{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2016279746","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","title":"Nowcasting GDP growth with credit data: Evidence from an emerging market economy","display_name":"Nowcasting GDP growth with credit data: Evidence from an emerging market economy","publication_year":2013,"publication_date":"2013-11-21","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2016279746","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","mag":"2016279746"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","pdf_url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845013000148/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764882396","display_name":"Borsa Istanbul Review","issn_l":"2214-8450","issn":["2214-8450","2214-8469"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-b","cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","poland-70"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Borsa Istanbul Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845013000148/pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031433398","display_name":"Ergun Ermi\u015fo\u011flu","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I202575966","display_name":"Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey","ror":"https://ror.org/01h4f0m46","country_code":"TR","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I202575966"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ergun Ermi\u015fo\u011flu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, \u0130stiklal Cad. No: 10, 06100 Ulus Ankara, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, \u0130stiklal Cad. No: 10, 06100 Ulus Ankara, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I202575966"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5044618611","display_name":"Yasin Ak\u00e7elik","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I202575966","display_name":"Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey","ror":"https://ror.org/01h4f0m46","country_code":"TR","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I202575966"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Yasin Ak\u00e7elik","raw_affiliation_strings":["Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, \u0130stiklal Cad. No: 10, 06100 Ulus Ankara, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, \u0130stiklal Cad. No: 10, 06100 Ulus Ankara, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I202575966"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023782173","display_name":"Arif Oduncu","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I202575966","display_name":"Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey","ror":"https://ror.org/01h4f0m46","country_code":"TR","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I202575966"]}],"countries":["TR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Arif Oduncu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, \u0130stiklal Cad. No: 10, 06100 Ulus Ankara, Turkey"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, \u0130stiklal Cad. No: 10, 06100 Ulus Ankara, Turkey","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I202575966"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5044618611"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I202575966"],"apc_list":{"value":1500,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1500},"apc_paid":{"value":1500,"currency":"USD","value_usd":1500},"fwci":2.4395,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":11,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91499864,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":"4","first_page":"93","last_page":"98"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9911999702453613,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9911999702453613,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10127","display_name":"Banking stability, regulation, efficiency","score":0.003100000089034438,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.0027000000700354576,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/nowcasting","display_name":"nowcasting","score":0.8259999752044678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gdp-growth","display_name":"GDP growth","score":0.9940000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/credit-data","display_name":"credit data","score":0.7680000066757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bank-lending","display_name":"bank lending","score":0.8220000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/turkish-economy","display_name":"Turkish economy","score":0.7480000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/emerging-markets","display_name":"emerging markets","score":0.6740000247955322},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomic-forecasting","display_name":"macroeconomic forecasting","score":0.7129999995231628}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781013037","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1433331","display_name":"Nowcasting","level":2,"score":0.9913001656532288},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.6188706159591675},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C181683161","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7301159","display_name":"Real gross domestic product","level":2,"score":0.536891520023346},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C180879305","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q590998","display_name":"Credit crunch","level":2,"score":0.4333816170692444},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C556758197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580018","display_name":"Monetary economics","level":1,"score":0.37503477931022644},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.3427949547767639},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.085052490234375},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","pdf_url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845013000148/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764882396","display_name":"Borsa Istanbul Review","issn_l":"2214-8450","issn":["2214-8450","2214-8469"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-b","cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","poland-70"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Borsa Istanbul Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:bor:bistre:v:13:y:2013:i:4:p:93-98","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://ac.els-cdn.com/S2214845013000148/1-s2.0-S2214845013000148-main.pdf?_tid=5127b1b0-9933-11e3-9ba9-00000aacb361&acdnat=1392793323_c035d7a5c964dfb0aa1095b4c4dd7018.pdf","pdf_url":"http://ac.els-cdn.com/S2214845013000148/1-s2.0-S2214845013000148-main.pdf?_tid=5127b1b0-9933-11e3-9ba9-00000aacb361&acdnat=1392793323_c035d7a5c964dfb0aa1095b4c4dd7018.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.009","pdf_url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845013000148/pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764882396","display_name":"Borsa Istanbul Review","issn_l":"2214-8450","issn":["2214-8450","2214-8469"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-b","cwts-core","doaj","jufo-1","poland-70"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Borsa Istanbul Review","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2016279746.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2016279746.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":10,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W9924352","https://openalex.org/W597170408","https://openalex.org/W1604833544","https://openalex.org/W2028200141","https://openalex.org/W2050703338","https://openalex.org/W2056094759","https://openalex.org/W2083137543","https://openalex.org/W2118649058","https://openalex.org/W3121965353","https://openalex.org/W3122048771"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7095891200","https://openalex.org/W2160427668","https://openalex.org/W4386849797","https://openalex.org/W2302759207","https://openalex.org/W1569230994","https://openalex.org/W4385879245","https://openalex.org/W2758187484","https://openalex.org/W3181782966","https://openalex.org/W6998574947","https://openalex.org/W3080888042"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"It":[0,33],"is":[1,7,19,34,49,95],"a":[2,8,20,75,99],"well-known":[3],"fact":[4],"that":[5,147],"there":[6],"strong":[9],"relationship":[10],"between":[11],"bank":[12],"credits":[13],"and":[14,47,124,137,150,164],"economic":[15],"activity.":[16],"Thus,":[17],"it":[18,94],"reasonable":[21],"question":[22,56],"whether":[23],"credit":[24,80,114,135,143,148],"data":[25,46,81,115],"can":[26],"be":[27,60,83],"used":[28],"in":[29,55,116,120,155],"nowcasting":[30,48,128,170],"GDP":[31,92,122,162],"growth.":[32],"important":[35,51],"for":[36,86],"policymakers":[37],"to":[38,59,72,108,169],"make":[39],"on-time":[40],"decisions":[41],"with":[42,98],"the":[43,87,110,118,157,160],"most":[44],"available":[45,71,96],"an":[50],"tool":[52],"when":[53],"policies":[54],"are":[57,69,153],"needed":[58],"made":[61,70],"based":[62],"on":[63],"current":[64,91],"figures.":[65],"Most":[66],"macroeconomic":[67],"variables":[68],"public":[73],"after":[74],"considerable":[76],"delay;":[77],"however,":[78],"banking":[79],"may":[82],"very":[84],"valuable":[85],"early":[88],"estimate":[89],"of":[90,112,142,159],"as":[93,125,127],"only":[97],"few":[100],"days":[101],"delay.":[102],"In":[103],"this":[104,131],"paper,":[105],"we":[106,133],"aim":[107],"investigate":[109],"feasibility":[111],"using":[113],"explaining":[117,156],"variability":[119],"Turkish":[121,161],"growth":[123,163],"well":[126],"it.":[129,171],"For":[130],"purpose,":[132],"use":[134],"impulse":[136,149],"new":[138,151],"borrowing,":[139],"two":[140],"measures":[141],"flows.":[144],"We":[145],"show":[146],"borrowing":[152],"significant":[154,167],"pattern":[158],"they":[165],"have":[166],"contribution":[168]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
