructure projects","score":0.7850000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/before-and-after-study","display_name":"before-after study","score":0.9079999923706055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/project-performance","display_name":"project performance","score":0.421999990940094}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776164183","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2682100","display_name":"Cost overrun","level":3,"score":0.7367371916770935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100776233","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2532492","display_name":"Bridge (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.6352529525756836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22212356","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775325","display_name":"Transport engineering","level":1,"score":0.6311377286911011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2985109136","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7590","display_name":"Transport infrastructure","level":2,"score":0.5845785140991211},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2989357034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7590","display_name":"Transportation infrastructure","level":2,"score":0.4889441728591919},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39118121","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1034047","display_name":"Transportation planning","level":2,"score":0.4450400471687317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.4411211311817169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C93983250","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q795053","display_name":"Cost estimate","level":2,"score":0.4106713533401489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.35457733273506165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3343113660812378},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.2810264229774475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107053488","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2674423","display_name":"Construction engineering","level":1,"score":0.12886670231819153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2984708878","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q385378","display_name":"Construction industry","level":2,"score":0.09107187390327454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126322002","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11180","display_name":"Internal medicine","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/s0967-070x(97)00007-3","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0967-070x(97)00007-3","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0967-070x(97)00007-3","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S186558940","display_name":"Transport Policy","issn_l":"0967-070X","issn":["0967-070X","1879-310X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","erih-plus","fnege-3","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Transport Policy","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:trapol:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:141-146","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967-070X(97)00007-3","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.atira.dk:publications/470a0b30-8093-11db-8b97-000ea68e967b","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://vbn.aau.dk/da/publications/470a0b30-8093-11db-8b97-000ea68e967b","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401731","display_name":"VBN Forskningsportal (Aalborg Universitet)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I891191580","host_organization_name":"Aalborg University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I891191580"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Skamris, M K & Flyvbjerg, B 1997, 'Inaccuracy of Traffic Forecasts and Cost Estimates on Large Transport Projects', Transport Policy, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 141-146.","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","score":1.0},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11","display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities","score":0.761900007724762}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","score":0.6299999952316284}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":5,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W639604784","https://openalex.org/W1597098184","https://openalex.org/W1965975779","https://openalex.org/W1972068433","https://openalex.org/W2798302949"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1981242231","https://openalex.org/W2140325042","https://openalex.org/W7097957705","https://openalex.org/W2056321007","https://openalex.org/W7113098980","https://openalex.org/W6904908730","https://openalex.org/W6930189841","https://openalex.org/W7008174274","https://openalex.org/W612309706","https://openalex.org/W7216228634"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":16},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":12}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}